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Prospects for Revolution in Post-Castro Cuba

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Michael J. Mazarr*
Affiliation:
Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, DC

Extract

Last January marked the 30th anniversary of the Cuban revolution, and it could be that, within a decade, that small islandnation will be transformed once again. Since 1959, Castro's Cuba has remained a politically repressive, economically stagnant, militarily adventuristic state. The legitimacy of the Cuban regime depends, in many ways, on the persona of Fidel Castro; when he dies, the government will face by far its severest test to date and, most probably, at a time when a potentially deadly economic and systemic crisis continues to threaten the Cuban polity. Revolutionary or reformist elements will almost certainly emerge to demand change.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 1989

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