Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-jn8rn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T04:39:34.596Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Citizens–experts’ interactions under different institutional arrangements: assessing the role of uncertainty, interests, and values

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2019

Francesco Bogliacino*
Affiliation:
Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Centro de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo, Carrera 30, #45-03, Bogotá, Colombia
Cristiano Codagnone
Affiliation:
Università degli Studi di Milano; Univeritat Obierta de Catalunya
Giuseppe Alessandro Veltri
Affiliation:
Università degli Studi di Trento
*
*Corresponding author. Email: [email protected]

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a framework to analyze the relationship between evidence and policy. Postulating a normative criterion based on cost–benefit analysis and the value of a piece of information, as well as a topology of the policy space defined by three characteristics (epistemic uncertainty, interests, and the degree of value conflicts), we identify the (Nash) equilibria of an interaction between experts and citizens in providing information to a decision maker. In this setup, we study three institutional arrangements (evidence-based policy, deliberative governance, and negotiated conflict) that differ in terms of reliance on experts and citizens for providing information. We show that different degrees of uncertainty, interests, and value-relevance surrounding the issue at stake result in vastly different arrangement performances; hence, to foster efficiency, rules should be contingent.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Millennium Economics Ltd 2019 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Beyers, J., Eising, R. and Maloney, W. (2008), ‘Researching Interest Group Politics in Europe and Elsewhere: Much We Study, Little We Know?West European Politics, 31(6): 11031128. DOI: 10.1080/01402380802370443.Google Scholar
Best, J. (2001), Damned Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians, and Activists, Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Bogliacino, F., Codagnone, C. and Veltri, G. A. (2016), Introduction to the Special Issue on ‘The Behavioural Turn in Public Policy: New Evidence from Experiments’, Economia Politica, 33(3): 323332.Google Scholar
Borjas, G. J. (2013), ‘Immigration and the American Worker. A Review of the Academic Literature. Report for the Center for Immigration Studies’, available at https://cis.org/sites/cis.org/files/borjas-economics.pdf, accessed 16 October 2017.Google Scholar
Borjas, G. J. (2015), ‘Immigration and Globalization: A Review Essay’, Journal of Economic Literature, 53(4): 961974.Google Scholar
Brader, T. and Marcus, G. (2013), ‘Emotion and Political Psychology’, in Huddy, L., Sears, D. and Levy, J. (eds), The Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology (2nd edn), Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 165204.Google Scholar
Buchanan, J. and Tullock, G. (1999), ‘The Calculus of Consent’, in Buchanan, J. (ed.), The Collective Work of J. Buchanan, Carmel, IN: Library of Economics and Liberty.Google Scholar
Campbell, D. (1969), ‘Reforms as Experiments’, American Psychologist, 24(4): 409429.Google Scholar
Carrozza, C. (2015), ‘Democratizing Expertise and Environmental Governance: Different Approaches to the Politics of Science and their Relevance for Policy Analysis’, Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning, 17(1): 108126. DOI: 10.1080/1523908X.2014.914894.Google Scholar
Cartwright, N. and Hardie, J. (2012), Evidence Based Policy: A Practical Guide to Doing it Better, Oxford, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Cartwright, N. and Runhardt, R. (2014), ‘Measurement’, in Cartwright, N. and Montuschi, E. (eds), Philosophy of Social Sciences: A New Introduction, Oxford, Oxford University Press, pp. 265287.Google Scholar
Codagnone, C, Bogliacino, F. and Veltri, G. A. (2018), Scienza in vendità. Incertezza, interessi e valori nelle politiche pubbliche, Milan: EGEA.Google Scholar
Collier, P. (2013), Exodus. How Migration Is Changing Our World, Oxford, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Commons, J. R. (1934), Institutional Economics: Its Place in Political Economy, New York: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Elsner, W. (2017), ‘Complexity Economics as Heterodoxy: Theory and Policy’, Journal of Economic Issues, 51(4): 939978.Google Scholar
Fischhoff, B., and Eggers, S. (2013), ‘Questions of Competence: The Duty to Inform and the Limits to Choice’, in Shafir, E. (ed.), The Behavioural Foundations of Public Policy, Princeton: Princeton University Press, pp. 217230.Google Scholar
Funtowicz, S. and Ravetz, J. (2018), ‘Post-normal Science’, in Castree, N., Hulme, M. and Proctor, J. (eds), The Companion to Environmental Studies, London and New York, Routledge.Google Scholar
Gerbert, J. S. and Offit, P. A. (2009), ‘Vaccines and Autism: A Tale of Shifting Hypotheses’, Clinical Infectious Diseases, 48(4): 456461. DOI: 10.1086/596476.Google Scholar
Gordon, W. (1990), ‘The Role of Tool's Social Value Principle’, Journal of Economic Issues, 24(3): 879886.Google Scholar
Habermas, J. (1976), ‘Verwissenschaftlichte Politik und öffentliche Meinung’, in Habermas, J., Technik und Wissenschaft als ‘Ideologie’, Frankfurt am Main: Suhrkamp, pp. 120145.Google Scholar
Hausman, R. (2009), ‘The Other Invisible Hand: High Bandwidth Development Policy’, in Cohen, J. and Easterly, W. (eds), What Works in Development? Thinking Big and Thinking Small, Washington, Brookings Institution Press, pp. 174207.Google Scholar
Heckman, J. J. (2010), ‘Building Bridges between Structural and Program Evaluation Approaches to Evaluating Policy’, Journal of Economic Literature, 48(2): 356–98.Google Scholar
Heckman, J. J. (2000), ‘Causal Parameters and Policy Analysis in Economics: A Twentieth Century Retrospective’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1): 4597.Google Scholar
Hirschman, A. O. (1982), Shifting Involvements: Private Interest and Public Action, Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Hutchison, E. and Bleiker, R. (2014), ‘Theorizing Emotions in World Politics’, International Theory, 6(3): 491514.Google Scholar
Jost, J., Hennes, E. and Lavine, H. (2013), ‘“Hot” Political Cognition: Its Self-, Group-, and System-serving Purposes’, in Carlson, D. (ed.), Oxford Handbook of Social Cognition, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 851875.Google Scholar
Kahan, D. M. (2013), ‘Ideology, Motivated Reasoning, and Cognitive Reflection’, Judgment and Decision Making, 8, 407424.Google Scholar
Kearns, C. E., Schmidt, L. A. and Glantz, S. A. (2016), ‘Sugar Industry and Coronary Heart Disease Research A Historical Analysis of Internal Industry Documents’, JAMA Internal Medicine, 176(11): 16801685. DOI:10.1001/jamainternmed.2016.5394.Google Scholar
Koppl, R. (2018), Expert Failure (Cambridge Studies in Economics, Choice, and Society), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. DOI: 10.1017/9781316481400.Google Scholar
Kunda, Z. (1990), ‘The Case for Motivated Reasoning’, Psychological Bulletin, 108(3): 480498.Google Scholar
Levy, D. and Peart, S. (2016), Escape from Democracy: The Role of Experts and the Public in Economic Policy, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. DOI: 10.1017/9781316499078.Google Scholar
Manzi, J. (2016), Uncontrolled: The Surprising Payoff of Trial-and-Error for Business, Politics, and Society, New York, Basic Books.Google Scholar
Morris, S., Shin, H. S. (1993), ‘Noisy Bayes Updating and the Value of Information’, CARESS working paper, 93–02.Google Scholar
Muller, J. W. (2016), What is Populism? Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press.Google Scholar
Munro, E. (2014), ‘Evidence-Based Policy’, in Cartwright, N. and Montuschi, E. (eds), Philosophy of Social Sciences: A New Introduction, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 4867.Google Scholar
Nielsen, K. and Pedersen, O. K. (1988), ‘The Negotiated Economy: Ideal and History’, Scandinavian Political Studies, 11(2): 79101.Google Scholar
Nielsen, K. (1992), ‘The Mixed Economy, the Neoliberal Challenge, and the negotiated economy’, Journal of Socio-Economics, 21(4): 325351.Google Scholar
Niskanen, W. A. (2008), Reflections of a Political Economist: Selected Articles on Government Policies and Political Processes, Washington, DC: Cato Institute.Google Scholar
Offit, P. A. (2009), ‘Vaccines and Autism Revisited – The Hannah Poling case’, New England Journal of Medicine, 358: 20892091.Google Scholar
Olson, M. (1971 [1965]), The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Oreskes, N., and Conway, E. (2010), Merchants of Doubts. How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming, New York: Bloomsbury.Google Scholar
Pielke, R. (2007), The Honest Broker: Making Sense of Science in Policy and Politics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Posner, R. (1999), ‘An Economic Approach to the Law of Evidence’, Stanford Law Review, 51(6): 14771546.Google Scholar
Ramstad, Y. (1991), ‘From Desideratum to Historical Achievement: John R. Commons's Reasonable Value and the “Negotiated Economy” of Denmark’, Journal of Economic Issues, 25(2): 431439.Google Scholar
Robert, D. (2010), ‘Post-truth Politics’, Grist, available at: http://grist.org/article/2010-03-30-post-truth-politics.Google Scholar
Saltelli, A. and Giampietro, M. (2017), ‘What is Wrong with Evidence Based Policy, and How Can It Be Improved?Futures, 91: 6271.Google Scholar
Schattschneider, E. (1960), The Semi-Sovereign People: A Realist's View of Democracy in America, New York, Holt, Rinehart & Winston.Google Scholar
Shadish, W., Cook, T. and Campbell, D. (2002), Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs for Generalized Causal Inference, Boston, Houghton Mifflin.Google Scholar
Sperber, D., Clément, F., Heintz, C., Mascaro, O., Mercier, H., Origgi, G. and Wilson, D. (2010), ‘Epistemic Vigilance’, Mind & Language, 25(4): 359393.Google Scholar
Strassheim, H. and Kettunen, P. (2014), ‘When Does Evidence-based Policy Turn into Policy-based Evidence? Configurations, Contexts and Mechanisms’, Evidence & Policy, 10(2): 259–77. DOI: 10.1332/174426514X13990433991320Google Scholar
Sunstein, C. R. (2000), ‘Cognition and Cost–Benefit Analysis’, Journal of Legal Studies, 29(S2): 10591103. DOI: 10.1086/468105.Google Scholar
Thorngate, W. (2001), ‘The Social Psychology of Policy Analysis’, Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice, 3(1): 85112. DOI: 10.1080/13876980108412655.Google Scholar
Tomlinson, M. W. and Kelly, G. P. (2013), ‘Is Everybody Happy? The Politics and Measurement of National Wellbeing’, Policy & Politics, 41(2): 139157.Google Scholar
Tool, M. R. (1979), The Discretionary Economy: A Normative Theory of Political Economy, Santa Monica, CA: Goodyear.Google Scholar
Trumbull, G. (2012), Strength in Numbers: The Political Power of Weak Interests, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Turner, M. E, and Pratkanis, A. R. (1998), ‘Twenty-Five Years of Groupthink Theory and Research: Lessons from the Evaluation of a Theory’, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 73(2): 105115. DOI:10.1006/obhd.1998.2756.Google Scholar
Wildavsky, A. (1979), Speaking Truth to Power: The Art and Craft of Policy Analysis, Boston, MA: Little, BrownGoogle Scholar