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Abstract–Determinants of Systematic Risk

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 October 2009

Extract

In this paper a model is presented to explain the structure of systematic risk. The starting point is the expression for the total dollar return to investors who hold the securities from period t - 1 to t assuming no new securities have been issued in the interim:

where Xt is earnings before interest, preferred dividends, and taxes; T is the corporate tax rate; Dd,t is the interest paid on debt in year t; Dp,t is the dividend paid to preferred shareholders in year t; Dc,t is the dividend (total) paid to equity shares-holders in year t; ΔPt · Nt-1 is the aggregate capital gains for the Nt-1 shares of common stock outstanding as of t-1 and ΔGt is the change in the capitalized value of future growth opportunities. The hypothesis is that the risk associated with the left-hand side variables, the market determined systematic risk, is derived from the corporate variables on the right-hand side of the equation. The market determined level of systematic risk is a linear function of the sensitivity of percent changes in revenues of the firm to percent changes in GNF (asset betas), financial leverage, and changes in growth potential.

Type
Investments–Equities II
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1974

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