Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rcrh6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T17:06:20.911Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Optimal Sequential Futures Trading

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Extract

Hedgers adjust their futures market positions to reflect new information. Therefore, the anticipation of new information creates future decision points and thus a multiperiod decision problem. Previous studies (see [2], [4], [5], [7], and [8]) which solved the problem of choosing optimal futures market hedges have not addressed this issue. Rather, these studies have derived optimal hedges in one-period frameworks. In general, this solution is incorrect if, during the time the hedge is in effect, new information is anticipated.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1982

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

[1]Dusak, K.Futures Trading and Investor Returns: An Investigation of Commodity Market Risk Premiums.” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 81 (12 1973), pp. 13871406.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[2]Ederington, L.The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 34 (03 1979), pp. 157170.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[3]Feiger, G., and Jacquillat, B.. “Currency Option Bonds, Puts and Calls on Spot Exchange and the Hedging of Contingent Foreign Earnings.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 34 (12 1979), pp. 11291140.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[4]Holthausen, D.Hedging and the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty.” American Economic Review, Vol. 69 (12 1979), pp. 989995.Google Scholar
[5]McKinnon, R. I.Futures Markets, Buffer Stocks and Income Stability for Primary Producers.” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 75 (12 1967), pp. 844861.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[6]Mossin, J.Optimal Multiperiod Portfolio Decisions.” Journal of Business, Vol. 41 (04 1968), pp. 215229.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[7]Peck, A. E.Hedging and Income Stability: Concepts, Implications and an Example.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 57 (08 1975), pp. 410419.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[8]Rolfo, J.Optimal Hedging under Price and Quantity Uncertainty: The Case of a Cocoa Producer.” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 88 (02 1980), pp. 100116.CrossRefGoogle Scholar