Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T04:05:49.671Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Football and Public Opinion: A Partial Replication and Extension

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 November 2017

Ethan C. Busby
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Northwestern University, Scott Hall, 601 University Place, Evanston, IL 60208, United States, e-mail: [email protected], [email protected]
James N. Druckman
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Northwestern University, Scott Hall, 601 University Place, Evanston, IL 60208, United States, e-mail: [email protected], [email protected]

Abstract

Do events irrelevant to politics, such as the weather and sporting events, affect political opinions? A growing experimental literature suggests that such events can matter. However, extant experimental evidence may over-state irrelevant event effects; this could occur if these studies happen to focus on particular scenarios where irrelevant event effects are likely to occur. One way to address this possibility is through replication, which is what we do. Specifically, we replicate an experimental study that showed the outcome of a college football game can influence presidential approval. Our results partially replicate the previous study and suggest the impact is constrained to a limited set of outcome variables. The findings accentuate the need for scholars to identify the conditions under which irrelevant effects occur. While the effects clearly can occur, there relevance to politics remains unclear.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Experimental Research Section of the American Political Science Association 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Achen, C. H., and Bartels, L. M. 2016. Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bagues, M., and Esteve-Volart, B. 2016. “Politicians’ Luck of the Draw: Evidence from the Spanish Christmas Lottery.” Journal of Political Economy, 124, 12691294.Google Scholar
Bassi, A. 2017. “Weather, Risk, and Voting: An Experimental Analysis of the Effect of Weather on Vote Choice.” Journal of Experimental Political Science, Forthcoming.Google Scholar
Brown, A. W., Mehta, T. S., and Allison, D. B. 2017. “Publication Bias in Science: What Is It, Why Is It Problematic, and How Can It Be Addressed?.” In Jamieson, K. H., Kahan, Dan M., and Scheufele, D. A. (Eds.), The Oxford Handbook of the Science of Science Communication (pp. 93101). New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Busby, E. C., and Druckman, J. N. 2017. “Replication Data for: “Football and Public Opinion: A Partial Replication and Extension.” Harvard Dataverse. doi:10.7910/DVN/BKVLFI.Google Scholar
Busby, E. C., Druckman, J. N., and Fredendall, A. 2017. “The Political Relevance of Irrelevant Events.” The Journal of Politics, 79 (1), 346–50.Google Scholar
Cialdini, R. B., Borden, R. J., Thorne, A., Walker, M. R., Freeman, S., and Sloan, L. R. 1976. “Basking in Reflected Glory: Three (Football) Field Studies.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 34 (3), 366.Google Scholar
Eldar, E, Rutledge, R. B., Dolan, R. J., and Niv, Y. 2016. “Mood as Representation of Momentum.” Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 20 (1), 1524.Google Scholar
Fowler, A., and Hall, A. B. n.d. “Do Shark Attacks Influence Presidential Elections? Reassessing a Prominent Finding on Voter Competence.” The Journal of Politics, Forthcoming.Google Scholar
Fowler, A., and Montagnes, B. P. 2015. “College Football, Elections, and False-Positive Results in Observational Research.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112 (45), 13800–804.Google Scholar
Franco, A., Malhotra, , , N., and Simonovits, G. 2014. “Publication Bias in the Social Sciences: Unlocking the File Drawer.” Science, 345 (6203), 1502–5.Google Scholar
Healy, A. J., and Malhotra, N. 2013. “Retrospective Voting Reconsidered.” Annual Review of Political Science, 16 (1), 285306.Google Scholar
Healy, A. J., Neil, M., and Mo, C. H. 2010. “Irrelevant Events Affect Voters’ Evaluations of Government Performance.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107 (29), 1280412809.Google Scholar
Healy, A. J., Malhotra, N., and Mo, C. H. 2015. “Determining False-Positives Requires Considering the Totality of Evidence.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112 (48), E6591E6591.Google Scholar
Huber, G. A., Hill, S. J., and Lenz, G. S. 2012. “Sources of Bias in Retrospective Decision Making: Experimental Evidence on Voters’ Limitations in Controlling Incumbents.” American Political Science Review, 106 (04), 720741.Google Scholar
Pierce, L., Rogers, T. and Snyder, J. A. 2016. “Losing Hurts: The Happiness Impact of Partisan Electoral Loss.” Journal of Experimental Political Science, 3 (1), 4459.Google Scholar
Schwarz, N., and Clore, G. L. 1983. “Mood, Misattribution, and Judgments of Well-Being: Informative and Directive Functions of Affective States.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 45 (3), 513.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schwarz, N., and Clore, G. L. 2003. “Mood as Information: 20 Years Later.” Psychological Inquiry, 14 (3/4), 296303.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schwarz, N. 2012. “Feelings-as-Information Theory.” In, Paul A. M. Van Lange, , Kruglanski, Arie W., and Higgins, E. Tory (Eds.), Handbook of Theories of Social Psychology (pp.289308). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Busby and Druckman supplementary material

Online Appendix

Download Busby and Druckman supplementary material(File)
File 505 KB