Published online by Cambridge University Press: 02 October 2018
This article examines the impact of the 1850 Austro-Hungarian customs union on production land-use outcomes. Using newly digitized data from the Second Military Survey of the Habsburg Monarchy, we apply a spatial discontinuity design to estimate the impact of trade liberalization on land use. We find that the customs union increased cropland area by 8 percent per year in Hungary between 1850 and 1855, while forestland area decreased by 6 percent. We provide suggestive evidence that this result is not confounded by the emancipation of the serfs, population growth, or technological change in agriculture.
For detailed comments on this manuscript, we thank Laura Schechter and Pauline Grosjean, as well as two anonymous referees. Seminar participants at the University of New South Wales, the University of Sydney, the University of Adelaide, and the University of Wisconsin in the Departments of Agricultural and Applied Economics and Forestry and Wildlife Ecology provided important feedback on this paper. We are very grateful for funding from the NASA Land Use and Land Cover Change program under grants NNX11AE93G and NNX12AG74G. E. Konkoly-Gyuró and T. Kuemmerle provided helpful feedback on earlier versions of this manuscript. M. Boltiziar, G. Király, U. Gimmi, L. Halada, D. Kaim, J. Lieskovsky, D. Mueller, C. Munteanu, K. Ostafin, K. Ostapowicz, B. Pál, and O. Shandra contributed to the generation of the historical dataset, and shared their extensive knowledge of land-use history in the Carpathian Basin. M. Chmiel, E. Grabska, T. Kuchma, K. Kysucká, M. Mojses, A. Prociak, and P. Suglik digitized the historical maps. We are most grateful for all of their contributions.