Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-tf8b9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-26T03:03:40.895Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Economic Growth in the Lower Yangzi Region of China in 1911–1937: A Quantitative and Historical Analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 June 2008

DEBIN MA*
Affiliation:
Lecturer, Department of Economic History, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, UK. E-mail: [email protected].

Abstract

Through a detailed reconstruction of 1933 GDP for the two provinces in China's most advanced region, the Lower Yangzi, I show that their per capita income was 55 percent higher than China's average, and they had experienced a growth and structural change between 1914–1918 and 1931–1936 comparable to contemporaneous Japan and her East Asian colonies. This article highlights the unique political institution of early-twentieth-century Shanghai as a city state, with its rule of law and secure property rights laying the foundation for economic growth in the Lower Yangzi with long-term impact throughout East Asia.

Type
ARTICLES
Copyright
Copyright © The Economic History Association 2008

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Billingsley, Phil. Bandits in Republican China. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1988.Google Scholar
Chang, John. Industrial Development in Pre-Communist China. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1955.Google Scholar
Chang, Chung-li. The Income of the Chinese Gentry. Seattle: University of Washington Press, 1962.Google Scholar
Chao, Kang. “The Sources of Economic Growth in Manchuria: 1920–1941.” In Modern Chinese Economic History, edited by Hou, Chi-ming, and Yu, Tzong-shian, 255–63. Published by The Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan. 1977.Google Scholar
Chao, Kang. The Development of Cotton Textile Production in China. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. 1977.Google Scholar
Chao, Kang. The Economic Development of Manchuria: The Rise of a Frontier Economy. Ann Arbor: Center for Chinese Studies, University of Michigan, 1982.Google Scholar
Cheng, Linsun. Banking in Modern China, Entrepreneurs, Professional Managers, and the Development of Chinese Banks, 1897–1937. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 2003.Google Scholar
CobleParks, Jr Parks, Jr. The Shanghai Capitalists and the Nationalist Government 1927–1937. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. 1980.Google Scholar
Eckstein, Alexander, Chao, Kang, and Chang, John. “The Economic Development of Manchuria: The Rise of a Frontier Economy.” This Journal 34, no. 1 (1974): 239–64.Google Scholar
Elman, Benjamin. On Their Own Terms: Science in China, 1550–1900. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elvin, Mark. The Pattern of the Chinese Past. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1973.Google Scholar
Epstein, S. R.Freedom and Growth: The Rise of States and Markets in Europe, 1300–1750. London: Routledge, 2000.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fairbank, John K., ed. The Cambridge History of China, Vol. 10, Late Ching, 1800–1911, Part I. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1978.Google Scholar
Fairbank, John K., and Liu, Kwang-ching, eds. The Cambridge History of China, Vol. 11, Late Ching, 1800–1911, Part 2. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1980.Google Scholar
Feetham, RichardReport of the Hon. Richard Feetham, C.M.G. to the Shanghai Municipal Council. Shanghai: North-China Daily News and Herald, Ltd. 1931.Google Scholar
Fukao, K., Ma, D., and Yuan, T.“Real GDP in Pre-War East Asia: a 193436 Benchmark Purchasing Power Parity Comparison with the U.S.” Review of Income and Wealth, Series 53, Number 3 (September 2007): 503–37.Google Scholar
Furuta, Kazuko. “Kobe Seen as Part of the Shanghai Trading Network: The Role of Chinese Merchants in the Re-export of Cotton Manufactures to Japan.” In Japan, China, and the Growth of the Asian International Economy, 1850–1949, edited by Sugihara, K., 2348. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005.Google Scholar
Hanley, S. B., and Yamamura, K.Economic and Demographic Change in Preindustrial Japan, 1600–1868. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1977.Google Scholar
Hou, Chi-Ming. Foreign Investment and Economic Development in China, 1840–1937. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1965.Google Scholar
Hou, Chi-ming and Yu, Tzong-shian, eds. Modern Chinese Economic History, edited by Hou, Chi-ming and Yu, Tzong-shian. Taipei, Taiwan: The Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, 1977.Google Scholar
Hsiao, Liang-lin, Chinas Foreign Trade Statistics, 1864–1949, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1974.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hsueh, T., and Li, Q., eds. Chinas National Income, 1952–1995. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1999.Google Scholar
Kimura, Mitsuhiko. “Standards of Living in Colonial Korea: Did the Masses Become Worse Off or Better Off under Japanese Rule?” This Journal 53, no. 3 (1993): 629–52.Google Scholar
Kirby, William C.“China Unincorporated: Company Law and Business Enterprise in Twentieth-Century China.” The Journal of Asian Studies 54, no. 1. (February 1995): 4364.Google Scholar
Koll, Elisabeth. From Cotton Mill to Business Empire: The Emergence of Regional Enterprises in Modern China. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2003.Google Scholar
Kubo, Toru. “Industrial Development in Republican China: Newly Revised Index: 1912–1948.” Paper presented at the International Economic History Congress at Helsinki, 2006.Google Scholar
Li, Bozhong, Agricultural Development in Jiangnan, 1620–1850. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1998.Google Scholar
Liu, Ta-chung. Chinas National Income 193136: An Exploratory Study. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1946.Google Scholar
Liu, Ta-chung, and Yeh, Kung-chia. The Economy of the Chinese Mainland: National Income and Economic Development, 1933–1959. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1965.Google Scholar
Ma, Debin. “Growth, Institutions and Knowledge: A Review and Reflection on the Historiography of 18th20th Century China.” Australian Economic History Review 44, no. 3 (November 2004, Special Issue on the Economic History of Asia): 259–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ma, Debin. “Between Cottage and Factory: The Evolution of Chinese and Japanese Silk-Reeling Industries in the Latter Half of 19th Century.” Journal of The Asia Pacific Economy 10, no. 2 (May 2005): 195213.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ma, Debin. “Shanghai-Based Industrialization in the Early 20th Century: A Quantitative and Institutional Analysis.” Global Economic History Network Working Paper No. 18, 2006.Google Scholar
Maddison, Angus, Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run. Paris: Development Center of the OECD, printed in France, 1998.Google Scholar
Maddison, Angus. The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective. Paris: Development Center of the OECD, 2001.Google Scholar
Martin, Brian G.The Shanghai Green GangPolitics and Organized Crime 1919–1939. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1996.Google Scholar
Montono, Eiichi. Conflict and Cooperation in Sino-British Business, 1860–1911: The Impact of Pro-British Commercial Network in Shanghai. New York: St. Martins Press, 1999.Google Scholar
Morgan, Stephen. “Economic Growth and the Biological Standard of Living in China, 1880–1930.” Economic and Human Biology 2, no. 2 (2004): 197218.Google Scholar
Morgan, Stephen, and Liu, S.“Was Japanese Colonialism Good for the Welfare of Taiwanese? Stature and the Standard of Living.” forthcoming China Quarterly.Google Scholar
Murphey, Rhoads. Shanghai: Key to Modern China. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1953.Google Scholar
Myers, Ramon H.The Chinese Economy Past and Present. Belmont, CA: Wadsworth, Inc., 1980.Google Scholar
Nakamura, James, and Miyamoto, Matao. “Social Structure and Population Change: A Comparative Study of Tokugawa Japan and Ching China.” Economic Development and Cultural Change 30, no. 2 (January 1982): 229–69.Google Scholar
Ohkawa, Kazushi. The Growth Rate of the Japanese Economy since 1878. Tokyo: Kinokuniya Bookstore Co., 1957.Google Scholar
Ohkawa, Kazushi, and Henry, Rosovsky. Japanese Economic Growth: Trend Acceleration in the Twentieth Century. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1973.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ohkawa, Kazushi, Noda, Tsutomu, Takamatsu, Nobukiyo, et al. Estimates of Long-Term Economic Statistics of Japan, vol. 8, Prices. Tokyo: Toyo Keizai Shinbunsha, 1967.Google Scholar
Olson, Mancur“Dictatorship, Democracy, and Development.” American Political Science Review 87, no. 3 (September 1993): 567–76.Google Scholar
Perkins, Dwight. Agricultural Development in China 1368–1968. Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press, 1969.Google Scholar
Pomeranz, Kenneth. The Great Divergence: Europe, China, and the Making of the Modern World Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2000.Google Scholar
Pott, F. L. Hawks. A Short History of Shanghai. Shanghai: Kelly and Walsh, Ltd. 1928.Google Scholar
Rawski, Thomas G.Economic Growth in Prewar China. Berkeley: University of California Press. 1989.Google Scholar
Rawski, Thomas G. “Chinas Industrial Performance, 194957.” In Quantitative Measures of Chinas Economic Output, edited by Eckstein, Alexander, chapter 2. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press, 1980.Google Scholar
Rawski, Thomas G.“Economy of the Lower Yangtze Region, 1850–1980.” Unpublished manuscript, 1985.Google Scholar
Remer, C. F.Foreign Investments in China. New York: The Macmillan Co., 1933.Google Scholar
Reynolds, Douglas R.China, 1898–1912: The Xinzheng Revolution and Japan. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1993.Google Scholar
Shay, Ted. “The Level of Living in Japan, 1885–1938.” In Stature, Living Standards, and Economic Development: Essays in Anthropometric History, edited by Komlos, John, 173201. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press. 1994.Google Scholar
Sheridan, James. “The Warlord Era: Politics and Militarism under the Peking Government, 191628.” In The Cambridge History of China, Vol. 12, Republican China 1912–1949, Part I., edited by Twitchett, Denis and Fairbank, John, 284321. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1983.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Skinner, G. William. “Presidential Address: The Structure of Chinese History.” Journal of Asian Studies 44, no. 2 (February 1985): 271–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smith, Thomas C.Political Change and Industrial Development in Japan: Government Enterprise, 1868–1880. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1955.Google Scholar
Stephens, Thomas B.Order and Discipline in China. Seattle and London: University of Washington Press, 1992.Google Scholar
Sugihara, Kaoru, ed. Japan, China, and the Growth of the Asian International Economy, 1850–1949. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005.Google Scholar
Wakeman, Federick, and Yeh, Wen-hsin, eds. Shanghai Sojourners. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Wang, Yeh-chien. Land Taxation in Imperial China, 1750–1911. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1973.Google Scholar
Wong, Siu-lun. Emigrant Entrepreneurs: Shanghai Industrialists in Hongkong. Hongkong: Oxford University Press, 1988.Google Scholar
Wright, Mary C.The Last Stand of Chinese Conservatism: The Tung-Chih Restoration 1862–1874. Stanford, CA: Stanford University 1962.Google Scholar
Yeh, K. C. “Chinas National Income, 1931–1936.” In Modern Chinese Economic History, edited by Hou, Chi-ming and Yu, Tzong-shian, 95128. Taipei, Taiwan: The Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, 1977.Google Scholar
Bergere, Marie-Claire. Shanghai Shi (translated from French with original title: Histoire de la Shanghai). Shanghai: Shanghai Academy of Social Science Press, 2005.Google Scholar
Chao, Shuji, Zhongguo Renkoushi (Population History of China), vols. 4 and 5, (the Ming and Qing Dynasties). Shanghai: Fudan University Press, 2000 and 2001.Google Scholar
Du, XunchengMinzu Zhiben Zhuyi yu JiuzhongguoZhengfu (Chinese Capitalism and the Old Chinese Government: 1840–1937). Shanghai: Shanghai Academy of Social Science, 1991.Google Scholar
Editorial Committee of Zhongguo Jindai Fangzhishi” Zhongguo Jindai Fangzhishi (Modern History of Chinese Textile) (two volumes). Beijing: Zhongguo Fangzhi Publishing. 1997.Google Scholar
Fei, Chengkang. Zhongguo Zujieshi (History of Foreign Concessions in China). Shanghai: Shanghai Social Science Academy Press. 1992.Google Scholar
Feng, Youcai. Zaishang Yanshang, Zhengzhi Bianju zhong de Jiang-zhe Shangren. (Merchants Only Talk About Business: Jiang-zhe Merchants in Political Turmoil). Shanghai Academy of Social Science Press, 2004.Google Scholar
Ma, Junya, Hunhe yu Fazhan, Jiangnan Diqu Chuanton Shehui Jinji de Xiandai Yanbian (1900–1950). (Mixture and Development: The Modern Evolution of the Traditional Social Economy in Jiangnan, 1900–1950). Beijing: Social Science Document Publisher, 2003.Google Scholar
Ou, Baosan, “Zhongguo Guomin Suode 1933, 1936, 1946” (National Income of China, 1933, 1936, 1946), Sehui Kexue Zazi (Quarterly Review of Social Sciences) 9, no. 1 (June 1947): 12155.Google Scholar
Ou, Baosan, Wang, Fushen, Zhang, Jihong, et al., eds. Zhongguo Guomin Suode (National Income of China), vols, 1 and 2. Shanghai: Zhonghua sujui, 1947.Google Scholar
Peng, Zeyi. Zhongguo Jindai Sougongyeshi Ziliao (Materials on Modern Chinese Handicraft Industry), vol. 3. Beijing: Zhonghua Sujiu. 1962.Google Scholar
Shenbao Nianjian Press. Shenbao Nianjian, No. 3. Shanghai: Shenbao Nianjian Press, 1935.Google Scholar
State Statistical Bureau. Xinzhongguo Wushinian (Fifty Years of New China). Beijing: China Statistical Publishing House, 1998.Google Scholar
State Statistical Bureau. China Statistical Yearbook Beijing: China Statistical Publishing House, 1990 and 1999.Google Scholar
Wang, Jinyu. Jindai Zhongguo Zhiben Zhuyi de Zhongti Kaocai yu Gean Bianxi (A General and Case-Study on Modern Chinese Capitalism). Beijing: Chinese Academy of Social Science Press. 2004.Google Scholar
Xiong, Yuzi, ed. Shanghai Tongshi (The General History of Shanghai), 8 volumes. Shanghai: Shanghai Renmin Chubanshe, 1999.Google Scholar
Xu, Xinwu and Hanming, Huang. Shanghai Jindai Gongyeshi (History of Modern Industry in Shanghai). 1998.Google Scholar
Xu, Xinwu, ed. Jiangnan Tubushi (History of Native Cloth in Jiangnan). Shanghai: Shanghai Academy of Social Science Press. 1989.Google Scholar
Yan, Xinzhe, Nongcun Jiating Diaocha (Rural Household Survey). Shanghai: Commercial Press, 1937.Google Scholar
Yan, ZhongpinZhongguo Miafang Zhi Shigao (History of Chinese Cotton Textile 1289–1937). Beijing: Science Press, 1963.Google Scholar
Yan, Zhongpin, Xu, Yisheng, Yao, Xiangao, et al., eds. Zhongguo jindai jingjishi tongji ziliao xuanji (Selected statistical materials on modern Chinese economic history). Beijing: Kexue chubanshe, 1955.Google Scholar
Yang, Xiangju. Diguo zi Bian yu Guotou zi Lian (The Imperial Whip and Oligarchic Chain: A Study on the Changing Power Relations of Shanghai Mixed Court). Beijing: Beijing University Press, 2006.Google Scholar
Yang, Ximen. “Shanghai Gongren Shenghuo Chengdu de Yige Yanjiu” (A Research on the Living Standards of Shanghai Workers). In Minguoshiqi Shehuidiaocha Congbian (A Compilation of Social Surveys in the Republic Period, the Urban Volume, Vol. 1), edited by Wenhai, Li, 243336. Fuzhou: Fujian Education Press, 2005.Google Scholar
Yu, XiaoboBijiao yu Shenshi Nantong Moushi yu Wuxi Moushi Yanjiu (Comparison and Evluation a Study on Nantong and Wuxi Models) Anhui Education Press. 2001.Google Scholar
Zhang, Zhong-Li, ed. Jindai Shanghai Chengsi Yanjiu (Studies on Modern Shanghai). Shanghai: Shanghai Peoples Press, 1990.Google Scholar
Hayami, Akira. Kinsei Nihon no Keizai Shakai (Economic Society in Early Modern Japan). Chiba Prefecture, Japan: Reitaku University Press, 2003.Google Scholar
Ishii, Kanji. Nihon no Sangyou Kakumei (Japanese Industrial Revolution: from the Perspective of Japan-China and Japan-Russuo Wars). Tokyo: Asahi News Publishers. 1998.Google Scholar
Kubo, Toru. Sankanki Chuugoku Jiritsu e no Mosaku” (Chinas Search for Indepdence during the Inter-War Period). Tokyo: University of Tokyo Press, 1999.Google Scholar
Kanemaru, Yuichi. “Electric Power Industry and The Golden Age of National Industries in China: A Comparative Study of Shanghai and Jiangsu, 1879–1924.” Ajia Kenkyu (Asia Studies) 39, no. 4 (August 1993): 2983.Google Scholar
Kobu, Toru, and Makino, F.“Chinese Industrial Output in 1933.” Discussion Paper No. D99-4, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, 1998.Google Scholar
Mizoguchi, Toshiyuki, and Mataji, Umemura, eds. Basic Economic Statistics of Former Japanese Colonies, 1895–1938. Tokyo: Toyo Keizai Shinposha. 1988.Google Scholar
Suzuki, Tomoo. Yomu Undou No Kenkyu (A Study of the Westernization Movement in China in the Latter Half of the Nineteenth Century). Tokyo: Kyuko Shoin, 1992.Google Scholar
Toa, Kenkyujyou (Institute of East Asia Research). Shina Nongyou Kisou Toukei Shiryou 2. Toa Kenkyuuhyou: 1940.Google Scholar
Yuzou, Yamamato. Nihon Shokuminchi Keizai Shi Kenkyu (Economic History of Japanese Colonies). Nagoya: Nagoya University Press, 2000.Google Scholar