Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-25T12:33:54.680Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

What Caused Chicago Bank Failures in the Great Depression? A Look at the 1920s

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 May 2016

Natacha Postel-Vinay*
Affiliation:
Natacha Postel-Vinay is CAGE Postdoctoral Fellow, Department of Economics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV47AL. E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

This article reassesses the causes of Chicago state bank failures during the Great Depression by tracking the evolution of their balance sheets in the 1920s. I find that all banks suffered tremendous deposit withdrawals; however banks that failed earlier in the 1930s had invested more in mortgages in the 1920s. The main problem with mortgages was their lack of liquidity, not their quality. Banks heavily engaged in mortgages did not have enough liquid assets to face the withdrawals, and failed. This article thus reasserts the importance of pre-crisis liquidity risk management in preventing bank failures.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The Economic History Association 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

I am very grateful to my PhD advisors Olivier Accominotti and Albrecht Ritschl for their continuous support and guidance. I would also like to thank Mark Billings, Charles Calomiris, Forrest Capie, Mark Carlson, Nick Crafts, Barry Eichengreen, Alexander Field, John Gent, Bishnupriya Gupta, Frank Kennedy, Joseph Mason, Kris Mitchener, Anne Murphy, Mark Tippett, Stephan Werner, Eugene White, three anonymous referees and seminar participants at the London School of Economics, University of Warwick, Queen's University Belfast, the Canadian Network of Economic Historians Conference in Banff, the Economic History Society Annual Conference in York, the Cliometrics Workshop in Strasbourg, the Economic and Business History Society Conference in Baltimore, and the Economic History Association Annual Meeting in Washington, D.C. Funding from the Economic and Social Research Council is gratefully acknowledged. All errors are mine.

References

REFERENCES

Allen, Frederick L. Only Yesterday: An Informal History of the Nineteen-Twenties. New York: Harper and Brothers, 1931.Google Scholar
Anderson, F. H.Essential and Practical Covenants of First and Second Mortgages.Real Estate Finance 5 1927: 4757. National Realtors Archives, Chicago.Google Scholar
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Bulletin. Washington, D.C.: Federal Reserve System, September 1937.Google Scholar
Bodfish, H. Morton, and Bayless, A. C.. “Costs and Encumbrance Ratios in a Highly Developed Real Estate Market.Journal of Land and Public Utility Economics 4, no. 2 1928: 125–38.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bogen, Jules I., and Willis, H. Parker. Investment Banking. New York: Harper & Brothers, 1929.Google Scholar
Bordo, Michael, and Landon-Lane, John. “The Banking Panics of the United States in the 1930s: Some Lessons for Today.Oxford Review of Economic Policy 26, no. 3 2010: 486509.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brunnermeier, Markus K.Deciphering the Liquidity Credit Crunch 2007–08.NBER Working Paper 14612, Cambridge, MA, 2008.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., and Gorton, Gary. “The Origins of Banking Panics: Models, Facts, and Bank Regulation.” In Financial Markets and Financial Crises, edited by Hubbard, R. Glenn, 109–74. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1991.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., Heider, Florian, and Hoerova, Marie. “A Theory of Bank Liquidity Requirements.Columbia Business School Research Paper No. 14–39, 2015.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., and Charles M., Kahn. “The Role of Demandable Debt in Structuring Optimal Banking Arrangements.American Economic Review 81, no. 3 1991: 497513.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., and Joseph R., Mason. “Contagion and Bank Failures During the Great Depression: The June 1932 Chicago Banking Panic.American Economic Review 87, no. 5 1997: 863–83.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., and Joseph R., Mason. “Fundamentals, Panics, and Bank Distress During the Depression.American Economic Review 87, no. 5 2003: 863–83.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., and Joseph R., Mason. “How to Restructure Failed Banking Systems: Lessons from the United States in the 1930s and Japan in the 1990s.” In Governance, Regulation, and Privatization in the Asia-Pacific Region, NBER East Asia Seminar on Economics, Volume 12, edited by Ito, Takatoshi and O, Anne. Krueger, 375–424. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2004.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., Mason, Joseph R., Weidenmier, Marc, et al. “The Effects of Reconstruction Finance Corporation Assistance on Michigan's Banks' Survival in the 1930s.Explorations in Economic History 50, no. 4 2013: 526–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., and David C., Wheelock. “The Failures of Large Southern Banks During the Great Depression.Columbia University Working Paper, New York, NY, 1995.Google Scholar
Calomiris, Charles W., and Wilson, Barry. “Bank Capital and Portfolio Management: The 1930s Capital Crunch and the Scramble to Shed Risk.Journal of Business 77, no. 3 2004: 421–55.Google Scholar
Campbell, John Y., Giglio, Stefano, and Pathak, Parag. “Forced Sales and House Prices.American Economic Review 101, no. 5 2011: 2108–31.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carlson, Mark. “Are Branch Banks Better Survivors? Evidence from the Depression Era.Federal Reserve Board Working Paper 2001, Washington, D.C., 2001.Google Scholar
Carlson, Mark, Mitchener, Kris J., and Richardson, Gary. “Arresting banking panics: Federal Reserve liquidity provision and the forgotten panic of 1929.Journal of Political Economy 119, no. 5 2011: 889924.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chapman, John M., and Willis, H. Parker. The Banking Situation, American Post-War Problems and Developments. New York: Columbia University Press, 1934.Google Scholar
Chicago Tribune, various issues.Google Scholar
Child, S. R.A Uniform Mortgage Law for All the States.Real Estate Finance 4 (1925): 209226. National Realtors Archives, Chicago.Google Scholar
Diamond, Douglas W., and Philip H., Dybvig. “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity.Journal of Political Economy 91, no. 3 1983: 401–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Esbitt, Milton. “Bank Portfolios and Bank Failures During the Great Depression: Chicago.Journal of Economic History 46, no. 2 1986: 455–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Federal Home Loan Bank Board. Federal Home Loan Bank Review. Washington, D.C.: Federal Home Loan Banks, 1934.Google Scholar
Federal Home Loan Bank Board. The Federal Home Loan Bank System, 1932–1935. Washington, D. C.: Federal Home Loan Banks, 1952.Google Scholar
Field, Alexander J.The Interwar Housing Cycle in the Light of 2001–2012: A Comparative Historical Perspective.” In Housing and Mortgage Markets in Historical Perspectives, edited by Fishback, Price, Price, Kenneth Snowden, and White, Eugene, 3980. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2014.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fishback, Price, Horrace, William C., and Kantor, Shawn. “The Origins of Modern Housing Finance: the Impact of Federal Housing Programs During the Great Depression.Working Paper, University of Arizona, 2001.Google Scholar
Fishback, Price, Horrace, William C., Kantor, Shawn, et al. “The Influence of the Home Owners Loan Corporation in Housing Markets During the 1930s.NBER Working Paper 15824, Cambridge, MA, 2009.Google Scholar
Fishback, Price, Rose, Jonathan, and Snowden, Kenneth. Well Worth Saving: How the New Deal Safeguarded Home Ownership. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2013.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fisher, Ernest M.Real Estate Subdividing Activity and Population Growth in Nine Urban Areas.Michigan Business Studies 1, no. 9 1928: 162.Google Scholar
Friedman, Milton, and Anna J., Schwartz. A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1963.Google Scholar
Gambs, Carl M.Bank Failures — An Historical Perspective.Economic Review (June 1977): 1020.Google Scholar
Genesove, David, and Mayer, Christopher. “Loss Aversion and Seller Behavior: Evidence from the Housing Market.Quarterly Journal of Economics 116, no. 4 2001: 1233–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goodhart, Charles A.Liquidity risk management.Banque de France Financial Stability Review 11 2008: 3944.Google Scholar
Goodhart, Charles A.The Changing Role of Central Banks.BIS Working Papers 326, Basel, Switzerland, 2010.Google Scholar
Gorton, Gary, and Metrick, Andrew. “Securitized Banking and the Run on Repo.Journal of Financial Economics 104, no. 3 2012: 425–51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gorton, Gary, and Metrick, Andrew. “The Federal Reserve and Panic Prevention: The Roles of Financial Regulation and Lender of Last Resort.Journal of Economic Perspectives 27, no. 4 2013: 4564.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gries, John M., and Ford, James. The Presidents Conference on Home Building and Home Ownership, Called by President Hoover. Home Finance and Taxation. Washington, D.C.: National Capital Press, 1932.Google Scholar
Guglielmo, Mark. Illinois State Bank Failures in the Great Depression. Ph.D. thesis, University of Chicago, 1998.Google Scholar
Hoppe, W. J.Assignment of Rents as Additional Security for Second Mortgages.Real Estate Finance 4 1926: 3542. National Realtors Archives, Chicago.Google Scholar
Hopper, C. B.Trust Deeds Versus Mortgages.Real Estate Finance 5 1927: 6272. National Realtors Archives, Chicago.Google Scholar
Hoyt, Homer. One Hundred Years of Land Values in Chicago, The Relationship of the Growth of Chicago to the Rise in its Land Values, 1830–1933. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1933.Google Scholar
Illinois Auditor of Public Accounts. Statement Showing Total Resources and Liabilities of Illinois State Banks. Various years. Springfield: Journal Printing Company, n.d.Google Scholar
Jacobs, J. L. Land-Value Maps. Assessor of Cook County, 1931.Google Scholar
James, F. Cyril. The Growth of Chicago Banks. New York: Harper and Brothers Publishers, 1938.Google Scholar
Johnson, F. L.How Banks and Mortgage Companies Can Help the Realtor.Real Estate Finance 1923: 119127. National Realtors Archives, Chicago.Google Scholar
Lev, Baruch, and Sunder, Shyam. “Methodological Issues in the Use of Financial Ratios.Journal of Accounting and Economics 1, no. 3 1979: 187210.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mason, Joseph R.American Banks During the Great Depression: A New Research Agenda.Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 80 1998: 151–52.Google Scholar
Mason, Joseph R.Do Lender of Last Resort Policies Matter? The Effects of Reconstruction Finance Corporation Assistance to Banks During the Great Depression.Journal of Financial Services Research 20, no. 1 2001: 7795.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mcleay, Stuart, and Trigueiros, Duarte. “Proportionate Growth and the Theoretical of Financial Ratios.Abacus 38, no. 3 2002: 297–316.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McNally, Rand. Rand McNally Bankers Directory. New York: Rand McNally and Co, various years.Google Scholar
Messer-Kruse, Thomas. Banksters, Bosses and Smart Money: A Social History of the Toledo Bank Crash of 1931. Columbus: Ohio State University Press, 2004.Google Scholar
Mitchener, Kris J.Bank Supervision, Regulation, and Instability during the Great Depression.Journal of Economic History 65, no. 1 2005: 152–68.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mitchener, Kris J., and Richardson, Gary. “Shadowy Banks and Financial Contagion during the Great Depression: A Retrospective on Friedman and Schwartz.American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 103, no. 3 2013: 7378.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Morton, J. E. Urban Mortgage Lending: Comparative Markets and Experience. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1956.Google Scholar
Olcott, George C. Land Values Blue Book of Chicago. Annual vols. 19101933.Google Scholar
Postel-Vinay, Natacha. Sitting Ducks: Banks, Mortgage Lending, and the Great Depression in the Chicago area, 1923–1933. Ph.D. thesis, The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), 2014a.Google Scholar
Postel-Vinay, Natacha. “Debt Dilution in 1920s America: Lighting the Fuse of a Mortgage Crisis.Economic History Review, forthcoming.Google Scholar
Reinhart, Vincent. “A Year of Living Dangerously: The Management of the Financial Crisis in 2008.Journal of Economic Perspectives 25, no. 1 2011: 7190.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Richardson, Gary. “Categories and Causes of Bank Distress During the Great Depression, 1929–1933: The Illiquidity versus Insolvency Debate Revisited.Explorations in Economic History 44, no. 4 2007: 588607.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Richardson, Gary, and Troost, William. “Monetary Intervention Mitigated Banking Panics during the Great Depression: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Federal Reserve District Border, 1929–1933.Journal of Political Economy 117, no. 6 2009: 1031–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rodkey, Richard G.State Bank Failures in Michigan.Michigan Business Studies 7, no. 2 1935: 169.Google Scholar
Rodkey, Richard G. Sound Policies for Bank Management, A Discussion for Bank Officers and Directors. New York: The Ronald Press Company, 1944.Google Scholar
Rose, Jonathan D.The Incredible HOLC? Mortgage Relief during the Great Depression.Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 43, no. 6 2011: 1073–107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sakolski, Aaron M. The Great American Land Bubble: The Amazing Story of Land-Grabbing, Speculations, and Booms from Colonial Days to the Present Time. New York: Johnson Reprint Corp, 1966.Google Scholar
Schleifer, Andrei, and Vishny, Robert. “Fire Sales in Finance and Macroeconomics.Journal of Economic Perspectives 25, no. 1 2011: 2948.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shin, Hyun S.Reflections on Northern Rock: The Bank Run that Heralded the Global Financial Crisis.Journal of Economic Perspectives 23, no. 1 2009: 101–20.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Snowden, Kenneth. “The Anatomy of a Residential Mortgage Crisis: A Look Back to the 1930s.NBER Working Paper 16244, Cambridge, MA, 2010.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Snowden, Kenneth. “The Transition from Building and Loan to Savings and Loan, 1890–1940.” In Finance, Intermediaries and Economic Development, edited by Philipp Hoffman, Jean-Laurent Rosenthal, Engerman, Stanley, and Sokoloff, Kenneth, 157–208. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stalker, J. N.Report on Field Trip.Real Estate Finance 4 1925: 6178. National Realtors Archives, Chicago.Google Scholar
Stein, Jeremy M. Overheating in Credit Markets: Origins, Measurement, and Policy Responses. Remarks at “Restoring Household Financial Stability after the Great Recession: Why Household Balance Sheets Matter.” Research Symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2013.Google Scholar
Temin, Peter. Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 1976.Google Scholar
Thomas, R.G.Bank Failures Causes and Remedies.Journal of Business of the University of Chicago 8, no. 3 1935: 297318.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tippett, Mark. “An Induced Theory of Financial Ratios.Accounting and Business Research 21, no. 81 1990: 7785.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
University of Illinois Bulletin. “An Analysis of Earning Assets of Chicago Banks.Urbana: University of Illinois, 1929.Google Scholar
U.S. Congress. Hearings before the Select Committee on Reconstruction and Production, United States Senate, Sixty-Sixth Congress, Third Session, pursuant to S. Res. 350, Authorizing the Appointment of a Committee to Inquire into the General Building Situation and to Report to the Senate before December 1, 1920, such Measures as may be Deemed Necessary to Stimulate and Foster the Development of Construction Work in all its forms. Washington, D.C.: GPO, 1921.Google Scholar
U.S. Congress. Hearings before the Committee on Banking and Currency, House of Representatives, Sixty-Ninth Congress, First Session on H.R. 7895, A Bill to Amend Paragraph (d) of Section 14 of the Federal Reserve Act, as Amended, to Provide for the Stabilization of the Price Level for Commodities in General. Washington, D.C.: GPO, 1927.Google Scholar
U.S. Congress. Hearings before a Subcommittee of the Committee on Banking and Currency, United States Senate, Seventy-Second Congress, First Session on S. 2959, a Bill to Create Federal Home Loan Banks, to Provide for the Supervision Thereof, and for Other Purposes. Washington, D.C.: GPO, 1932.Google Scholar
U.S. Congress. Public Hearings before a Subcommittee of the Select Committee on Investigation of Real Estate Bondholders' Reorganizations, House of Representatives. 73rd Cong., 2nd sess. Washington, D.C.: GPO, 1934.Google Scholar
Van Hoose, David. The Industrial Organization of Banking, Bank Behavior, Market Structure and Regulation. Berlin: Springer, 2010.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vickers, Raymond B. Panic in the Loop: Chicago's Banking Crisis of 1932. Plymouth: Lexington Books, 2011.Google Scholar
Wheelock, David C. The Strategy and Consistency of Federal Reserve Monetary Policy, 1924–1933. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wheelock, David C.The Federal Response to Home Mortgage Distress: Lessons from the Great Depression.Federal Reserve of St. Louis Review 90 2008: 133–48.Google Scholar
White, Eugene N. The Regulation and Reform of the American Banking System, 1900–1929. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1983.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, Eugene N.A Reinterpretation of the Banking Crisis of 1930.Journal of Economic History 44, no. 1 1984: 119–38.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, Eugene N.Lessons from the Great American Real Estate Boom and Bust of the 1920s.” In Housing and Mortgage Markets in Historical Perspectives, edited by Fishback, Price, Snowden, Kenneth, and Eugene White. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2014.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wicker, Elmus. The Banking Panics of the Great Depression. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wigmore, Barry A. The Crash and Its Aftermath: A History of Securities Markets in the United States., 19291933 London: Greenwood Press, 1995.Google Scholar