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248 Use of a Propensity Score to Examine Association between Rates of In-Hospital Decongestion and Mortality and Cardiovascular Outcomes Among Patients admitted for Acute Heart Failure
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 19 April 2022
Abstract
OBJECTIVES/GOALS: Decongestion, or fluid removal, is an important goal in the management of acute heart failure (AHF) among patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We sought to examine whether the rate of decongestion is associated with mortality and cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: Using data from the Efficacy of Vasopressin Antagonism in Heart Failure Outcome Study With Tolvaptan (EVEREST) trial (n=4133), we evaluated the rate of decongestion by using linear mixed models to derive the in-hospital slope of b-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and hematocrit as proxies of volume overload and hemoconcentration, respectively. A propensity score was developed to match patients from the quartile with most rapid rates of decongestion to the three quartiles with slower rates. Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted to assess the association between rate of decongestion with risk of all-cause mortality and a composite of CV mortality or AHF hospitalization. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: Slower rates of in-hospital decongestion were associated with increased risk of both outcomes over a median 10-month follow-up. Those with slower rates of BNP decline, in comparison to the propensity-score matched patients with the most rapid rates of BNP decline, had higher hazards of mortality (HR=1.73 [1.23, 2.42]) and the composite outcome (HR=1.48 [1.18, 1.86]). Those with slower rates of hematocrit increase, in comparison to the propensity-score matched patients with the most rapid rates of hematocrit increase, showed a trend toward higher hazard of mortality (HR=1.17 [0.95, 1.43]) and an increased risk of the composite outcome (HR=1.26 [1.08, 1.47]). DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: Among patients with HFrEF admitted for AHF, slower rates of decongestion are associated with increased risk of mortality, CV mortality and AHF hospitalization. It remains unknown whether more rapid decongestion provides cardiovascular benefit or if it serves as a proxy for less treatment resistant heart failure.
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- This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
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- © The Author(s), 2022. The Association for Clinical and Translational Science