Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-hc48f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-23T05:28:22.052Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Improving the practice of economic analysis of climate change adaptation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 April 2015

Michael Mullan
Affiliation:
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Environment Directorate, Paris, France
Jennifer Helgeson
Affiliation:
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Environment Directorate, Paris, France; London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Geography and Environment, London, UK; and The Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract:

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The development of national and sectoral climate change adaptation strategies is burgeoning in the US and elsewhere in response to damages from extreme events and projected future risks from climate change. Increasingly, decision makers are requesting information on the economic damages of climate change as well as costs, benefits, and tradeoffs of alternative actions to inform climate adaptation decisions. This paper provides a practical view of the applications of economic analysis to aid climate change adaptation decision making, with a focus on benefit-cost analysis (BCA). We review the recent developments and applications of BCA with implications for climate risk management and adaptation decision making, both in the US and other Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. We found that BCA is still in early stages of development for evaluating adaptation decisions, and to date is mostly being applied to investment project-based appraisals. Moreover, the best practices of economic analysis are not fully reflected in the BCAs of climate adaptation-relevant decisions. The diversity of adaptation measures and decision-making contexts suggest that evaluation of adaptation measures may require multiple analytical methods. The economic tools and information would need to be transparent, accessible, and match with the decision contexts to be effective in enhancing decision making. Based on the current evidence, a set of analytical considerations is proposed for improving economic analysis of climate adaptation that includes the need to better address uncertainty and to understand the cross-sector and general equilibrium effects of sectoral and national adaptation policy.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis 2014

References

Brent, R. J. (2006). Applied cost-benefit analysis (3rd ed.). Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar Publishing.Google Scholar
Burton, I. (1996). The growth of adaptation capacity: practice and policy. In Smith, J., Bhatti, N., Menzhulin, G., Benioff, R., Budyko, M. I., Campos, M., Jallow, B. & Rijsberman, F. (Eds.), Adapting to climate change: An international perspective. New York, NY, USA: Springer-Verlag.Google Scholar
Center for Climate Strategies. (2011). Adaptation guidebook: Comprehensive climate actions. Washington, DC: The Center for Climate Strategies. Retrieved from http://www.climatestrategies.us/library/library/view/908.Google Scholar
Chambwera, M. & Stage, J. (2010). Climate change adaptation in developing countries: Issues and perspectives for economic analysis. London, UK: International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED). Retrieved from http://pubs.iied.org/pdfs/15517IIED.pdf.Google Scholar
Cimato, F. & Mullan, M. (2010). Adapting to climate change: Analysing the role of government. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), London, UK. Retrieved from http://archive.defra.gov.uk/environment/climate/documents/analysing-role-government.pdf.Google Scholar
Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., Krey, V., Richels, R., Rose, S. & Tavoni, M. (2009). International climate policy architectures: Overview of the EMF 22 international scenarios. Energy Economics, 31, S64S81.Google Scholar
Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ). (2013). Principles and requirements for federal investments in water resources. Washington, DC: CEQ. Retrieved from http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/final_principles_and_requirements_march_2013.pdf.Google Scholar
Department of Transportation (DOT). (2013a). Notice of funding availability for the Department of Transportation’s national infrastructure investments under the Consolidated and Further Continuing Appropriations Act, 2013. Federal Register, 78(81), 24786–24794.Google Scholar
Department of Transportation DOT. (2013b). 2013 Benefit-cost analyses guidance for TIGER grant applicants. Washington, DC: DOT. Retrieved from http://www.dot.gov/sites/dot.dev/files/docs/TIGER%202013%20NOFA_BCA%20Guidance_0.pdf.Google Scholar
Department of Transportation DOT. (2014). TIGER benefit-cost analysis (BCA) resource guide. Washington, DC: DOT. Retrieved from http://www.dot.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/TIGER%20BCA%20Resource%20Guide%202014.pdf.Google Scholar
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ). (2014). Mexican-German climate change alliance: Project description. Retrieved from http://www.giz.de/en/worldwide/25691.html.Google Scholar
Economics of Climate Adaptation. (2009). Shaping climate-resilient development, A Report of the Economics of Adaptation Working Group. 164 pages. Retrieved from http://ec.europa.eu/development/icenter/repository/ECA_Shaping_Climate_Resilent_Development.pdf.Google Scholar
Executive Order No. 13653. (2013). Preparing the United States for the impacts of climate change. Federal Register, 78(215), 6681966824.Google Scholar
Extreme weather events: The costs of not being prepared. Hearing before the US Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. (Feb. 12, 2014) (Testimony of Paul Kirshen). Retrieved from http://www.hsgac.senate.gov/hearings/extreme-weather-events-the-costs-of-not-being-prepared1.Google Scholar
Farrow, S. (2004). Using risk assessment, benefit-cost analysis, and real options to implement a precautionary principle. Risk Analysis, 24(3), 727735.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). (2009). Final BCA reference guide. Washington, DC: FEMA. Retrieved from http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4185.Google Scholar
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). (2011a). Supplement to the benefit-cost analysis reference guide. Washington, DC: FEMA. Retrieved from http://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/1396549910018-c9a089b8a8dfdcf760edcea2ff55ca56/bca_guide_supplement__508_final.pdf.Google Scholar
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). (2011b). FEMA climate change adaptation policy statement. Washington, DC: FEMA. Retrieved from http://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/20130726-1919-25045-6267/signed_climate_change_policy_statement.pdf.Google Scholar
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). (2013a). Incorporating sea level rise (SLR) into hazard mitigation assistance (HMA) benefit cost-analysis frequently asked questions (FAQs). Washington, DC: FEMA. Retrieved from http://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/1387903260455-e6faefb55a3f69d866994fb036625527/HMA+Sea+Level+Rise+FAQ+12-23-2013.pdf.Google Scholar
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). (2013b). Consideration of environmental benefits in the evaluation of acquisition projects under the hazard mitigation assistance (HMA) programs. Washington, DC: FEMA. Retrieved from http://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/20130726-1920-25045-4319/environmental_benefits_policy_june_18_2013_mitigation_policy_fp_108_024_01.pdf.Google Scholar
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). (2014). State mitigation plan review guide: Highlights of key concepts (Draft for external review). Washington, DC: FEMA. Retrieved from http://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/1410365092470-4dcaea71807b36f564f8e7841be4ff6b/State%20Mitigation%20Plan%20Review%20Guide_Key%20Concepts.pdf.Google Scholar
Federal Transit Administration (FTA). (2013). FTA notice of funding projects in response to Hurricane Sandy. Federal Register, 78(248), 7848678493.Google Scholar
Florio, M. (2014). Applied welfare economics: Cost-benefit analysis of projects and policies. New York, NY: Routledge. ISBN-13: 978-0415858311.Google Scholar
Gordon, K. (2014). Risky business: The economic risks of climate change in the United States. Risky Business Project. Retrieved from http://riskybusiness.org/uploads/files/RiskyBusiness_Report_WEB_09_08_14.pdf.Google Scholar
Government of Mexico. (2007). National strategy on climate change Mexico. Retrieved from http://www.un.org/ga/president/61/follow-up/climatechange/Nal_Strategy_MEX_eng.pdf.Google Scholar
Government of Mexico. (2012). Quinta comunicación nacional ante la convención Marco de las naciones unidas sobre el cambio climático (Mexico’s fifth national communication and first niannual report under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) published by Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (SEMARNAT). Retrieved from http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/mexnc5s.pdf.Google Scholar
Heal, G. & Millner, A. (2014). Reflections: Uncertainty and decision making in climate change economics. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 8(1), 120137.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
HM Treasury. (2009). Accounting for the effects of climate change: Supplementary green book guide. London, UK: HM Treasury. Retrieved from https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/191501/Accounting_for_the_effects_of_climate_change.pdf.Google Scholar
HM Treasury. (2011). The green book: Appraisal and evaluation in central government. London, UK: HM Treasury. Retrieved from https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/220541/green_book_complete.pdf.Google Scholar
Hurricane Sandy Rebuilding Task Force. (2013). Hurricane sandy rebuilding strategy: Stronger communities, a resilient region. Washington DC: Department of Housing and Urban Development. Retrieved from http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/huddoc?id=HSRebuildingStrategy.pdf.Google Scholar
Inter-American Development Bank. (2014). Understanding the economics of climate adaptation in Trinidad and Tobago. Washington, DC: Inter-American Development Bank. Retrieved from http://publications.iadb.org/handle/11319/6511.Google Scholar
Interagency Working Group on Social Cost of Carbon. (2013). Technical support document: Technical update of the social cost of carbon for regulatory impact analysis under Executive Order 12866, May 2013, Revised November 2013. Retrieved from http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/assets/inforeg/technical-update-social-cost-of-carbon-for-regulator-impact-analysis.pdf.Google Scholar
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2007). Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J. & Hanson, C. E., Eds.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2012). Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Field, C. B., Barros, V., Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Dokken, D. J., Ebi, K. L. …, Midgley, P. M., (Eds.), A special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK and New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2014a). Climate change 2014: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Field, C. B., Barros, V. R., Dokken, D. J., Mach, K. J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Bilir, T. E. …, White, L. L., (Eds.), Cambridge, UK and New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2014b). Climate change 2014: Mitigation of climate change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In Edenhofer, O., Pichs-Madruga, R., Sokona, Y., Farahani, E., Kadner, S., Seyboth, K. …, Minx, J. C., (Eds.). Cambridge, UK and New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Keller, K., Yohe, G. & Schlesinger, M. (2008). Managing the risks of climate thresholds: Uncertainties and information needs. Climatic Change, 91(1), 510.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Klein, R. J., Huq, S., Denton, F., Downing, T. E., Richels, R. G., Robinson, J. B. & Toth, F. L. (2007). Inter-relationships between adaptation and mitigation. In Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J. & Hanson, C. E. (Eds.), Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Kirshen, P., Ruth, M., and Anderson, W. (2008). Interdependencies of urban climate change impacts and adaptation strategies: A case study of metropolitan Boston USA. Climatic Change, 86, 105122.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kriegler, E., Weyant, J. P., Blanford, G. J., Krey, V., Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., … & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014). The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: Overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies. Climatic Change, 123(3–4), 353367. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0953-7.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lempert, R. (2014). Embedding (some) benefit-cost concepts into decision support processes with deep uncertainty. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 5(3), 487514.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mullan, M., Kingsmill, N., Kramer, A. M. & Agrawala, S. (2013). National adaptation planning: Lessons from OECD countries (No. 54). Paris: OECD Publishing. doi: 10.1787/5k483jpfpsq1-en.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
National Research Council. (2010). Advancing the science of climate change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. ISBN: 978-0-309-14588-6.Google Scholar
Neumann, J. & Strzepek, K. (2014). State of the literature on the economics of impacts of climate change in the United States. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 5(3), 411443.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nordhaus, W. D. (2010). Economic aspects of global warming in a post-Copenhagen environment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(26), 1172111726.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Office of Management and Budget (OMB). (1992). Guidelines and discount rates for benefit-cost analysis of federal programs (OMB Circular A-94). Washington, DC: OMB. Retrieved from: http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a094.Google Scholar
Office of Management and Budget (OMB). (2003). Regulatory analysis. (OMB Circular A-4). Washington, DC: OMB. Retrieved from http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a004_a-4.Google Scholar
Office of Management and Budget (OMB). (2013). Discount rates for cost-effectiveness, lease purchase, and related analyses (OMB Circular A-94, Appendix C). Washington, DC: OMB. Retreived from: http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a094/a94_appx-c.Google Scholar
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). (2008). Economic aspects of adaptation to climate change: Costs, benefits and policy instruments. Paris: OECD Publishing.Google Scholar
Pearce, D., Atkinson, G. & Mourato, S. (2006). Cost-benefit analysis and the environment: Recent developments. Paris, FR: OECD Publishing.Google Scholar
Rose, A., Porter, K., Dash, N., Bouabid, J., Huyck, C., Whitehead, J., …, & West, C. (2007). Benefit-cost analysis of FEMA hazard mitigation grants. Natural Hazards Review, 8(4), 97111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
State of Oregon. (2010). The Oregon climate change adaptation framework. Retrieved from http://www.oregon.gov/ENERGY/GBLWRM/docs/Framework_Final_DLCD.pdf.Google Scholar
Stern, N. (2007). The economics of climate change: The Stern review. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Sussman, F., Krishnan, N., Maher, K., Miller, R., Mack, C., Stewart, P., Shouse, K. & Perkins, B. (2014a). Climate change adaptation cost in the US: What do we know? Climate Policy, 14(2), 242282.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sussman, F., Weaver, C. & Grambsch, A. (2014b). Challenges in applying the paradigm of welfare economics to climate change. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 5(3), 347376.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
The City of New York. (2013). PlaNYC: A stronger, more resilient New York. New York, New York. Retrieved from http://www.nyc.gov/html/sirr/html/report/report.shtml.Google Scholar
Tol, R. (2005). Adaptation and mitigation: trade-offs in substance and methods. Environmental Science & Policy, 8(6), 572578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
U.K. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra). (2007). An introductory guide to valuing ecosystem services. London, UK: Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. Retrieved from http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/biodiversity/economics/pdf/valuing_ecosystems.pdf.Google Scholar
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). (2004). Adaptation policy frameworks for climate change: Developing strategies, policies and measures. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). (2007). Investment and financial flows relevant to the development of an effective and appropriate international response to climate change. Retrieved from http://unfccc.int/cooperation_and_support/financial_mechanism/items/4053.php.Google Scholar
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). (2011). Assessing the costs and benefits of adaptation options: An overview of approaches. ISBN 92-9219-085-7.Google Scholar
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. (2013). Incorporating sea-level change in civil works programs Regulation No. 1100-2-8162. Washington, DC: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Retrieved from http://planning.usace.army.mil/toolbox/library/Ers/ER_1100-2-8162.pdf.Google Scholar
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA). (2014). Guidelines for preparing economic analyses. 2010 report, updated May 2014. National Center for Environmental Economics, USEPA Office of Policy. Washington, DC. Retrieved from http://yosemite.epa.gov/ee/epa/eed.nsf/pages/guidelines.html.Google Scholar
U.S. EPA Science Advisory Board (SAB). (2009). Valuing the protection of ecological systems and services (No. EPA-SAB-09-012) (p. 138). Washington, DC: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Retrieved from http://yosemite.epa.gov/sab%5CSABPRODUCT.NSF/F3DB1F5C6EF90EE1852575C500589157/$File/EPA-SAB-09-012-unsigned.pdf.Google Scholar
U.S. Water Resources Council. (1983). Economic and environmental principles and guidelines for water and related land resources implementation studies. Retrieved from https://archive.org/details/CAT83790902.Google Scholar
Waldhoff, S. T., Martinich, J., Sarofim, M., DeAngelo, B., McFarland, J., Jantarasami, L., … & Li, J. (2014). Overview of the Special Issue: A multi-model framework to achieve consistent evaluation of climate change impacts in the United States. Climatic Change, 120. doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1206-0.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Watkiss, P., Downing, T. & Dyszynski, J. (2010). AdaptCost project: Analysis of the economic costs of climate change adaptation in Africa. UNEP, Nairobi.Google Scholar
Weyant, J. (2014). Integrated assessment of climate change: state of the literature. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 5(3), 377409.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
World Bank. (2010). Economics of adaptation to climate change: Synthesis report. Washington, DC: World Bank, p. 136. Retrieved from http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/16436675/economics-adaptation-climate-change-synthesis-report.Google Scholar
World Resources Institute (WRI). (2007), Weathering the storm: Options for framing adaptation and development. Washington, DC: World Resources Institute.Google Scholar
Zerbe, R., Davis, T., Garland, N. & Scott, T. (2010). Toward principles and standards in the use of benefit cost analysis: A summary of work. Retrieved from http://evans.uw.edu/sites/default/files/public/Final-Principles-and%20Standards-Report.pdf.Google Scholar