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Two Remarks on Blackwell's Theorem

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Ehud Lehrer*
Affiliation:
Tel Aviv University and INSEAD
Eran Shmaya*
Affiliation:
Tel Aviv University
*
Postal address: School of Mathematical Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv, 69978, Israel.
Postal address: School of Mathematical Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv, 69978, Israel.
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Abstract

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In a decision problem with uncertainty a decision maker receives partial information about the actual state via an information structure. After receiving a signal, he is allowed to withdraw and gets zero profit. We say that one structure is better than another when a withdrawal option exists if it may never happen that one structure guarantees a positive profit while the other structure guarantees only zero profit. This order between information structures is characterized in terms that are different from those used by Blackwell's comparison of experiments. We also treat the case of a malevolent nature that chooses a state in an adverse manner. It turns out that Blackwell's classical characterization also holds in this case.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2008 

References

[1] Blackwell, D. (1953). Equivalent comparisons of experiments. Ann. Math. Statist. 24, 265272.Google Scholar
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[3] Torgersen, E. N. (1991). Comparison of Statistical Experiments. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
[4] Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. (1981). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science 211, 453458.Google Scholar