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Recurrence Equations for the Probability Distribution of Sample Configurations in Exact Population Genetics Models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Sabin Lessard*
Affiliation:
Université de Montréal
*
Postal address: Département de Mathématiques et de Statistique, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec H3C 3J7, Canada. Email address: [email protected]
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Abstract

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Recurrence equations for the number of types and the frequency of each type in a random sample drawn from a finite population undergoing discrete, nonoverlapping generations and reproducing according to the Cannings exchangeable model are deduced under the assumption of a mutation scheme with infinitely many types. The case of overlapping generations in discrete time is also considered. The equations are developed for the Wright-Fisher model and the Moran model, and extended to the case of the limit coalescent with nonrecurrent mutation as the population size goes to ∞ and the mutation rate to 0. Computations of the total variation distance for the distribution of the number of types in the sample suggest that the exact Moran model provides a better approximation for the sampling formula under the exact Wright-Fisher model than the Ewens sampling formula in the limit of the Kingman coalescent with nonrecurrent mutation. On the other hand, this model seems to provide a good approximation for a Λ-coalescent with nonrecurrent mutation as long as the probability of multiple mergers and the mutation rate are small enough.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2010 

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