Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t7czq Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T05:02:03.739Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Optimal Strategy for the Vardi Casino with Interest Payments

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Ilie Grigorescu*
Affiliation:
University of Miami
Robert Chen*
Affiliation:
University of Miami
Larry Shepp*
Affiliation:
Rutgers University
*
Postal address: Department of Mathematics, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33124-4250, USA.
Postal address: Department of Mathematics, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33124-4250, USA.
∗∗∗∗ Postal address: Department of Statistics, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08855, USA. Email address: [email protected]
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

A gambler starts with fortune f < 1 and plays in a Vardi casino with infinitely many tables indexed by their odds, r ≥ 0. In addition, all tables return the same expected winnings per dollar, c < 0, and a discount factor is applied after each round. We determine the optimal probability of reaching fortune 1, as well as an optimal strategy that is different from bold play for fortunes larger than a critical value depending exclusively on c and 1 + a, the discount factor. The general result is computed explicitly for some relevant special cases. The question of whether bold play is an optimal strategy is discussed for various choices of the parameters.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2007 

References

Chen, R. (1977). Subfair primitive casino with a discount factor. Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitsth. 39, 167174.Google Scholar
Chen, R. (1978). Subfair ‘red-and-black’ in the presence of inflation. Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitsth. 42, 293301.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chen, R. W., Shepp, L. A. and Zame, A. (2004). A bold strategy is not always optimal in the presence of inflation. J. Appl. Prob. 41, 587592.Google Scholar
Chen, R. W., Shepp, L. A., Yao, Y.-C. and Zhang, C.-H. (2005). On optimality of bold play for primitive casinos in the presence of inflation. J. Appl. Prob. 42, 121137.Google Scholar
Coolidge, J. L. (1909). The gambler's ruin. Ann. Math. 10, 181192.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dubins, L. E. and Savage, L. J. (1965). How to Gamble if You Must. Inequalities for Stochastic Processes. McGraw-Hill, New York.Google Scholar
Heath, D. C., Pruitt, W.E. and Sudderth, W. D. (1972). Subfair red-and-black with a limit. Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 35, 555560.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Klugman, S. (1977). Discounted and rapid subfair red-and-black. Ann. Statist. 5, 734745.Google Scholar
Lou, J. (2007). A paradox: having more choice of games in a casino provides little advantage. , Rutgers University.Google Scholar
Maitra, A. P. and Sudderth, W. D. (1996). Discrete Gambling and Stochastic Games (Appl. Math. (New York) 32). Springer, New York.Google Scholar
Rockafellar, R. T. (1997). Convex Analysis. Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Shepp, L. A. (2006). Bold play and the optimal policy for Vardi's casino. In Random Walks, Sequential Analysis and Related Topics, eds Hsiung, C. A., Ying, Z. and Zhang, C.-H., World Scientific, Singapore, pp. 285291.Google Scholar
Vardi, Y. (2001). Private communication.Google Scholar