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A note on the total size distribution of epidemic models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Frank Ball*
Affiliation:
University of Nottingham
*
Postal address: Department of Mathematics, The University of Nottingham, University Park Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK.

Abstract

A simple coupling argument is used to obtain a new proof of a result of Daniels (1967) concerning the total size distribution of the general stochastic epidemic. The proof admits a straightforward generalisation to multipopulation epidemics and indicates that similar results are unlikely to be available for epidemics with non-exponential infectious periods.

Type
Short Communications
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1986 

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References

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