Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t7fkt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-25T08:11:09.776Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Location Preference for Risk-Averse Dutch Dairy Farmers Immigrating to the United States

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

James W. Richardson
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
Brian Herbst
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
Anthony Duncan
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
Mark den Besten
Affiliation:
Texas A&M University from Wageningen University, The Netherlands
Peter van Hoven
Affiliation:
Texas A&M University from Wageningen University, The Netherlands

Abstract

Increased environmental regulations and a milk quota that restricts growth have increased the interest in immigration to the United States by Dutch dairy farmers. A risk-based economic analysis of 23 representative U.S. dairy farms versus a representative Dutch farm shows that risk-averse Dutch dairy farmers would prefer to liquidate their dairy farms and invest in a large dairy in Idaho or north Texas. The risk ranking suggested that continuing to farm in the Netherlands rather than immigrating to the United States is preferred over only two of the 23 U.S. representative farms analyzed.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2007

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Anderson, R., and Dillion, J.L.. Risk Analysis in Dryland Farming Systems. Farming Systems Management Series No. 2. Rome: FAO, 1992.Google Scholar
Bailey, K.W.U.S. Market Structure: The Dairy Industry in the 21st Century.” Paper presented at 66th Annual Meeting of the International Association of Milk Control Agencies, Calgary, British Columbia, July 14-17, 2002.Google Scholar
den Besten, M., and van Hoven, P.. “Dairy Migration into the United States: What Are the Probabilities of Success for Dutch Dairy Farmers Moving into the United States of America versus Staying in the Netherlands?” M.S. Thesis, Wageningen University: Wageningen, The Netherlands, 2004.Google Scholar
Food and Agriculture Policy Research Institute. “Baseline Projections, August 2004.” Working paper, Food and Agriculture Policy Research Institute, University of Missouri-Columbia, 2004.Google Scholar
Halter, A.N., and Dean, G.W.. “Use of Simulation in Evaluating Management Policies under Uncertainty: Application to a Large Scale Ranch.Journal of Farm Economics 47(1965):557-73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hardaker, J.B., Huirine, R.B.M., Anderson, J.R., and Lien, G.. Coping with Risk in Agriculture. 2nd ed. New York: CAB International, 2004a.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hardaker, J.B., Richardson, J.W., Lien, G., and Schumann, K.D.. “Stochastic Efficiency Analysis with Risk Aversion Bounds: A Simplified Approach.” Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 48(2004b):253–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hutton, R.F., and Hinman, H.R.. “Mechanics of Operating the General Agricultural Firm Simulator.” Agricultural Production Systems Simulation, Eidman, V.R., ed. Stillwater, OK: Oklahoma State University Press, 1971.Google Scholar
Lemieux, CM., Richardson, J.W., and Nixon, C.J.. “Federal Crop Insurance vs. ASCS Disaster Assistance for Texas High Plains Cotton Producers: An Application of Whole-Farm Simulation.” Western Journal of Agricultural Economics 7,2(December 1982):141-53.Google Scholar
McNeil, D. Standard Grade Geography: “Population: Migration.” Internet site: http://www. scalloway.org.uk/popul4.htm (Accessed September 25, 2004).Google Scholar
Ondersteijn, C. Personal communication. Wageningen University, October 2004.Google Scholar
Outlaw, J.L., Jacobson, R.E., Knutson, R.D., and Schwart, R.B. Jr.Structure of the U.S. Dairy Farm Sector.” Dairy Markets and Policy: Issues and Opinions #M-4. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1996.Google Scholar
Outlaw, J.L., Richardson, J.W., Herbst, B.K., Anderson, D.P., Sartwelle, J.D., Raulston, J.M., Feldman, P., Schumann, K., Klose, S.L., Schwart, R.B., and Zimmel, P.. “Representative Farms Economic Outlook for the January 2004 FAPRI/AFPC Baseline.” Working Paper, Agricultural and Food Policy Center, Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, 2004.Google Scholar
Patrick, G.F., and Eisgruber, L.M.. “The Impact of Managerial Ability and Capital Structure on Growth of the Farm Firm.American Journal Agricultural Economics 50(1968):491506.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pouliquen, L.Y.Risk Analysis in Project Appraisal.” World Bank Staff Occasional Papers 11, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1970.Google Scholar
Richardson, J.W., and Condra, G.D.. “Farm Size Evaluation in the El Paso Valley: A Survival/Success Approach.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 63,3(August 1981):430-37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Richardson, J.W., Klose, S.L., and Gray, A.W.. “An Applied Procedure for Estimating and Simulating Multivariate Empirical (MVE) Probability Distributions in Farm Level Risk Assessment and Policy Analysis.Journal of Agriculture and Applied Economics 32,2(2000):299315.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Richardson, J.W., and Nixon, C.J.. “Producer's Preference for a Cotton Farmer Owned Reserve: An Application of Simulation and Stochastic Dominance.” Western Journal of Agricultural Economics 7,1(July 1982):123–32.Google Scholar
Richardson, J.W., and Nixon, C.J.. ”Description of FLIPSIM V: A General Firm Level Policy Simulation Model.” Bulletin B-1528, Texas Agricultural Experiment Station, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, 1986.Google Scholar
Ruetlinger, S.Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty.” World Bank Staff Occasional Papers 10, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1970.Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture. “Part II: Changes in the U.S. Dairy Industry, 1991-2002.” USDA: APHIS: VS, CEAH, National Animal Health Monitoring System, Fort Collins, CO#N388.0603. 2002.Google Scholar
United States Department of Agriculture, NASS. “USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service—Quick Stats, U.S.—All States Data–Dairy.” http://www.nass.usda.gov/7quick_stats/create_federal_all.jsp 2006.Google Scholar
van Horne, P., and Prins, H.. “Development of Dairy Farming in the Netherlands in the Period 1960-2000.” Report no. 2.02.07. The Hague, The Netherlands: Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI), 2002.Google Scholar
Wolleswinkel, A., and Weersink, A.. “Farmer Emigration: The Case of Dutch Dairy Farmers Moving to Ontario.Livestock Production Science 69(2001):197205.CrossRefGoogle Scholar