Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rdxmf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T22:19:16.688Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Impacts of Increased Climate Variability on the Profitability of Midwest Agriculture

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Bruce L. Dixon
Affiliation:
University of Arkansa, Fayetteville
Kathleen Segerson
Affiliation:
University of Connecticut, Storrs

Abstract

Approximate profit functions are estimated using time-series, cross-sectional, county level data for 12 midwest states. Measures of climate variability are included in the profit functions. Simulated impacts of climate changes on profits are derived. Results show that inclusion of measures of climate variation are important for measuring the impact of changes in mean temperature and precipitation levels. Failure to account for the impact of differences in variability leads to an overestimate of damages. If global warming increases diurnal variation, such increases would have negative impacts on the profitability of midwest agriculture.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 1999

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Adams, R.M., Fleming, R.A., Chang, C.C., McCarl, B.A., and C. Rosenzweig, . “A Reassessment of the Economic Effects of Climate Change on U.S. Agriculture.Climatic Change 30(1995): 147167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Adams, R.M.Global Climate Change and Agriculture: An Economic Perspective.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 71(1989): 12721279.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Adams, R.M., McCarl, B.A., Dudek, J.W., and Glyer, J.D.. “Implications of Global Climate Change for Western Agriculture.Western Journal of Agricultural Economics 68(1988):886894.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Adams, R.M., McCarl, B.A., Segerson, K., Rosenzweig, C., Bryant, K.J., Dixon, B.L., Conner, R., Evenson, R.E., and D. Ojima, . “Economic Effects of Climate Change on U.S. Agriculture.” In Mendelsohn, R. and Neumann, J. E. (eds), The Impact of Climate Change on the United States Economy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1999.Google Scholar
Chavas, J.P. and Holt, M.T.. “Acreage Decisions Under Risk: The Case of Corn and Soybeans.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 72(1990):529538.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Crosson, P.Impacts of Climate Change on the Agricultural Economy of the Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska and Kansas (MINK) Regions.” In Kaiser, H. and T. Drenner, (eds), Agricultural Dimensions of Global Climate Change. Delray Beach: St. Lucie Press, 1993.Google Scholar
Dalton, M.G.The Welfare Bias from Omitting Climatic Variability in Economic Studies of Global Warming.” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 33(1997):221239.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dudek, D.J.Climate Change Impacts Upon Agriculture and Resources: A Case Study of California.” In Smit, J.B.. and Tirpa, D.A.. (eds), The Potential Effects of Global Climate Change in the United States. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, 1988.Google Scholar
Egli, D.B. and Wardlaw, I.F.. “Temperature and Seed Growth Characteristics of Soybeans.Agronomy Journal 72(1990):560564.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Helms, S., Mendelsohn, R., and J. Neumann, . “The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture: A Report on the State-of-the-Science.” prepared for the Electric Power Research Institute. (1993).Google Scholar
Judge, G.G., Griffiths, W.E., Hill, R.C., Lütkepohl, H., and Lee, T.C.. The Theory and Practice of Econometrics (2d ed.), New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1985.Google Scholar
Kaiser, H.M., Riha, S.J., Wilkes, D.S., Rossiter, D.G., and R. Sampath, . “A Farm-Level Analysis of Economic and Agronomic Impacts of Gradual Climate Warming.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 75(1993):387398.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lambert, D.K., McCarl, B.A., He, Q., Kaylen, M.S., Rosenthal, W., Chang, C.C., and Nayda, W.I.. “Uncertain Yields in Sectoral Welfare Analysis: An Application to Global Warming.Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 27(1995):423436.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mendelsohn, R., Nordhaus, W.D., and D. Shaw, . “The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach.” American Economics Review 84(1994):753771.Google Scholar
Mendelsohn, R., Nordhaus, W.D., and D. Shaw, . “The Impact of Climate Variation on US Agriculture.” In Mendelsohn, R. and Neumann, J. E. (eds), The Impact of Climate Change on the United States Economy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1999.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosenzweig, C. and M. Parry, . “Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World Agriculture.Nature 367(1994): 133138.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Segerson, K. and Dixon, B.L.. “Climate Change and Agriculture: The Role of Farmer Adaptation.” In Mendelsohn, Robert and Neumann, James E. (eds), The Impact of Climate Change on the United States Economy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1999.Google Scholar
Takle, E.S.Preparing for Climate Change: Asking the right Questions.” In Buxton, D.R.et al. (eds.), International Crop Science I, CSSA, Madison, (1993):707711.Google Scholar
USDA. Agricultural Statistics, Government Printing Office, Washington DC, various issues.Google Scholar
White, H.A Heteroscedasticity-Consistent Co-variance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test of Heteroscedasticity.” Econometrica 48(1980): 817838.CrossRefGoogle Scholar