Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-8ctnn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T20:53:41.788Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

An Automated Econometric Approach for Estimating and Reporting Daily Cotton Market Prices

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Jeff E. Brown
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas Tech University
Don E. Ethridge
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas Tech University
Darren Hudson
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas Tech University
Carlos Engels
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas Tech University

Abstract

An automated price reporting system developed through computer technology and hedonic price theory is used to estimate daily cotton market prices, premiums, and discounts. This objective approach for reporting cotton market prices was developed to complement the objective measures of high volume instrument grading of cotton. The computerized, econometric system is limited to the Texas and Oklahoma marketing regions where sales are readily available from electronic markets. The econometric based system has shown all the characteristics of an efficient price reporting system; it is accurate, reliable, consistent, and repeatable in its working process and price estimates.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 1995

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Alder, H.L., and Roessler, E.B.. Introduction to Probability and Statistics. 6th ed. San Francisco: W.H. Freeman and Co., 1977, pp. 163166.Google Scholar
Belongia, M.T.Are Economic Forecasts by Government Agencies Biased? Accurate?Econ. Rev., Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Nov./Dec. 1988, pp. 1523.Google Scholar
Bowman, K.R. and Ethridge, D.E.. “Characteristic Supplies and Demands in a Hedonic Framework: U.S. Market for Cotton Fiber Attributes,Amer. J. of Agr. Econ., 74 (1992): 9911002.Google Scholar
Brown, J.E., and Ethridge, D.E.. “Functional Form Model Specification: An Application to Hedonic Pricing.Agr. and Resource Econ. Res. (1995) (forthcoming).Google Scholar
Chen, D.T., Chiou, G. T., and Anderson, C.G.. “Inter Regional Pricing of Cotton Fiber Attributes: Does Quality Matter?1991 Beltwide Cotton Conference Proceedings, Cotton Economics and Marketing Conference, National Cotton Council, pp. 367373.Google Scholar
Chen, C, and Ethridge, D.. “Premiums and Discounts Paid for Cotton Fiber Quality Attributes by U.S. Textile Manufacturers1995 Beltwide Cotton Conference Proceedings, Cotton Economics and Marketing Conference National Cotton Council, Memphis, TN, (addendum), pp. 9296.Google Scholar
Elam, E., and Dixon, B.. “Examining the Validity of a Test of Futures Market Efficiency.J. ofFut. Mkts., 8(1988): 365372.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D. E. “A Computerized Remote-Access Commodity Market: Telcot,S. J. of Agr. Econ., 10 (1978): 177182.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E. and Chen, C.. “Cotton Price Responsiveness to Quality in the U.S.: Textile Mill Prices Paid VS. Producer Prices,1993 Beltwide Cotton Conference Proceedings, Cotton Economics and Marketing Conference, National Cotton Council, pp. 441444.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E. and Davis, B.. “Hedonic Price Estimation for Commodities: An Application to Cotton,” W. J. of Agr. Econ., 1 (1982): 156163.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E., Engels, C., and Brown, J.E.. “An Econometric Approach for Estimating Daily Market Prices,1992 Beltwide Cotton Conference Proceedings, Cotton Economics and Marketing Conference, National Cotton Council, pp. 399402.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E. and Mathews, K.H.. “Reliability of Spot Cotton Quotations for Price Discovery in the West Texas Cotton Market,Agricultural Economics Dept., Texas Tech University College of Ag. Sciences. Pub. No. T-1-212., Aug. 1983.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E. and Morse, S.. “Hedonic/Characteristics Price Analysis in Agricultural Economics: Progress, Issues, and Needs,” Agricultural Economics Dept., Texas Tech University College of Ag. Sciences. Pub. No. T-l-347. Aug. 1991. Abstract in Amer. J. of Agr. Econ., 73(1991): 15281529.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E. and Neeper, J.T.. “Producer Returns From Cotton Strength and Uniformity: An Hedonic Price Approach,S. J. of Agr. Econ., 19(1987): 9197.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E., Shaw, D.L., and Ross, J.E.. “An Evaluation of the Impact of Instrument Test Line Values on Cotton Marketing and Use: Progress Report,” CED Working Paper, Economic Research Service, USDA, Aug. 1977.Google Scholar
Ethridge, D.E., Sudderth, R., and Moore, M.. “A Model for Cotton Variety Selection with Yield and Quality Considerations,” 1983 Beltwide Cotton Research Conference Proceedings., Cotton Economics and Marketing Conference, National Cotton Council, pp. 251253.Google Scholar
Harrison, S.R.Regression of a Model on Real System Output: An Invalid Test of Model Validity.Agr. Sys., 34(1990): 183190.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hembree, J.F., Ethridge, D.E., and Neeper, J.T.. “Market Values of Fiber Properties in Southeastern Textile Mills,Textile Res. J., 56 (1986): 140141.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holden, K., and Peel, D.A.. “On Testing for Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Forecasts.The Manchester School, 58(1990): 120127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hudson, D., Ethridge, D., and Brown, J.. “Producer Prices in Cotton Markets: An Evaluation of Reported Price Information Accuracy.Agribusiness: An Intl. J., (in press).Google Scholar
Kohls, R.L. and Downey., W.D.Cotton Marketing,Marketing of Agricultural Products, 4th ed., New York, New York: The Macmillan Company, 1967, pp. 392407.Google Scholar
Neter, J., Wasserman, W., and Kutner, M.H.. Applied Linear Regression Models. 2nd ed. Homewood, IL.: Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1989.Google Scholar
Pindyk, R., and Rubinfeld, D.. Econometric Models and Economic Forecasting. 3rd ed. New York: The Dryden Press, 1991, pp. 216217.Google Scholar
Robinson, J.A., Ethridge, D.E., Shaw, D.L., and Rogers, C.D.. “Market Impact Evaluation of the Instrument Testing of Cotton: 1977 Crop Progress Report.CED Working Paper, Economic, Statistics, and Cooperative Service, USDA, May 1979.Google Scholar
Rosen, S.Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition,J. Polit. Econ., 82 (1974): 3455.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
SAS Institute, Inc. “SAS/STAT User's Guide, Release 6.03 Edition.” Cary, NC, 1988.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Daily Spot Cotton Quotations.” Market News Branch, Cotton Division, Agricultural Marketing Service, Memphis, TN, daily issues.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Cotton and Wool Situation and Outlook Report,” Commodity Economics Division, Economic Research Service, CWS-73, August 1993.Google Scholar