Scottish Medicine Consortium (SMC) meetings were suspended in March 2020 in response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. This led to a high number of submissions awaiting appraisal, prompting interim process changes to ensure minimal disadvantages to patient access. We expanded the eligibility criteria for the shorter (abbreviated) submissions process and expedited advice for submissions the New Drugs Committee (NDC) intended to accept. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and these interim process changes on the characteristics of submissions received, acceptance rates, and time to advice publication.

Data for all submissions received between January 2015 and November 2021 (n=720) were extracted from an organizational database. Characteristics of and acceptance rates for submissions received before and after the start of the pandemic were compared using chi-squared and one-proportion Z-tests, respectively. Additional analyses explored the number of submissions received per month and the time from receipt of submission to NDC and SMC decision.

The numbers of full and abbreviated submissions increased from March 2020 (6% in each case), with a corresponding decrease in the number of medicine-indication pairs (e.g., pembrolizumab for breast cancer) for which companies did not submit (8%; p=0.01). An increase in the SMC acceptance rate was also observed (62 to 72%; p=0.03). Fewer submissions were received in 2020 (n=65), compared with the pre-pandemic average (mean=79.6), whereas the total in 2021 to date was higher than average (n=92). Time series analysis suggested an increasing trend in monthly submissions (from approximately 6 to 9), which is the likely reason for the increase in average time to decision (146 versus 170 days).

Process changes in response to the pandemic have been effective in expediting advice for submissions with sufficiently robust evidence. This demonstrates agility and efficiencies for submitting companies and patient groups, with no perceived impact on process rigor. The average number of submissions has increased since March 2020, and further work is warranted to understand the influence of process improvements on reducing time to advice.