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The Expansion of Consumer Credit in Italy and the Main Euro Area Countries

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 May 2021

Silvia Magri ,
Valentina Michelangeli ,
Sabrina Pastorelli  and
Raffaella Pico
Silvia Magri
Affiliation:
Bank of Italy, Via Nazionale 91, 00184, Rome, Italy. Email: [email protected]
Valentina Michelangeli
Affiliation:
Bank of Italy, Via Nazionale 91, 00184, Rome, Italy. Email: [email protected]
Sabrina Pastorelli
Affiliation:
Bank of Italy, Via Nazionale 91, 00184, Rome, Italy. Email: [email protected]
Raffaella Pico
Affiliation:
Bank of Italy, Via Nazionale 91, 00184, Rome, Italy. Email: [email protected]
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Abstract

Since 2015, consumer loans have been rising fast in France, Germany, Spain and Italy. This article aims to provide broad evidence of the differences across countries in light of the recent consumer credit growth, exploring demand and supply factors typically related to this type of loan, and assessing the building up of financial risks. The expansion was connected in all countries with the increasing credit demand, specifically for consumer durables, and – for Italy and Spain, which experienced stronger credit tightening during the past crises – also with the easing of supply conditions. Risks stemming from the growth of consumer credit are mitigated by its lower incidence, compared with mortgages, on households’ total debt and income; exposure to interest rate risk is also decreasing owing to the high share of fixed-rate contracts. There is wide risk heterogeneity across countries, with Italy and Spain having the highest share of delinquent households (even for fewer than 90 days). In Italy, however, debt is increasingly concentrated among more affluent households, which are better able to withstand negative economic shocks. This trend is sustaining the drop in the ratio of new non-performing consumer loans.

Type
Article
Information
European Review , Volume 30 , Issue 3 , June 2022 , pp. 322 - 352
Copyright
© 2021 Academia Europaea

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