A Calculated Risk: Systematic Review and Metaanalysis of the Conditional Risk for Posttraumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) in the Brazilian General Population

M. Luz; W. Berger; I. Figueira; E.S.F. Coutinho; M. Mendlowicz

doi:10.1016/S0924-9338(15)31194-9

A Calculated Risk: Systematic Review and Metaanalysis of the Conditional Risk for Posttraumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) in the Brazilian General Population

Published online by Cambridge University Press: 15 April 2020

M. Luz ,

W. Berger ,

I. Figueira ,

E.S.F. Coutinho and

M. Mendlowicz

Show author details

M. Luz: Affiliation:
Instituto de Psiquiatria, Instituto de Psiquiatria da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
W. Berger: Affiliation:
Instituto de Psiquiatria, Instituto de Psiquiatria da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
I. Figueira: Affiliation:
Instituto de Psiquiatria, Instituto de Psiquiatria da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
E.S.F. Coutinho: Affiliation:
FIOCRUZ, Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública – FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
M. Mendlowicz: Affiliation:
Departamento de Psiquiatria, Universidade Federal Fluminense, Niterói, Brazil

Article contents

Abstract

Abstract

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Introduction

Conditional risk for PTSD is the probability of developing PTSD after exposure to trauma; and is influenced by gender, socioeconomic status and type of trauma.

Aims

To summarize data on conditional risk for PTSD in the general population through a systematic review and metaanalysis.

Methods

Our search included 4 databases, references from selected articles, cited-reference tools, and contact with 30 researchers. We obtained combined measures of conditional risk secondary to any trauma, death of close person and sexual violence.

Results

Conditional risk secondary to any trauma was 8.72%. (Women: 13.3%, men: 4.3%); secondary to death of close person was 7.7% (women: 16%, men: 3.3%); and secondary to rape was 26.7% (women 32.9%, men: 37.1%).

Discussion

The present metaanalysis is relevant for determining traumatic events highly associated with PTSD and studying possible risk factors and PTSD physiopathology.