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Towards a Regulatory Cycle? The Use of Evaluative Information in Impact Assessments and Ex–post Evaluations in the European Union

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Thomas van Golen
Affiliation:
Tilburg University Law School
Stijn van Voorst
Affiliation:
Tilburg University Law School

Extract

As a part of its Better Regulation agenda, the European Commission increasingly stresses the link between different types of regulatory evaluations. Predictions made by Impact Assessments (IAs) could be verified during ex–post legislative evaluations, while ex–post evaluations in turn could recommend amendments to be studied in future IAs. This article combines a dataset of 309 ex–post legislative evaluations (2000-2014) and a dataset of 225 IAs of legislative updates (2003-2014) to show how many ex–post evaluations of the Commission use IAs and vice versa. This way, it explores if the Commission's rhetoric of a ‘regulatory cycle’ holds up in practice. Building on the literature of evaluation use, we formulate the hypotheses that the timeliness, quality and focus of the IAs and evaluations are key explanations for use. Our results show that so far only ten ex–post evaluations have used IAs of EU legislation, while thirty three IAs have used ex–post legislative evaluations. Using Fuzzy set Qualitative Comparative Analysis, we find that timeliness is a necessary condition of the use of ex–post evaluations by IAs, suggesting that for the regulatory cycle to function properly, it is crucial to complete an ex–post evaluation before an IA is launched. Future research could repeat our analysis for evaluations of non–regulatory activities or study the causal mechanisms behind our findings.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2016

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References

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3 Ibid., p. 4. 4 From 2010 until 2014 the Better regulation agenda was called ‘Smart Regulation’. For the sake of consistency, in this article we only use the name Better Regulation, which was used in official communication before 2010 and is used again since 2015.

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35 Ibid., at p. 58.

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55 Ibid., at pp. 17-23.

56 Ibid., at p. 18.

57 Ibid., at p. 23.

58 Supra note 52.

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72 The legislative observatory can be found at http://www.europarl.europa.eu/oeil/search/search.do? (accessed 28-09-2015).

73 The research was done with Adobe Acrobat Reade, using an advanced search on the folders containing the IAs. Folders were divided per year.

74 Using the three keywords ‘report, ‘review’ and ‘study’ could generate 10.000+ hits per year. This could lead to roughly 100+ hits per IA.

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81 Mastenbroek et. al., “Evaluatie in de Europese Unie”, supra note 63, at pp. 223-225.

82 Since we have five explanatory conditions, we would need fifty positive cases for regression analysis.

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99 Supra note 28; Commission SWD, “Better Regulation Toolbox”, supra note 8, at p. 17. It should however be noted that the Commission leaves some discretionary room to ignore the ‘evaluate first’ principle if it is ‘justified by political demands on the Commission’ according to p. 256 of the Toolbox.

100 Supra note 75.

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