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Too Big to Fail as a Game of Chicken with the State: What Insolvency Law Theory Has to Say About TBTF and Vice Versa

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 July 2013

Rolef de Weijs*
Affiliation:
Rolef de Weijs is a Researcher at the University of Amsterdam and practises as an attorney at the Amsterdam office of Houthoff Buruma. The thoughts developed in this article were first presented at the June 2012 INSOL Europe Academic Forum/Nottingham Law School Joint International Insolvency Conference ‘Too Big To Fail? Large National and International Failures under the Spotlight’. The author wishes to thank M. Schillig for his helpful comments on an earlier draft of the article.
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Abstract

Governments have bailed out banks that were considered too big to fail (TBTF). In an attempt to end these bail-outs, the European Commission has presented a proposal for a Directive for a European framework for the recovery and resolution of credit institutions and investment firms. This article analyses what insolvency law theory has to say about TBTF and vice versa. The dominant insolvency law theory, the creditors’ bargain theory (CBT), does not do well in explaining the problems presented by TBTF. The CBT frames insolvency law as a set of rules to overcome common pool problems, most notably to prevent a destructive race to the assets by individual creditors. The problems TBTF presents, however, do not primarily relate to a race to the assets. In order to understand the TBTF problem and key elements of the Directive's response (capital write-down and bail-in), the CBT needs to be supplemented with the property law theory of anticommons and its explanation of hold-out behaviour. Common pool problems and anticommons problems have different game-theoretical companions. Whereas common pool problems can be explained by the prisoners’ dilemma, anticommons can trigger a game of chicken. In the case of TBTF, shareholders and creditors can engage in this game of chicken with the state. The Directive sends out the message that states will no longer be drawn into playing this game.

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Articles
Copyright
Copyright © T.M.C. Asser Press and the Authors 2013 

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