Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-26T05:26:27.035Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

A time series analysis of the rabies control programme in Chile

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 May 2009

S. N. Ernst  and
F. Fabrega
S. N. Ernst
Affiliation:
Instituto de Medicina Preventiva Veterinaria, Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias, Universidad Austral de Chile, Casilla 567, Valdivia, Chile
F. Fabrega
Affiliation:
lnstituto de Salud Pública, Marathon 1000, Santiago, Chile
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Summary

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The classical time series decomposition method was used to compare the temporal pattern of rabies in Chile before and after the implementation of the control programme. In the years 1950–60, a period without control measures, rabies showed an increasing trend, a seasonal excess of cases in November and December and a cyclic behaviour with outbreaks occurring every 5 years. During 1961–1970 and 1971–86, a 26-year period that includes two different phases of the rabies programme which started in 1961, there was a general decline in the incidence of rabies. The seasonality disappeared when the disease reached a low frequency level and the cyclical component was not evident.

Type
Research Article
Information
Epidemiology & Infection , Volume 103 , Issue 3 , December 1989 , pp. 651 - 657
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1989

References

REFERENCES

1.Kaplan, NM, Koprowski, H. Monograph Series No. 23. Laboratory techniques in rabies. 3rd ed.Geneva: World Health Organization, 1973.Google ScholarPubMed
2.Berenson, ML, Levine, DM.Basic business statistics 2nd ed.New Jersey: Prentice-Hall. 1983.Google Scholar
3.Lapin, LL.Statistics for modern business decisions. New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1978: 402–48.Google Scholar
4.Nie, NH, Hull, CH, Jenkins, JG, Steinbrenner, K, Rent, JH.Statistical package for the social sciences, 2nd ed.New York: McGraw Hill, 1975: 323–8.Google Scholar
5.Ernst, SN, Fabrega, F.Epidemiology of rabies in Chile, 1950–1986: a descriptive study of laboratory-confirmed cases. Rev Microbiol, Sao Paulo. In press.Google Scholar
6.Faillace, R.. La campaña antirrábica en Guatemala. Bol Of Sanit Panan 1959; 46: 356–60.Google Scholar
7.Tierkel, E.Historia y distribución de la rabia en el mundo. Rev Inst Nac Hig 1975; 8: 27–34.Google Scholar
8.Malaga, H, Rodriguez, J, Inope, L, Torres, J.Epidemiología de Ia rabia canina en Lima Metropolitana. Bol Of Sanit Panam 1976; 81: 405–18.Google Scholar
9.Scozia, A. Análisis epidemiológico de Ia rabid en Chile [Thesis]. Santiago, Chile: Universidad de Chile. 1966. pp. 88.Google Scholar
10.Malaga, H, Lopez-Nieto, E, Gambirazio, C.Canine rabies seasonality. Int J Epidemiol 1979:8:243–5.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
11.Narayan, KG.Urban dog rabies endemicity and dog physiology. Int J Zoon 1985, 12: 22–7.Google ScholarPubMed
12.Wierup, M.The Swedish canine parvovirus epidemic — An epidemiological study in a dog population of defined size. Prey Vet Med; 1: 273–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar