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Energy and Climate*

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 August 2009

Roger R. Revelle  and
Donald C. Shapero
Roger R. Revelle
Affiliation:
Professor of Science and Public Policy, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093, U.S.A.; formerly Richard Saltonstall Professor of Population Policy and Director of the Harvard University Center for Population Studies; sometime Director of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California,
Donald C. Shapero
Affiliation:
Staff Officer, Geophysics Study Committee, Geophysics Research Board, National Research Council, 2101 Constitution Avenue, Washington, D.C. 20418, U.S.A.
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Extract

If the world depends on fossil fuels for its energy needs over the next two centuries, the U.S. National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council report Energy and Climate foresees the possibility of a peak atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide of between 4 and 8 times the preindustrial level as occurring in A.D. 2150 to 2200. Climatic models of the general circulation of the atmosphere predict a 2–3°C rise in average temperature of the atmosphere for each doubling of the carbon dioxide content. Thus, a mean value of about 6°C increase in average atmospheric temperature would be anticipated if the models prove to be accurate and if the growth scenario used in the report were to be realized.

Type
Main Papers
Information
Environmental Conservation , Volume 5 , Issue 2 , Summer 1978 , pp. 81 - 91
Copyright
Copyright © Foundation for Environmental Conservation 1978

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