Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-tf8b9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T17:27:59.988Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Energy and Climate*

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 August 2009

Roger R. Revelle  and
Donald C. Shapero
Roger R. Revelle
Affiliation:
Professor of Science and Public Policy, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093, U.S.A.; formerly Richard Saltonstall Professor of Population Policy and Director of the Harvard University Center for Population Studies; sometime Director of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California,
Donald C. Shapero
Affiliation:
Staff Officer, Geophysics Study Committee, Geophysics Research Board, National Research Council, 2101 Constitution Avenue, Washington, D.C. 20418, U.S.A.
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Extract

If the world depends on fossil fuels for its energy needs over the next two centuries, the U.S. National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council report Energy and Climate foresees the possibility of a peak atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide of between 4 and 8 times the preindustrial level as occurring in A.D. 2150 to 2200. Climatic models of the general circulation of the atmosphere predict a 2–3°C rise in average temperature of the atmosphere for each doubling of the carbon dioxide content. Thus, a mean value of about 6°C increase in average atmospheric temperature would be anticipated if the models prove to be accurate and if the growth scenario used in the report were to be realized.

Type
Main Papers
Information
Environmental Conservation , Volume 5 , Issue 2 , Summer 1978 , pp. 81 - 91
Copyright
Copyright © Foundation for Environmental Conservation 1978

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Baes, C. F. Jr, Goeller, H. E., Olson, J. S. & Rotty, R. M. (1976). The Global Carbon Dioxide Problem. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee: ORNL-5194, 84 pp.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berger, W. H. & Garner, J. V. (1975). On the determination of Pleistocene temperatures from planktonic Foraminifera. J. Foraminifera Res., 5, pp. 102–13.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berger, W. H. & Killingley, J. S. (1977). Glacial-Holocene transition in deep-sea carbonates: selective dissolution and the stable isotope signal. Science, 197, pp. 563–6.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Botkin, D. B., Janak, J. F. & Wallis, J. R. (1973). Estimating the effects of carbon fertilization on forest composition by ecosystem simulation. Pp. 328–44 in WOODWELL & PECAN (V.v.).Google Scholar
Draft Report of the Department of Energy's Study Group (1978). Draft Report of the Department of Energy's Study Group on Global Environmental Effects of Carbon Dioxide : ‘ Workshop on the Global Effects of Carbon Dioxide from Fossil Fuels,’ Miami Beach, Florida, 7–11 03 1977. Department of Energy, CONF 770385: iv+87 pp.Google Scholar
D., Dryssen & D., Jagner (Ed.) 1972). The Changing Chemistry of the Oceans. Proceedings of the 20th Nobel Symposium, Goteborg, Sweden. Wiley, New York, N.Y.: 364 pp., illustr.Google Scholar
Garrels, R. M., Mackenzie, F. T. & Hunt, C. (1975). Chemical Cycles and the Global Environment. W. Kauffman, Los Altos, California: viii + 226 pp., illustr.Google Scholar
Geophysics Study Committee (1977). Energy and Climate. National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C.: xiv + 158 pp., illustr.Google Scholar
Hardman, L. L. & Brun, W. A. (1971). Effect of atmospheric carbon dioxide enrichment at different developmental stages on growth and yield components of soybeans. Crop Sci., 11, pp. 886–8.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hughes, T. J. (1974). Study of Unstable Ross Sea Glacial Episodes. ISCAP Bulletin No. 3, Institute for Quaternary Studies, Orono, Maine: [not available for checking].Google Scholar
Hughes, T. J. (1977). West Antarctic ice-streams. Rev. Geophys. Space Phys., 15, pp. 1–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kellogg, W. W. (in press). Global influences of mankind on the climate. In Climate Change (Ed. Gribbin, J.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England.Google Scholar
Manabe, S. & Wetherald, R. (1975). The effects of doubling the CO2 concentration on the climate of a general circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, pp. 3–15.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matthews, W. H., Kellogg, W. W. & D.Robinson, G. Robinson, G. (Ed.). (1971). Inadvertent Climate Modification. Report of the Study of Man's Impact on Climate (SM1C). MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts: xxi + 308 pp., illustr.Google Scholar
Proceedings of the Dahlem Workshop (in press). Proceedings of the Dahlem Workshop on Global Chemical Cycles and Their Alteration by Man. Berlin 15–19 11 1976 (Ed. Stumm, Werner). [To be published by Dahlem Konferenzen.]Google Scholar
Proceedings of the Scope Workshop (in press). Proceedings of the SCOPE Workshop in March 1977 on Biogeochemical Cycling of Carbon.Google Scholar
PSAC (1965). P. 127 in U. S. President's Science Advisory Committee, Environmental Pollution Panel, Restoring the Quality of our Environment. The White House, Washington, D.C.: xii + 317 pp., illustr., maps.Google Scholar
Schneider, S. H. & Mesirow, L. H. (1976). The Genesis Strategy. Plenum Press, New York, N.Y.: 419 pp.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sundquist, E., Richardson, D. K., Broecker, W. S. & Peng, T. H. (1977). Sediment mixing and carbonate dissolution in the south-east Pacific. Pp. 429–54 in The Fate of Fossil Fuel CO2 in the Ocean (Ed. Anderson, N. R. & Malahoff, A.). Plenum Press, New York, N.Y.: xii + 749 pp., illustr.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Waggoner, P. E. (1969). Environmental manipulation for higher yields. In Physiological Aspects of Crop Yield, Am. Soc. Agron. and CSSA, Madison, Wisconsin: [not available for checking].Google Scholar
Wilson, C. L. & Matthews, W. H. (Ed.) (1970). Man's Impact on the Global Environment: Report of the Study of Critical Environmental Problems (SCEP). MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts: xvi+319 pp., illustr.Google Scholar
Woodwell, G. M. & Pecan, E. V. (1973). Carbon and the Biosphere. Proceedings of the 24th Brookhaven Symposium in Biology, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, Technical Information Center, CONF-720510, Office of Information Services, USAEC: vii + 392 pp., illustr.Google Scholar