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Gene flow scenarios with transgenic maize in Mexico

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 April 2005

José-Antonio Serratos-Hernández
Affiliation:
Campo Experimental Valle de México, Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Mexico
Fabián Islas-Gutiérrez
Affiliation:
Campo Experimental Valle de México, Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Mexico
Enrique Buendía-Rodríguez
Affiliation:
Campo Experimental Valle de México, Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Mexico
Julien Berthaud
Affiliation:
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, France

Abstract

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Maize diversity is widespread in Mexico and it has been stewarded by campesinos in small communities until the present. With the arrival of transgenic maize, the objective of this study is to analyze possible scenarios that could result if genetically modified maize were not regulated and openly available in Mexico. By applying a simple logistic model based on the conditions of maize production in Mexico, the dispersion of transgenic maize in different situations within fields of farmers is described. In traditional open systems of freely exchanged seed within communities it is concluded that the most likely outcome of GM maize release is the incorporation of transgenes in the genome of Mexican germplasm and possibly in that of teosinte.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© ISBR, EDP Sciences, 2004

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