Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rdxmf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T04:28:45.088Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

VALIDITY OF SUBSAMPLING AND “PLUG-IN ASYMPTOTIC” INFERENCE FOR PARAMETERS DEFINED BY MOMENT INEQUALITIES

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 June 2009

Abstract

This paper considers inference for parameters defined by moment inequalities and equalities. The parameters need not be identified. For a specified class of test statistics, this paper establishes the uniform asymptotic validity of subsampling, m out of n bootstrap, and “plug-in asymptotic” tests and confidence intervals for such parameters. Establishing uniform asymptotic validity is crucial in moment inequality problems because the pointwise asymptotic distributions of the test statistics of interest have discontinuities as functions of the true distribution that generates the observations.

The size results are quite general because they hold without specifying the particular form of the moment conditions—only 2 + δ moments finite are required. The results allow for independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) and dependent observations and for preliminary consistent estimation of identified parameters.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Andrews gratefully acknowledges the research support of the National Science Foundation via grant SES-0417911. Guggenberger gratefully acknowledges research support from a faculty research grant from UCLA in 2005 and from the National Science Foundation via grant SES-0748922. For helpful comments, we thank two referees, the co-editor Richard Smith, Ivan Canay, Victor Chernozukhov, Azeem Shaikh, and the participants at various seminars and conferences at which the paper was presented. Some of the results in this paper first appeared in D.W.K. Andrews and P. Guggenberger (2005), “The Limit of Finite-Sample Size and a Problem with Subsampling,” Cowles Foundation Discussion paper 1606, Yale University.

References

REFERENCES

Andrews, D.W.K. (2000) Inconsistency of the bootstrap when a parameter is on the boundary of the parameter space. Econometrica 68, 399405.10.1111/1468-0262.00114CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K., Berry, S., & Jia, P. (2004) Confidence Regions for Parameters in Discrete Games with Multiple Equilibria, with an Application to Discount Chain Store Location. Manuscript, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.10.2139/ssrn.3417207CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & Guggenberger, P. (2005) Applications of Subsampling, Hybrid, and Size- Correction Methods. Cowles Foundation Discussion paper 1608, Yale University.Google Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & Guggenberger, P. (2009a) Hybrid and size-corrected subsampling methods. Econometrica 77, forthcoming.Google Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & Guggenberger, P. (2009b) Incorrect asymptotic size of subsampling procedures based on post-consistent model selection estimators. Journal of Econometrics 77, forthcoming.Google Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & Guggenberger, P. (2010) Asymptotic size and a problem with subsampling and with the m out of n bootstrap. Econometric Theory 26, forthcoming.10.1017/S0266466609100051CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & Han, S. (2009) Invalidity of the bootstrap and the m out of n bootstrap for confidence interval endpoints defined by moment inequalities. Econometrica Journal 12, forthcoming.Google Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & Jia, P. (2008) Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities: A Recommended Moment Selection Procedure. Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper no. 1676. Yale University.10.2139/ssrn.3417209CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & Soares, G. (2007) Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities Using Generalized Moment Selection. Manuscript, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.Google Scholar
Bajari, P., Benkard, C.L., & Levin, J. (2007) Estimating dynamic models of imperfect competition. Econometrica 75, 13311370.10.1111/j.1468-0262.2007.00796.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beresteanu, A. & Molinari, F. (2008) Asymptotic properties for a class of partially identified models. Econometrica 76, 763814.10.1111/j.1468-0262.2008.00859.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bontemps, C., Magnac, T., & Maurin, E. (2007) Set Identified Linear Models. Manuscript, Toulouse School of Economics.Google Scholar
Bugni, F. (2007) Bootstrap Inference in Partially Identified Models. Manuscript, Department of Economics, Northwestern University.Google Scholar
Canay, I.A. (2007) EL Inference for Partially Identified Models: Large Deviations Optimality and Bootstrap Validity. Manuscript, Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin.Google Scholar
Chernozhukov, V. & Fernandez-Val, I. (2005) Subsampling inference on quantile regression processes. Sankhya 67, 253276.Google Scholar
Chernozhukov, V., Hong, H., & Tamer, E. (2007) Estimation and confidence regions for parameter sets in econometric models. Econometrica 75, 12431284.10.1111/j.1468-0262.2007.00794.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ciliberto, F. & Tamer, E. (2003) Market Structure and Market Equilibrium in Airline Markets. Manuscript, Department of Economics, Princeton University.Google Scholar
Dufour, J.-M. (1997) Impossibility theorems in econometrics with applications to structural and dynamic models. Econometrica 65, 13651387.10.2307/2171740CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fan, Y. & Tamer, S. (2007) Confidence Sets for Some Partially Identified Parameters. Manuscript, Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University.Google Scholar
Galichon, A. & Henry, M. (2008) A test of non-identifying restrictions and confidence regions for partially identified parameters. Journal of Econometrics, forthcoming.Google Scholar
Guggenberger, P. (2008) The Impact of a Hausman Pretest on the Size of Hypothesis Tests. Cowles Foundation Discussion paper 1651, Yale University.10.2139/ssrn.1126333CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guggenberger, P., Hahn, J., & Kim, K. (2008) Specification testing under moment inequalities. Economics Letters 99, 375378.10.1016/j.econlet.2007.09.002CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guggenberger, P. & Smith, R.J. (2005) Generalized empirical likelihood estimators and tests under partial, weak, and strong identification. Econometric Theory 21, 667709.10.1017/S0266466605050371CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hansen, L.P. (1982) Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica 50, 10291054.10.2307/1912775CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imbens, G. & Manski, C.F. (2004) Confidence intervals for partially identified parameters. Econometrica 72, 18451857.10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00555.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kabaila, P. (1995) The effect of model selection on confidence regions and prediction regions. Econometric Theory 11, 537549.10.1017/S0266466600009403CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kudo, A. (1963) A multivariate analog of a one-sided test. Biometrika 50, 403418.10.1093/biomet/50.3-4.403CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leeb, H. & Pötscher, B.M. (2005) Model selection and inference: Facts and fiction. Econometric Theory 21, 2159.10.1017/S0266466605050036CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Linton, O., Maasoumi, E., & Whang, Y.-J. (2005) Consistent testing for stochastic dominance under general sampling schemes. Review of Economic Studies 72, 735765.10.1111/j.1467-937X.2005.00350.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Manski, C.F. & Tamer, E. (2002) Inference on regressions with interval data on a regressor or outcome. Econometrica 70, 519546.10.1111/1468-0262.00294CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mikusheva, A. (2007) Uniform inference in autoregressive models. Econometrica 75, 14111452.10.1111/j.1468-0262.2007.00798.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moon, H.R. & Schorfheide, F. (2004) Empirical Likelihood Estimation with Inequality Moment Conditions. Working paper, Department of Economics, University of Southern California.Google Scholar
Newey, W.K. & Smith, R.J. (2004) Higher order properties of GMM and generalized empirical likelihood estimators. Econometrica 72, 219255.10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00482.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Otsu, T. (2006) Large Deviation Optimal Inference for Set Identified Moment Inequality Models. Working paper, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.Google Scholar
Pakes, A., Porter, J., Ho, K., & Ishii, J. (2004) Applications of Moment Inequalities. Working paper, Department of Economics, Harvard University.Google Scholar
Politis, D.N. & Romano, J.P. (1994) Large sample confidence regions based on subsamples under minimal assumptions. Annals of Statistics 22, 20312050.10.1214/aos/1176325770CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Politis, D.N., Romano, J.P., & Wolf, M. (1999) Subsampling. Springer-Verlag.10.1007/978-1-4612-1554-7CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Romano, J.P. & Shaikh, A.M. (2005) Inference for the Identified Set in Partially Identified Econometric Models. Working paper, Department of Economics, University of Chicago.Google Scholar
Romano, J.P. & Shaikh, A.M. (2008) Inference for identifiable parameters in partially identified econometric models. Journal of Statistical Inference and Planning (Special Issue in Honor of T.W. Anderson) 138, 27862807.Google Scholar
Rosen, A.M. (2008) Confidence sets for partially identified parameters that satisfy a finite number of moment inequalities. Journal of Econometrics 146, 107117.10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.08.001CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Silvapulle, M.J. & Sen, P.K. (2005) Constrained Statistical Inference. Wiley.Google Scholar
Smith, R.J. (1997) Alternative semi-parametric likelihood approaches to generalized method of moments estimation. Economic Journal 107, 503519.10.1111/j.0013-0133.1997.174.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Soares, G. (2005) Inference with Inequality Moment Constraints. Working paper, Department of Economics, Yale University.Google Scholar
Soares, G. (2006) Inference for Partially Identified Models with Inequality Moment Constraints. Working paper, Department of Economics, Yale University.Google Scholar
Stoye, J. (2007) More on Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters. Manuscript, Department of Economics, New York University.10.1920/wp.cem.2008.1108Google Scholar
Woutersen, T. (2006) A Simple Way to Calculate Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters. Manuscript, Department of Economics, Johns Hopkins University.Google Scholar