Published online by Cambridge University Press: 17 February 2009
Although based on fragmentary data, analysis of employment in the six years 1953 to 1958 is of great interest for what it reveals of the relationships between urban working age, population growth, increasing non-agricultural employment, and Chinese Communist economic policies. The sharp reversal in 1958 of past trends in the growth of the urban population and non-agricultural employment has no parallel in the history of China or probably any other country. In a single year the earlier phenomenon of urban population steadily growing at an average rate far higher than that of nonagricultural or urban employment disappeared. In 1958 both nonagricultural and urban employment grew so much that a migration from countryside to town of unprecedented magnitude occurred in order to meet the increased demands for urban labour. Most curious of all, the connection between growth of the urban population and growth of non-agricultural employment, implicit in programmes of expansion of the non-agricultural branches of the economy undertaken by the Chinese Communists, appears to have been largely outside the scope of Marxist-Leninist concepts and of Communist economic planning.
1 Mu-ch'iao, Hsüeh, “1953-nien t'ung-chi kung-tso chien-t'ao ho 1954-nien t'ung-chi kung-tso yao-tien”Google Scholar (“An Examination of 1953 Statistical Work and Important Points in 1954 Statistical Work”), T'ung-chi Kung-tso T'ung-hsin (Statistical Work Bulletin) (hereafter cited as TCKT), No. 1, 04 12, 1954, pp. 4–11.Google Scholar
2 Mu-ch'iao, Hsüeh, “Ti-ssu chieh ch'üan-kuo t'ung-chi kung-tso hui-i tsung-chieh pao-kao”Google Scholar (“Summary Report of the Fourth All-China Statistical Work Con ference”), TCKT, No. 5, 05 17, 1955, pp. 1–7, especially p. 3Google Scholar; Mu-ch'iao, Hsüeh, “Tsai ti-wu chieh ch'üan-kuo t'ung-chi kung-tso hui-i shang ti tsung-chieh pao-kao chi-yao”Google Scholar (“Important Points in the Summary Report of the Fifth All-China Statistical Work Conference”), TCKT, No. 5, 03 14, 1956, pp. 8–13, especially p. 10.Google Scholar
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8 “Wei-le pang-chu kuo-chia t'ung-chi chü cheng-feng Hsüeh Mu-ch'iao chü-chang yao-ch'ing Cuing Chin pu-fen ching-chi-hsüeh t'ung-chi-hsüeh chiao-shou chü-hsing tso-t'an-hui (“Director of the State Statistical Bureau, Hsüeh Mu-ch'iao, Invites Professors of Economics and Statistics in Peking and Tientsin to a Symposium to Help in the Rectification of the State Statistical Bureau”), TCKT, No. 12, 06 29, 1959, pp. 1–10.Google Scholar
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15 Claims of 100 million peasants engaged in water conservancy projects in the winter of 1957–58 and 60 million persons engaged in smelting iron in backyard furnaces indicate something of the magnitude of the labour force deployed from time to time in such short-term projects. Since the State Statistical Bureau has never reported such labour in its economic communiqués, it is assumed that no regular accounting system was established to record it, and hence that no basis exists for estimating it as a whole from year to year.
16 See Appendix.
17 Employment in the modern sector is defined as the number of workers and employees in the non-agricultural branches of the economy, derived by subtracting the number of workers and employees in state farms and forestry from the total number of workers and employees. See Appendix.
18 Employment in the traditional sector is defined as the total number of persons other than workers and employees engaged in the non-agricultural branches of the economy. See Appendix.
19 “Wo-kuo kung-yeh chien-she ti fei-yo fa-chan” (“The Flying Development of Industry in China”), T'ung-chi Yen-chiu (Statistical Research) (hereafter cited as TCYC), No. 9, 09 23, 1958, p. 5.Google Scholar
20 “Progress of the Chinese Working Class,” NCNA, 11 28, 1957, contained in SCMP, No. 1665, p. 32.Google Scholar
21 “Kuan-yü chih-kung sheng-huo kai-shan ch'ing-k'uang ti t'ung-chi tzu-liao” (“Statistical Data Relating to the Rising Standards of Living of Workers and Employees”), Data Section, TCKT, No. 14, 07 29, 1957, p. 13Google Scholar; and “Chi-pen chien-she kung-tso ti ta-yo-chin” (“The Big Leap Forward in Basic Construction”), TCYC, No. 9, 09 23, 1958, p. 10Google Scholar, translated in ECMM, No. 153, 01 12, 1959, p. 34.Google Scholar
22 See notes 19 and 21, and Vinogradov, N. P., “Rabochiy klass Kitayskoy narodnoy respubliki”Google Scholar (“The Working Class of the Chinese People's Republic”), Problemy vostokovedeniya) (Problems of the Far East), No. 2, 1960, p. 84Google Scholar, quoting Wo-kuo ti kuo-min ching-chi chien-she ho jen-min sheng-huo (China's National Economic Construction and the People's Livelihood) (Peking: State Statistical Bureau, 1958), p. 292.Google Scholar
23 See Appendix for sources of data on the number of persons other than workers and employees engaged in trade, traditional forms of transport, and handicrafts.
24 Urban population totals from 1952 through 1956 are reported in “Data on China's Population from 1949 to 1956,” TCKT, No. 11, 06 14, 1957Google Scholar, translated in ECMM, No. 91, 07 22, 1957, pp. 23–24.Google Scholar
25 The 1957 figure is extrapolated as a year-end total from 1956 and 1957 annual average urban population totals in Ni, Ernest, Distribution of the Urban and Rural Population of Mainland China: 1953 and 1958 (Washington: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1960)Google Scholar, International Population Reports, Series P-95, No. 56, table B, p. 4.
26 P'ing, Sung, “The Problem of Employment,” LT, No. 21, 10 4, 1957Google Scholar, translated in ECMM, No. 117, pp. 22–23.Google Scholar
27 The following sources indicate apparently ineffective attempts to control migration from farm to city from 1952 through 1957: “Notice of Central-South Military Administrative Committee on Prevention of Flow of Rural Labour Power to Cities,” Ch'ang-chiang Jih-pao (Yangtse Daily), 10 21, 1952, translated in SCMP, No. 444, pp. 30–31Google Scholar; “We Should Dissuade Peasants From Blindly Moving Towards Cities, Declares Social Affairs Department, Ministry of Interior,” People's Daily, 11 26, 1952, translated in SCMP, No. 468, pp. 11–12Google Scholar; “Government Administration Council Directive on Dissuasion of Peasants From Blind Influx Into Cities,” NCNA, 04 17, 1953, translated in SCMP, No. 554, pp. 24–25Google Scholar; “Central People's Government Ministry of Interior and Ministry of Labour Issue Joint Directive Concerning Continued Implementation of Directive Advising Against Blind Influx of Peasants Into Cities,” dated 03 12, 1954Google Scholar, People's Daily, 03 15, 1954, translated in SCMP, No. 774, pp. 8–9Google Scholar; “Mobilise the Non-Productive Population in Cities to Return to Rural Areas for Production,” Kuang-ming Jih-pao, 12 29, 1955, translated in SCMP, No. 1203, pp. 8–9Google Scholar; “Non-Productive Populations in Cities Too Large and Growing Too Fast,” NCNA, 07 25, 1957, translated in SCMP, No. 1582, pp. 1–2Google Scholar; “The State Council's Provisional Regulations Governing Recruitment of Temporary Workers in Rural Areas by Various Units,” and Ma Wen-jui (Minister of Labour), “Explanations of State Council's Provisional Regulations Governing Recruitment of Temporary Workers in Rural Areas by Various Units,” NCNA, 12 13, 1957, translated in SCMP, No. 1699, pp. 22–26.Google Scholar
28 See Appendix.
29 Sources of data on 7·9 million industrial, 1·9 million construction and 1·9 million transport workers and employees are given in notes 19, 21 and 22.
30 The sources of data on the number of industrial workers and employees in 1958 are given in note 31. The 1958 total of 5·3 million construction workers and employees is reported in The Great Ten Years, p. 44.Google Scholar Sources of data used to estimate a 1958 year-end total of 3,278,000 workers and employees in transport, posts, and telecommunications are: “Railway Trade Union Congress Opens,” NCNA, 04 7, 1958, contained in SCMP, No. 1749, p. 3Google Scholar; The Great Ten Years, pp. 131 and 137Google Scholar; Cheng-ts'ao, Lü, “Ten Years of Railroad Work,” People's Daily, 09 28, 1959, translated in CB, No. 607, p. 17Google Scholar; “Railway Workers Evoke New Upsurge of the Movement for Production Increase and Economy,” KJJP, 09 18, 1959, translated in SCMP, No. 2111, p. 11Google Scholar; Jen-min Yu-tien (People's Posts and Telecommunications), No. 15, 05 22, 1959, p. 5Google Scholar; “National Conference of Outstanding Communications Workers Opens,” NCNA, 04 20, 1956, translated in SCMP, No. 1281, p. 7.Google Scholar
31 Sources of data used to estimate industrial employment at the end of 1958 include in addition to that given in note 19: “On Raising of Labour Efficiency,” People's Daily, 05 15, 1959, p. 1, translated in SCMP, No. 2024, p. 1Google Scholar; Teng Chieh, as cited in Appendix under “Handicrafts”; “Chua-chin shih-chi tseng-ch'an yuanyen” (“Seize the Opportunity to Produce More Crude Salt”), KJJP, 05 4, 1960, p. 2Google Scholar; Ch'i-hua, Mao, “Ch'ung-fen fa-hui ‘ke ch'in so nung,’ pao-cheng sheng-ch'an chien-she keng ta yo-chin”Google Scholar (“Fully Bring Out ‘From Each According to His Ability’ and Guarantee a Bigger Leap Forward in Production and Construction”), LT, No. 1, 01 3, 1959, p. 6Google Scholar; “Community Workshops and Service Depôts Popular in China,” NCNA, 01 8, 1960, contained in SCMP, No. 2176, p. 6.Google Scholar
32 Substantial transfers of workers and employees from trade and government administration to industry in 1958 are mentioned in “State Statistical Bureau's Report on China's Economic Growth in First Six Months of 1958,” NCNA, 08 2, 1958, contained in SCMP, No. 1830, p. 21.Google Scholar See also Ch'i-hua, Mao, loc. cit.Google Scholar
33 On the possibility and need for raising output among workers newly hired in 1958 see: Ta-lin, Ch'en, “Raising Labour Productivity Is an Important Task,”Google ScholarKJJP, 03 25, 1959, translated in SCMP, No. 1997, pp. 5–8Google Scholar; “Fully Develop the Potentiality of Manpower Within Our Enterprises,” editorial, People's Daily, 03 13, 1959, translated in SCMP, No. 1982, pp. 6–9Google Scholar; “On Raising of Labour Efficiency,” editorial, People's Daily, 05 19, 1959, translated in SCMP, No. 2024, pp. 6–9.Google Scholar
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35 Based on estimates made by the Foreign Manpower Research Office, Bureau of the Census, U.S Dept. of Commerce.
36 En-lai, Chou, “The Great Decade,”Google ScholarNCNA, 10 6, 1959, contained in CB, No. 598, p. 5.Google Scholar
37 See note 35.
38 It is assumed that of the 20 million persons reported added to the urban population from 1958 to 1960, the major portion was added in 1958, raising the total urban population from 94·4 to 110 million persons. Sources of data on urban population growth in these years are: “How Chinese Working Class Has Grown to 32 million,” NCNA, 04 26, 1959, contained in SCMP, No. 2007, p. 14Google Scholar; Chou Po-p'ing, “Supply of Food Grains in China This Year,” China News Service, Canton, 10 3, 1959, contained in SCMP, No. 2126, p. 16Google Scholar; Yü-chi, Ch'eng, “Fully Understand the Great Significance of Agriculture as the Foundation,” Chung-kuo Ch'ing-nien Poo (China Youth Daily), 07 7, 1960, translated in SCMP, No. 2319, p. 15Google Scholar; “Ch'üan-tang tung-shou, ch'üan-min tung-shou, ta-pan nung-yeh, ta-pan liang-shih” (“Let the Whole Party Start to Work, the Whole People Start to Work, to Farm, to Raise Grain”), editorial, People's Daily, 08 25, 1960, p. 1.Google Scholar
39 See note 35.
40 See note 38.
41 See note 35.
42 Ibid.
43 Ibid.
44 Ibid.
45 The increase in the number of female workers and employees in 1958 is reported in “Tsai Chang Addresses Women's Rally,” NCNA, 03 7, 1959, contained in SCMP, No. 1971, p. 8.Google Scholar