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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 04 December 2019
We formulate a coupled system of renewal equations for the forces of infections in interacting subgroups through a contact network. We use the theory of order-preserving and sub-homogeneous discrete dynamical systems to show the existence and uniqueness of the disease outbreak final sizes in the sub-populations. We illustrate the general theory through a simple SIR model with exponentially and non-exponentially distributed infectious period.
This research has been partially supported by NSERC, the Canada Research Chair Program, and the NSERC-Sanofi Industrial Research Chair Program in Vaccine Mathematics, Modeling, and Manufacturing.