Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-fbnjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-08T16:18:01.917Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

The Politics of Tax States in the Canadian Provinces after the Golden Age

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2016

Rodney Haddow
Rodney Haddow*
Affiliation:
University of Toronto
*
Department of Political Science, University of Toronto, 100 St. George St., Toronto, ON, M5S 3G3, Email: [email protected]
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

This article evaluates the impact of partisanship, globalization and postindustrialism on provincial revenues since 1980. It is often argued that the first of these no longer has an effect, while the second and third erode fiscal capacity. These arguments are assessed with multilevel models, hitherto little used for macro-level estimations in political science. This approach is particularly suited to testing these influences. The study finds that partisanship is, in fact, strongly associated with provincial revenues. Globalization and postindustrialism have a more muted effect, though alternative estimations support somewhat different conclusions regarding the former. The social preconditions of partisanship's impact, moreover, deserve more attention.

Résumé

Cet article évalue l'impact de l'esprit de parti, de la mondialisation et de la désindustrialisation sur les revenus provinciaux depuis 1980. Parmi ces facteurs, la littérature suggère que le premier n'a plus d'effet, alors que les deuxième et troisième minent la capacité fiscale des États. Ces arguments sont examinés à l'aide de modèles multi-niveaux, une approche particulièrement bien adaptée à l’étude de ces facteurs, bien que traditionnellement peu utilisée dans les estimations de données de niveau macro en science politique. L'étude conclut, d'une part, que l'esprit de parti et les revenus provinciaux sont fortement associés. D'autre part, l'article démontre que la mondialisation et la désindustrialisation ont un effet moindre, bien que d'autres estimations fournissent un portrait plus nuancé concernant l'impact de la mondialisation. Enfin, les conditions sociales déterminant l'effet l'esprit de parti méritent une plus grande attention de la part des chercheurs.

Type
Research Article
Information
Canadian Journal of Political Science/Revue canadienne de science politique , Volume 49 , Issue 1 , March 2016 , pp. 63 - 88
Copyright
Copyright © Canadian Political Science Association (l'Association canadienne de science politique) and/et la Société québécoise de science politique 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bartels, Brandon. 2015. “Beyond fixed versus random effects: A framework for improving substantive and statistical analysis in panel, time-series cross-sectional and multilevel data.” In Quantitative Research in Political Science, vol. 4, ed. Franzese, R.. Thousand Oaks CA: Sage.Google Scholar
Beck, Nathaniel. 2001. “Time-Series-Cross-Section Data: What Have we Learned in the Past Few Years?” Annual Review of Political Science 4: 271–93.Google Scholar
Begg, Melissa and Parides, Michael. 2010. “Separation of Individual-Level and Cluster-Level Covariate Effects in Regression Analysis of Correlated Data.” In Multilevel Modelling, vol. 1, ed. Skrondal, A. and Rabe-Hesketh, S.. Los Angeles: Sage.Google Scholar
Bell, Andrew and Jones, Kelvyn. 2015. “Explaining Fixed Effects: Random Effects Modeling of Time-Series Cross-Sectional and Panel Data.” Political Science Research and Methods 3: 133–53.Google Scholar
Bickerton, James. 1989. “The Party System and the Representation of Periphery Interests: The Case of the Maritimes.” In Canadian Parties in Transition, ed. Gagnon, J. and Tanguay, A.. Scarborough: Nelson.Google Scholar
Brady, David and Lee, Hang Young. 2014. “The Rise and Fall of Government Spending in Affluent Democracies, 1971–2008.” Journal of European Social Policy 24: 56–79.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Busemeyer, Marius. 2009. “From Myth to Reality: Globalization and Public Spending in OECD Countries Revisited.” European Journal of Political Research 48: 455–82.Google Scholar
Cameron, David. 1978. “The Expansion of Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis.” American Political Science Review 72: 1243–61.Google Scholar
Castles, Francis. 2004. The Future of the Welfare State: Crisis Myths and Crisis Realities. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cusack, Thomas, Iversen, Torben and Rehm, Phillipp. 2006. “Rich at Work: The Demand and Supply Sides of Government Redistribution.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 22: 365–89.Google Scholar
Esping-Andesen, Gosta. 1985. “Power and Distributional Regimes.” Politics and Society 14: 223–56.Google Scholar
Esping-Andersen, Gosta. 1990. The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Garrett, Geoffrey. 1998. Partisan Politics in the Global Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Haddow, Rodney. 2015. Comparing Quebec and Ontario: Political Economy and Public Policy at the Turn of the Millennium. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.Google Scholar
Hicks, Alexander. 1999. Social Democracy and Welfare Capitalism. Ithaca NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Huber, Evelyne and Stephens, John. 2001. Development and Crisis of the Welfare State. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Iversen, Torben and Cusack, Thomas. 2000. “The Causes of Welfare State Expansion: Deindustrialization or Globalization.” World Politics 52: 313–49.Google Scholar
Jensen, Carsten. 2011. “Conditional Contraction: Globalization and Capitalist Systems.” European Journal of Political Research 50: 143–67.Google Scholar
Kennedy, Peter. 2003. A Guide to Econometrics. 5th ed. Cambridge MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Kenworthy, Lane. 2008. Jobs and Equality. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Kitschelt, Herbert. 2007. “Party Systems.” In The Oxford Handbook of Comparative Politics, ed. Boix, C. and Stokes, S.. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Kneebone, Ronald, and McKenzie, Kenneth. 2001. “Electoral and Partisan Cycles in Fiscal Policy: An Examination of Canadian Provinces.” International Tax and Public Finance 8: 753–74.Google Scholar
Korpi, Walter. 1980. “Social Policy and Distributional Conflict in the Capitalist Democracies.” West European Politics 3: 296–316.Google Scholar
Kwon, Hyeok Yong and Pontusson, Jonas. 2010. “Globalization, Labour Power and Partisan Politics Revisited.” Socio-Economic Review 8: 251–81.Google Scholar
OECD. 2011. Education at a Glance, 2011. Paris: OECD.Google Scholar
Pétry, François, Imbeau, Louis M., Crête, Jean and Clavet, Michel. 1999. “Electoral Cycles and Partisan Cycles in the Canadian Provinces.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 32: 273–92.Google Scholar
Pickup, Mark. 2006. “Globalization, Politics and Provincial Government Spending in Canada.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 39: 883–917.Google Scholar
Pierson, Paul. 1996. “The New Politics of the Welfare State.” World Politics 48: 143–73.Google Scholar
Pierson, Paul. 2001. “Post-Industrial Pressures on the Mature Welfare State.” In The New Politics of the Welfare State, ed. Pierson, . Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Pierson, Paul. 2004. Politics in Time. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Royal Bank of Canada. 2015. Canadian Federal and Provincial Fiscal Tables. Toronto: RBC Economic Research, February 18.Google Scholar
Scruggs, Lyle. 2007. “Welfare State Generosity across Space and Time.” In Investigating Welfare State Change: The “Dependent Variable Problem” in Comparative Analysis, ed. Clasen, J. and Siegel, N.. Cheltenham UK: Edward Elgar.Google Scholar
Simmons, Beth. 1999. “The Internationalization of Capital.” In Continuity and Change in Contemporary Capitalism, ed. Kitschelt, H., Lange, P., Marks, G. and Stephens, J.. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Canada, Statistics. 2006. Financial Management System (FMS), catalogue no. 68F0023XIE. Ottawa: Minister of Industry.Google Scholar
Streeck, Wolfgang. 2014. Buying Time: The Delayed Crisis of Democratic Capitalism. London, Verso.Google Scholar
Tellier, Geneviève. 2006. “Public Expenditures in Canadian Provinces: An Empirical Story of Politico-Economic Interaction.” Public Choice 126: 367–85.Google Scholar
Tellier, Geneviève. 2009. “Les déterminants des recettes fiscales des gouvernements provinciaux canadien.” Canadian Public Administration 52: 591–612.Google Scholar
Wilensky, Harold, and Lebeaux, Charles. 1958. Industrial Society and Social Welfare. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Wooldridge, Jeffrey. 2006. Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach. Mason OH: Thomson South-Western.Google Scholar