Published online by Cambridge University Press: 13 December 2011
Insurance is a business in which trust is the corollary of risk taking. One problem for the insurance industry in eighteenth and early nineteenth-century Britain was how to bridge the gap between the world of business based upon personal trust, and the emergence of new commercial relations where moral hazard was mass produced and where a commanding knowledge of personal reputations was virtually impossible. This paper examines the imperfect methods devised by early life and fire insurance offices to assess both physical and moral hazard and postulates a relationship between the two. The responses to two particular moral hazard “problems” identified by contemporary underwriters–insurance by the Jews and the Irish–are explored.
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20 In Britain, the term “assurance” was usually reserved for life assurance, while “insurance” referred to all branches of non-life business. In practice, however, the terms are increasingly used synonymously.
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23 I am grateful to a referee for the following point.
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35 Cowdray's Manchester Gazette and Weekly Advertiser, 18 Dec. 1824; Guildhall Library, London, 16222/2–3, Manchester Fire & Life Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 1825–6. The Manchester company had only sold twenty-five life assurance polices by the end of 1824.
36 Law Life Assurance, Prospectus (1823). Many offices charged extra for those who had not had the pox or for those who suffered from gout. Cf. Guildhall Lib., London, 16222/4, Manchester Fire & Life Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 22 Oct. 1828.
37 Thus 10 s percent, or ten shillings premium for every £100 insured, was charged by the Law Life for assurances of less than seven years' duration, 15 s percent for policies to run over seven years, and 20 s percent for whole life policies, while the Pelican charged 10 s percent for one-year term policies, 15 s percent for policies over one year and under seven years, and 20 s percent for whole life assurances. Law Life Assurance, Prospectus (1823); Pelican Life Office, Prospectus (1826).
38 Drew, London Assurance, 656.
39 Guildhall Lib., 21484/1, Law Life Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 24 May, 13–27 June 1823.
40 Law Life Assurance, Prospectus (1828).
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49 There is as yet no comprehensive history of British life assurance for this period, so this statement of trends remains tentative. There were only ten life offices in existence around 1800. That number had doubled by 1815, but by 1853 a further 165 had been founded. For indications of falling income and profit margins, see Trebilcock, Phoenix Assurance, 539; Supple, Royal Exchange, 168–71.
50 This preceded, by a few years, the great expansion of statistical science in Britain during the 1830s and the rapid growth of interest in insurance among probability theorists; see Porter, Theodore M., The Rise of Statistical Thinking, 1820–1900 (Princeton, 1986), 30–6, 71–88Google Scholar.
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53 The following is based upon an analysis of the records of nearly fifty British fire insurance offices between 1700 and 1850. This represents most of the surviving archives of this industry, and accounts for about 30 percent of the total number of offices founded during this period. See Pearson, Insuring the Industrial Revolution.
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58 New estimations with the limited data available suggest that “economic profits” in fire insurance–net of the opportunity cost of investing in an alternative investment, consols were generally modest, between 1 and 4 percent, but that dividend levels were relatively high compared with other sectors of business. This generosity to shareholders was largely funded by dipping into premium surpluses at the expense of building up premium reserves. See Pearson, Insuring the Industrial Revolution, ch. 9.
59 Guildhall Lib., 14022/4, Union Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 25 Sept. 1728.
60 For evidence of underinsurance and capacity constraints in insuring industrial property, see Pearson, “Fire Insurance and the British Textile Industries.” Reinsurance was the “laying off” of unwanted portions of risks by insurance offices to other insurers (reinsurers). For its early history in fire insurance, see Pearson, Robin, “The Development of Reinsurance Markets in Europe during the Nineteenth Century,” Journal of European Economic History 24 (1995): 557–72Google Scholar.
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62 Guildhall Lib., 14116, Sun Fire Office, Simplified Profit and Loss Accounts.
63 Guildhall Lib., 8746A, London Assurance, Fire Assurance Annual Accounts. “Apparently” is a necessary qualifier because the random nature and incompleteness of record survival makes such judgments about what contemporaries had at their disposal always uncertain.
64 I am grateful to an anonymous referee for this point and for the formulation presented here.
65 Most insurance agents, upon appointment, had to provide their offices with sureties for sums roughly equating to the expected annual income of their agency, but these were intended mainly as a guarantee against default or fraud, rather than as a hedge against poor underwriting.
66 Guildhall Lib., 16222/4, Manchester Fire & Life Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 31 Dec. 1828.
67 See, for example, the cases of William Chamberlayne, John Lowry, and a Mr. Bowker, Guildhall Lib., 16222/3, 5, Manchester Fire & Life Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 25 May 1826, 9 May 1827, 1 Nov., 22 Nov. 1832.
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77 Cambridge University Library, Phoenix Assurance Archives, Pelican Life Office, Directors' Public Minutes, 18 July 1820.
78 Cambridge University Lib., Phoenix Assurance Archives, Pelican Life Office, Directors' Public Minutes, 15 Feb., 12 May 1825; Guildhall Lib., 12162A/1, Alliance Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 26 Apr., 6 Sept. 1826. Unfortunately the contents of the Alliance report have not survived.
79 Cited by Trebilcock, Phoenix Assurance, 566.
80 Cambridge University Lib., Phoenix Assurance Archives, Pelican Life Office, Directors' Public Minutes, 12 Dec. 1826; Trebilcock, Phoenix Assurance, 566.
81 Trebilcock, Phoenix Assurance, 567.
82 Cambridge University Lib., Phoenix Assurance Archives, Pelican Life Office, Directors' Public Minutes, 1 Sept. 1829.
83 Guildhall Lib., 16170/4, Atlas Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 1 Jan. 1828, Ansell's report has not survived; Cambridge University Lib., Phoenix Assurance Archives, Pelican Life Office, Directors' Public Minutes, 26 July 1827.
84 For example, in 1830 the Imperial Life Office and the Alliance Assurance unsuccessfully challenged in the Dublin courts claims, which they deemed fraudulent, lodged by the widow of a Dublin attorney who had died of a tumor shortly after taking out large polices on his own life. Harrison, Irish Insurance, 26–8.
85 There were contemporary parallels in the celebrated case of a fraudulent insurance on the life of the Duke of Saxe-Gotha, which involved several English life offices in 1826 and led some of them to abandon German life assurance. Campbell-Kelly, Martin, “Charles Babbage and the Assurance of Lives,” IEEE Annals of the History of Computing 16 (1994): 5–14CrossRefGoogle Scholar. My thanks to an anonymous referee for this reference.
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88 Pearson, “Thrift or Dissipation?” 247, table 5.
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94 For one of many examples, see Guildhall Lib., 14022/16, Union Assurance, Directors' Minutes, 9 Jan. 1782.
95 4 Geo. III c.14.
96 Calculated from clerks' reports in Guildhall Lib., 8666/24–28, Hand-in-Hand, Directors' Minutes, 1780–1800, passim.
97 Leeds City Archives, acc. 3393, box 41, Leeds & Yorkshire Assurance, Secretary's Letterbook, Jonathan Wilks to Samuel Baines, 24 Mar. 1825.
98 Ibid., Jonathan Wilks to George Phipps, 17 Oct. 1825.
99 The level of underinsurance maintained by the fire offices was usually in the order of about 25 percent of the replacement value of the property. The “average clause” inserted into policies stated that if the value of goods insured in a policy was greater than the sum insured, and the goods were not totally destroyed by a fire, the insurer would only be liable to pay out that proportion of the loss which the sum insured bore to the whole value of the goods at the time of the fire. For an example of this clause, see Guildhall Lib., 8735/6, London Assurance, Fire Committee Minutes, 14 Dec. 1804.
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103 Guildhall Lib., 11932/13, Sun Fire Office, Committee of Management Minutes, 12 Oct. 1786; Trebilcock, Phoenix Assurance, 144–5.
104 There were also two widows and a “gentleman.” Details of claimants and sums paid to them from Guildhall Lib., 11932/13, Sun Fire Office, Committee of Management Minutes, Sept. 1786–Jan. 1787 passim.
105 Trebilcock, Phoenix Assurance, 145; Guildhall Lib., 11931/8, Sun Fire Office, General Committee Minutes, 4 Mar. 1802.
106 Some five thousand Jewish households in London c.1800, each insuring a minimum sum of £100 on buildings or goods, would have constituted a sizable market of half a million pounds.
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111 Litton, Crime and Crime Prevention, 110. For a recent discussion about the rights and wrongs of “moralizing” in underwriting, see the exchange of letters in CII Journal (March 1998): 6–7; (July 1998): 6–7.