Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-xbtfd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-17T03:23:06.131Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The puzzle of public opposition to TTIP in Germany

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 November 2017

Abstract

Germany is pivotal to the success of any trade agreement between the European Union and the United States. As the third largest exporter in the world, Germany is dependent on open markets; throughout the post-war period, government support for free trade has been unequivocal. Despite these positive incentives for expanding free trade, both German business and the wider public voiced fierce opposition to the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). TTIP became a flash point for the German public to overcome collective action problems and create a broad protest movement against a free trade agreement for the first time in German history. This movement enabled the public to successfully exercise influence on German foreign economic policy-making, which had long been protected from public pressure. By 2015, the success of that pressure in penetrating the policy-making apparatus combined with growing government concern about the potential of international firms to undermine national policy. As a result of the confluence of these two forces, German leaders changed their position in TTIP negotiations.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © V.K. Aggarwal 2017 and published under exclusive license to Cambridge University Press 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aggarwal, Vinod and Dupont, Cedric. 2013. “Collaboration and Co-ordination in the Global Political Economy” In Global Political Economy, 4th edition, edited by Ravenhill, John. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Attorney-General's Department, Australian Government. 2011. “Tobacco plain packaging—investor-state arbitration.” (Accessed on 8 April 2015) http://www.ag.gov.au/tobaccoplainpackaging.Google Scholar
Auerswald, David P. 1999. “Inward Bound: Domestic Institutions and Military Conflict.” International Organization 53: 469504.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bauer, Matthias. 2015. “The Spiral of Silence – How Anti-TTIP Groups Dominate German Online Media and Set the Tone for TTIP Opinion,” European Center for International Political Economy.Google Scholar
Chamberlin, J. 1974. “Provision of Collective Goods as a Function of Group Size.” American Political Science Review 68 (June): 707–16.Google Scholar
Chong, Dennis. 1991. Collective Action and the Civil Rights Movement. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Cottrell, Chris. 2015. “Free trade deals highlight discord over investor protection,” Deutsche Welle. (Accessed on 9 September 2016) http://www.dw.de/free-trade-deals-highlight-discord-over-investor-protection/a-18315662.Google Scholar
Crawford, Beverly. 2007. Power and German Foreign Policy: Embedded Hegemony in Europe. London: Palgrave.Google Scholar
Dalton, Russell J., Flanagan, Scott E., Beck, P.A., and Alt, J.E.. 1984. Electoral change in advanced industrial democracies: Realignment or dealignment? Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
De Nardo, James. 1985. Power in Numbers. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Deutsche Welle . 2015. “German Social Democrats fear free trade.” (Accessed on 22 September 2016) http://www.dw.com/en/german-social-democrats-fear-free-trade/a-18275595.Google Scholar
Deutsche Welle . 2016. “German SMEs Join Protest Against TTIP.” (Accessed on 7 August 2017) http://www.dw.com/en/german-smes-join-protests-against-ttip/a-19066010.Google Scholar
Dullien, Sebastian. 2015. “Why we favour ditching investment protection in TTIP.” European Council on Foreign Relations. (Accessed on 9 September 2016) http://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_why_we_favour_ditching_investment_protection_in_ttip422.Google Scholar
EurActiv.com with Reuters. 2016. “Survey shows plunging public support for TTIP in US and Germany.” (Accessed on 19 January 2017) https://www.euractiv.com/section/trade-society/news/survey-shows-plunging-public-support-for-ttip-in-us-and-germany/.Google Scholar
European Commission. 2013. “Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership: The Economic Analysis Explained.”Google Scholar
Gibowski, Wolfgang G. and Kaase, Max. 1991. “Auf dem Weg zum politischen Alltag,” Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte 11: 320.Google Scholar
Girma, Sourafel, Görg, Holger, and Wagner, Joachim. 2009. “Subsidies and Exports in Germany: First Evidence from Enterprise Panel Data.” IZA Discussion Paper No. 4076.Google Scholar
Granovetter, Mark. 1978. “Threshold Models of Collective Behavior,” American Journal of Sociology, 83(6): 1,42043.Google Scholar
Hetzner, Christiaan. 2015. “Zetsche, Other Top Auto Chiefs lobby for EU-US Trade Deal.” Automotive News Europe. (Accessed on 19 January 2017) http://europe.autonews.com/article/20150127/ANE/150129818/zetsche-other-top-auto-chiefs-to-lobby-for-eu-u.s.-trade-deal.Google Scholar
Holsti, O. 1992. “Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: Challenges to the Almond-Lippmann Consensus.” International Studies Quarterly 36 (4): 439–66.Google Scholar
Jacobs, L. and Page, B.. 2005. “Who Influences U.S. Foreign Policy?The American Political Science Review 99 (1): 107–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Juncker, Jean-Calude. 2014. “A New Start for Europe: My Agenda for Jobs, Growth, Fairness and Democratic Change.” European Commission. (Accessed on 15 July 2017) http://ec.europa.eu/priorities/docs/pg_en.pdf.Google Scholar
Kinkartz, Sabine. 2015. “German Social Democrats Fear Free Trade.” Deutsche Welle. (Accessed on 19 January 2017) http://www.dw.com/en/german-social-democrats-fear-free-trade/a-18275595.Google Scholar
Kirchheimer, Otto. 1966. “The transformation of the Western European party systems.” Political parties and political development, No.177200.Google Scholar
Knight, Ben. 2016. “German Judges Slap TTIP down.” Deutsche Welle. (Accessed on 4 February 2017) http://www.dw.com/en/german-judges-slap-ttip-down/a-19027665.Google Scholar
Kuran, Timur Kuran. 1989. “Sparks and Prairie Fires: A Theory of Unanticipated Revolution.” Public Choice 61(1): 4174.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lohmann, Susanne. 1994. “The Dynamics of Informational Cascades: The Monday Demonstrations in Leipzig, East Germany, 1989–91.” World Politics 47: 42101.Google Scholar
McGuire, M.C. 1974. “Group size, Group Homogeneity and the Aggregate Provision of a Pure Public Good under Cournot Behavior.” Public Choice 18(Summer): 107–26.Google Scholar
Marwell, G. and Oliver, P.. 1993. The Critical Mass in Collective Action: A Micro-Social Theory. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Milner, Helen. 1995. “Regional Economic Cooperation, Global Markets, and Domestic Politics: A Comparison of NAFTA and the Maastricht Treaty.” Journal of European Public Policy 2: 337–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mintzel, Alf. 1989. “Großparteien im Parteienstaat der Bundesrepublik.” Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte, B 11(89): 311.Google Scholar
Office of the United States Trade Representative. 2015. “Investor-State Dispute Settlement.” (Accessed on 8 April 2015) https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/fact-sheets/2015/march/investor-state-dispute-settlement-isds#.Google Scholar
Oliver, P. and Marwell, G.. 1988. “The Paradox of Group Size in Collective Action: A Theory of the Critical Mass. II.” American Sociological Review 53(February): 18.Google Scholar
Olson, Mancur. 1965. The Logic of Collective Action . Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Ostrom, Elinor. 2003. “How Types of Goods and Property Rights Jointly Affect Collective Action.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 15(3): 239–70.Google Scholar
Putnam, R. 1988. “Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games.” International Organization 42 (3): 427–60.Google Scholar
Riesbeck, Peter. 2016. “Freihandelsabkommen zwischen USA und EU Ein Monster namens TTIP.” Berliner Zeitung. (Accessed on 15 April 2017) http://www.berliner-zeitung.de/856460.Google Scholar
Risse-Kappen, Thomas. 1991. “Public Opinion, Domestic Structure, and Foreign Policy in Liberal Democracies.” World Politics 43(4): 479512.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rogowski, Ronald. 1989. Commerce and coalitions: How trade affects domestic political alignments. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Rose, Richard. 1986. “Common goals but different roles: The state's contribution to the welfare mix.” The welfare state East and West, edited by Rose, Richard and Shratori, Rei, chapter 5.Google Scholar
Sandler, T. 1992. Collective Action: Theory and Applications. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Schmuker, Claudia. 2015. “TTIP: Winning Back Trust.” Deutsche Gesellschaft fuer Auswaertige Politik: Standpunkt https://dgap.org/en/article/getFullPDF/26473.Google Scholar
Spiegel International . 2011. “Vattenfall vs. Germany: Nuclear Phase-Out Faces Billion-Euro lawsuit.” (Accessed on 5 February 2016) http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/vattenfall-vs-germany-nuclear-phase-out-faces-billion-euro-lawsuit-a-795466.html.Google Scholar
Stokes, Bruce. 2015. “Is Europe on board for a new trade deal with the U.S.?” PEW Research Center. (Accessed on 8 April 2015) http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/01/29/is-europe-on-board-for-a-new-trade-deal-with-the-u-s/.Google Scholar
Taylor, M. 1987. The Possibility of Cooperation. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. 2014. Investor-State Dispute Settlement: An Information Note on the United States and European Union. (Accessed on 5 February 2016) http://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/webdiaepcb2014d4_en.pdf.Google Scholar
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. 2015. Recent Trends in IIAS and ISDS. (Accessed on 5 February 2016) http://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/webdiaepcb2015d1_en.pdf.Google Scholar
Von der Burchard, Hans and Mucci, Alberto. 2016. “EU trade policy back on the rails after crunch German vote.” Politico. (Accessed on 19 January 2017) http://www.politico.eu/pro/eu-trade-policy-back-on-the-rails-after-crunch-german-vote/.Google Scholar