Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-fbnjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-09T13:59:32.451Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Choosing which firms to help in crisis: evidence from the emerging European economies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Dinissa Duvanova
Affiliation:
Lehigh University – International Relations, 206 Maginnes Hall, Bethlehem, PA, USA
Sarah Wilson Sokhey*
Affiliation:
University of Colorado, Boulder – Political Science, UCB 333, Boulder, Colorado, USA
*
Corresponding author: Sarah Wilson Sokhey, e-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

Decisions over state assistance to firms can hinge on whether politicians choose a strategy that favors particular interest groups, targets aggregate economic performance, or both. Which types of firms are more likely to receive financial help from the government? While standard interest group based explanations tend to see special interests dominating the political process, extraordinary economic challenges, such as financial crises, may make general economic concerns a greater priority for politicians. We argue that during financial crisis, politicians – who are always concerned with the economy – are even more likely to prioritize broad economic growth over helping particular groups. Politicians should favor general economic strategies over helping specific groups of firms because they have limited resources and wish to avoid sending a bad signal to other firms about helping those that fail. Using 2010 World Bank firm-level surveys done in Bulgaria, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, and Turkey, we find that politicians favored small dynamic firms with a proven ability to use resources well rather than the largest employers, those firms with the greatest lobbying capacity, or firms in particular sectors. We optimistically conclude that interest groups with disproportionate resources will not always get special treatment at the expense of others.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2016 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Angrist, Joshua. 1991. “Instrumental Variables Estimation of Average Treatment Effects in Econometrics and Epidemiology.” In: NBER Technical Working Paper 0115.Google Scholar
Angrist, Joshua. 2001. “Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models with Dummy Endogenous Regressors: Simple Strategies for Empirical Practice.Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 19 (1): 228.Google Scholar
Baker, Andy. 2009. The Market and the Masses in Latin America. Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Barakso, Maryann, Gerrity, Jessica C., and Brian, F. Schaffner. 2011. “Assessing the Importance of Financial and Human Capital for Interest Group Sector Strength across American Communities.” British Journal of Political Science 41 (3): 557580.Google Scholar
Beazer, Quintin. 2015. “Political Centralization and Economic Performance: Evidence from Russia.Journal of Politics 77 (1): 128145.Google Scholar
Beck, Michael Lewis. 1988. Economics and Elections: The Major Western Democracies. University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Beck, Thorsten, Clarke, George, Groff, Alberto, Keefer, Philip, and Walsh, Patrick. 2001. “New Tools in Comparative Political Economy: The Database of Political Institutions.” World Bank Economic Review 15 (1): 165176.Google Scholar
Bernhagen, Patrick, and Brauninger, Thomas. 2005. “Structural Power and Public Policy: A Signaling Model of Business Lobbying in Democratic Capitalism.Political Studies 53 (1): 4364.Google Scholar
Besley, Timothy, and Case, Anne. 1995. “Does Electoral Accountability Affect Economic Policy Choices? Evidence from Gubernatorial Term Limits.Quarterly Journal of Economics 110 (3): 769798.Google Scholar
Bhattacharya, J., Goldman, D., and McCaffrey, D. 2006. “Estimating Probit Models with Self-selected Treatments.” Statistics in Medicine 25 (3): 389413.Google Scholar
Brock, William A., and Evans, David S. 1989. “Small Business Economics.” Small Business Economics 1 (1): 720.Google Scholar
Chiburis, Richard C., Das, Jishnu, and Lokshin, Michael. 2011. “A Practical Comparison of the Bivariate Probit and Linear IV Estimators.” In: World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5601.Google Scholar
Commission, European. “Commission Notice on the application of Articles 87 and 88 of the EC Treaty to State aid in the form of guarantees, 2008/C155/02.” In: Europolitics. 14.Google Scholar
Commission, European. Enterprise and Industry. 2014. 2014 SBA Fact Sheet. Turkey.Google Scholar
Culpepper, Pepper. 2015. “Structural Power and Political Science in the Post-Crisis Era.Business & Politics 17 (3): 391409.Google Scholar
Dixit, Avinash, and Londregan, John. 1996. “The Determinants of Success of Special Interests in Redistributive Politics.Journal of Politics 58 (4): 11321155.Google Scholar
Downs, Anthony. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York, NY: Harper and Row.Google Scholar
Duvanova, Dinissa. 2007. “Bureaucratic Corruption and Collective Action: Business Associations in the Post-Communist Transition.Comparative Politics 39 (4): 441461.Google Scholar
Duvanova, Dinissa. 2011. “Firm Lobbying vs. Sectoral Organization: The Analysis of Business-State Relations in Post-Communist Russia.Post-Soviet Affairs 27 (4), 387409.Google Scholar
Economic Cooperation, Organization for, Development, and Asian Development Bank. 2015. ADB-OECD Study on Enhancing Financial Accessibility for SMEs: Lessons from Recent Crises. Tech. rep. Organization for Economic Development, Coopertation, and Asian Development Bank.Google Scholar
European Commission. 2009. “Should Aid be Granted to Firms in Difficulty?” Technical report.Google Scholar
Eurostat. 2011. Key figures on European business with a special feature on SMEs.Google Scholar
Faccio, Mara, Masulis, Ronald W., and McConnell, John J. 2006. “Political Connections and Corporate Bailouts.” Journal of Finance LXI 61 (6): 25972635.Google Scholar
Fairfield, Tasha. 2015. “Structural Power in Comparative Political Economy: Perspectives from Policy Formulation in Latin America.Business & Politics 17 (3): 411441.Google Scholar
Fan, Q., and Schaffer, M. 1994. “Government Financial Transfers and Enterprise Adjustments in Russia, with Comparisons to Central and Eastern Europe.Economics of Transition 2 (2): 151188.Google Scholar
Ferejohn, John. 1986. “Incumbent Performance and Electoral Control.Public Choice 50:525.Google Scholar
Frieden, Jeffrey, and Rogowski, Ronald. 1996. “Internationalization and Domestic Politics.” In Chap. Internationalization, Institutions, and Political Change, edited by Owen Keohane, Robert and Milner, Helen V., 4878. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Gordon, Sanford C., and Hafer, Catherine. 2005. “Flexing Muscle: Corporate Political Expenditures as Signals to the Bureaucracy.American Political Science Review 99 (2): 245261.Google Scholar
Grossman, Gene M., and Helpman, Elhanan. 1994. “Protection for Sale.American Economic Review 84:833850.Google Scholar
Grossman, Gene M., and Helpman, Elhanan. 1996. “Electoral Competition and Special Interest Politics.Review of Economic Studies 63 (2): 265–86.Google Scholar
Grossman, Gene M., and Helpman, Elhanan. 2001. Special Interest Politics. Boston: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Healy, Andrew, and Lenz, Gabriel. 2012. “Substituting the End for the Whole: Why Voters Respond Primarily to the Election-Year Economy.American Journal of Political Science 58 (1): 3147.Google Scholar
Heckman, James. 1979. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error.Econometrica 47 (1): 153–61.Google Scholar
Hellman, Joel S. 1998Winners Take All: The Politics of Partial Reform in Post-communist Transitions.” English. World Politics 50 (2): 203234.Google Scholar
Hirschman, Albert O. 1970. Exit, Voice, and, Loyalty: Responses to Decline in Firms, Organizations, and States. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Huber, Gregory, Hill, Seth, and Lenz, Gabriel. 2012. “Sources of Bias in Retrospective Decision-Making: Experimental Evidence on Voters’ Limitations in Controlling Incumbants.American Political Science Review 4 (106): 720741.Google Scholar
Johnson, Simon, and Kwak, James. 2010. 13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and the Next Financial Meltdown. New York, NY, USA: Vintage.Google Scholar
Julien, Pierre-Andre. 1993. “Small Business as a Research Subject: Some Reflections on Knowledge of Small Business and Its Effects on Economc Theory.Small Business Economics 5 (2): 157166.Google Scholar
Keefer, Philip. 2007. “Elections, Special Interests, and Financial Crisis.International Organization 61 (3): 607641.Google Scholar
Kono, Daniel Yuichi. 2008. “Democracy and Trade Discrimination.” The Journal of Politics 70 (4): 942955.Google Scholar
Langbein, Laura I. 1986. “Money and Access: Some Empirical Evidence.The Journal of Politics 48 (4): 10521062.Google Scholar
Lindbeck, Assar, and Weibull, Jorgen W. 1993. “A Model of Political Equilibrium in a Representative Democracy.” Journal of Public Economics 51:195209.Google Scholar
Lindblom, Charles. 1977. Politics and Markets: The World's Political-Economic Systems. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Magaloni, Beatriz. 2006. Voting for Autocracy: Hegemonic Party Survival and its Demise in Mexico. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Magaloni, Beatriz, Diaz-Cayeros, Alberto, and Estevez, Federico. 2007. “Clientalism and Portfolio Diversification: A Model of Electoral Investment with Applications to Mexico.” In Patrons, Clients, and Policies, edited by Kitschelt, Herbert and Wilkinson, Steven, 182205. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Marvel, Howard P., and Ray, Edward J. 1983. “The Kennedy Round: Evidence on the Regulation of International Trade in the United States.” American Economic Review 73 (1): 190197.Google Scholar
Maxfield, Sylvia. 2003. “When Do Voters Matter More Than Cronies in Developing Countries: The Politics of Bank Crisis Resolution.” In Critical Issues in International Financial Reform, edited by Berry, Albert and Indart, Gustavo. New Bronswick, New Jersey: Transaction Publishers.Google Scholar
McGillivray, Fiona. 2004. Privileging Industry: The Comparative Politics of Trade and Industrial Policy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Mesquita, Bruce Bueno de et al. 2003. The Logic of Political Survival. Boston: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Olson, Mancur. 1965. The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. 2013. “Recent Trends in SME and Entrepreneuriship in Finance.” In: OECD, 2013. Chap. Financing SMEs and Entrepreneurs 2013: An OECD Scoreboard.Google Scholar
Orlov, Evgeniy. 2000. “Government Subsidies to Russian Firms: Efficient or Not?” Moscow.Google Scholar
Plotke, David. 1992. “The Political Mobilization of Business.” In The Politics of Interests: Interest Groups Transformed. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam. 1991. Democracy and the Market: Political and Economic Reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam. 2008. “Selected Works of Michael Wallerstein.” In Chap. Introduction, edited by Austen-Smith, David et al., 917. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Pyle, William. 2011. “Organized Business, Political Competition, and Property Rights: Evidence from the Russian Federation.Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 27 (1): 231.Google Scholar
Ray, Edward John. 1991. “U.S. Protection and Intra-Industry Trade: The Message to Developing Countries.Economic Development and Cultural Change 40 (1): 169187.Google Scholar
Reuter, Ora John and Gandhi, Jennifer. 2011. “Economic Performance and Elite Defection from Hegemonic Parties.British Journal of Political Science 41 (3): 83110.Google Scholar
Sartori, Anna. 2003. “An Estimator for Some Binary-Outcome Selection Models Without Exclusion Restrictions.Political Analysis 11:111138.Google Scholar
Schaffer, M. E. 1998. “Do Firms in Transition Economies Have Soft Budget Constraints? A Reconsideration of Concepts and Evidence.Journal of Comparative Economics 26:80103.Google Scholar
Schlozman, Kay Lehman. 1984. “What Accent the Heavenly Chorus? Political Equality and the American Pressure System.The Journal of Politics 46 (4): 10061032.Google Scholar
Storey, D. J. 1994. Understanding the Small Business Sector. London: Routledge.Google Scholar
Treisman, Daniel. 1996. “The Politics of Intergovernmental Transfers in Post-Soviet Russia.British Journal of Political Science 26 (3): 299335.Google Scholar
Vogel, David. 1983. “The Power of Business in America: A Re-Appraisal.British Journal of Political Science 13 (1): 1943.Google Scholar
Welter, Friederike, and Smallbone, David. 2003. “Small Firms and Economic Development in Developed and Transition Economies.” In Chap. Entrepreneurship and Enterprise Google Scholar
Strategies in Transition Economies: An Institutional Perspective, edited by Watson, Anna, Kirby, David A., 95114. Farnham, UK: Ashgate Publishing.Google Scholar
Weyland, Kurt. 2002. The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies: Argentina, Brazil, Peru, and Venezuela. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Woll, Cornelia. 2014. The Power of Inaction: Bank Bailouts in Comparison. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
World Development Indicators. 2014. Washington, DC: World Bank.Google Scholar
Wright, Gerald C. 1989. “Policy voting in the U.S. Senate: Who is Represented?Legislative Studies Quarterly 14:465486.Google Scholar
Wright, Gerald C. 1990. “Misreports of Vote Choice in the 1988 NES Senate Election Study.Legislative Studies Quarterly 15:543563.Google Scholar
Yackee, Jason Webb, and Webb Yackee, Susan. 2006. “A Bias Towards Business? Assessing Interest Group Influence on the U.S. Bureaucracy.The Journal of Politics 68 (1): 128139.Google Scholar
Yap, Fiona. 2003. “Non-Electoral Responsiveness Mechanisms: Evidence from the Asian Less-Democratic Newly Industrialized Countries.British Journal of Political Science 33 (3): 491514.Google Scholar