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Popular Evaluation of German Chancellors, 1950–66: An Investigation of the Chancellor Effect

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 January 2009

Extract

The first twenty years of the Federal Republic of Germany afford a particularly interesting context for the study of popular evaluation of executive figures. The importance of popular perceptions of executive political authorities has been dramatically demonstrated in contemporary German political history. The role of attitudes toward the leading executive figure in the current democratic regime has been the subject of much speculation. A well-established view suggests that the étatist and authoritarian attitudes that supported previous regimes have been very important in establishing the new one. Most important in this regard is the part played by Konrad Adenauer, the first Chancellor of the Federal Republic, in shaping party and electoral politics in the new regime's early years.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1977

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References

1 For a discussion of the literature and empirical findings, see Wildenmann, Rudolf, ‘Germany 1930–1970: The Empirical Findings’, in Sozialwissenschaftliches Jahrbuch für Politik, 2 vols. (Munich: Günter Olzog Verlag, 1971), Vol. 2, pp. 3241.Google Scholar

2 Heidenheimer, Arnold J., ‘The Chancellor Effect in the Federal Republic’, in Schoonmaker, Donald, ed., German Politics (Lexington, Mass.: D. C. Heath, 1971), pp. 100–8Google Scholar; also in Politische Vierteljahresschrift (02, 1961).Google Scholar

3 For another influential analysis of this question, see Verba, Sidney, ‘Germany: The Remaking of Political Culture’, in Pye, L. W. and Verba, Sidney, eds., Political Culture and Political Development (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1965).Google Scholar

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6 The American Gallup question reads, ‘Do you approve or disapprove of the way (the incumbent) is handling his job as President?’

7 The question in German is in the form: ‘Sind sie im grossen und gansen mit der Politik Adenauer einverstanden oder nicht einverstanden?’

8 In German this question reads, ‘Können sie mir sagen, welche Partei Ihren Ansichten am nächsten steht?’

9 The parliamentary support item is ‘In your opinion could one get along with fifty deputies?’ The validation and use of the item was undertaken by Boynton, G. R. and Loewenberg, Gerhard in ‘The Development of Public Support for Parliament in Germany, 1951–1959’, British Journal of Political Science, III (1973), 169–89, pp. 172–3.CrossRefGoogle Scholar The party competition item is ‘Do you think it is better for a country to have one party, so that there is as much unanimity as possible, or several parties, so that various opinions can be represented freely?’ It is validated by G. R. Boynton and Gerhard Loewenberg in their paper, ‘The Development of Public Support for Party Competition in Postwar Germany’ prepared for delivery at the 1973 annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association in Chicago.

10 The item ascertains whether the respondent knows that a member of parliament represents his particular constituency. A discussion of its face validity is found in Boynton, and Loewenberg, , ‘The Development of Public Support for Parliament’, p. 24.Google Scholar

11 This is based on a question asking respondents whether they could speak freely about political matters or whether it was better to exercise some restraint. This item is discussed in Boynton, and Loewenberg, , ‘The Development of Public Support for Party Competition’, p. 18.Google Scholar

12 This is based on a question asking respondents whether they had attended any political meetings. This item is discussed by Boynton, and Loewenberg, in ‘The Development of Public Support for Party Competition’, p. 18.Google Scholar

13 Heidenheimer, , ‘The Chancellor Effect’, p. 103.Google Scholar

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29 In symbolic form the differential equation is

Dt = total change in Chancellor evaluation between time t – 1 and time t; xt =% of sample in first subgroup at time t; dPf = change in Chancellor evaluation in first subgroup between time t – 1 and time t; dPo = change in Chancellor evaluation in second subgroup between time t – 1 and time t; 1 – x =% of sample in second subgroup at time t; Pf = Chancellor evaluation in first subgroup at time t; Po =% Chancellor evaluation in second subgroup at time t; dx = change in size of first subgroup between time t = 1 and time t.

30 Dahrendorf, Ralf, Society and Democracy in Germany (Garden City, N.Y.: Anchor-Doubleday, 1969), p. 193.Google Scholar

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