Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rcrh6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T08:27:56.410Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Leader Nationalism, Ethnic Identity, and Terrorist Violence

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 June 2021

Seung-Whan Choi*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
*
*Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

Whether or not nationalism fuels terrorist violence by ethnic groups is an important yet underexplored research question. This study offers a theoretical argument, empirical analysis and a case study. When political leaders such as presidents and prime ministers use nationalism to shore up legitimacy, they threaten the existence of disfavored ethnic groups. In turn, those groups are more likely to respond with terrorist attacks. The author tests this argument using a sample of 766 ethnic groups across 163 countries from 1970 to 2009. The multilevel mixed-effects negative binomial regression results provide evidence that leader nationalism is a significant driver of ethnic terrorism. The detrimental effect of nationalism remains the same after using a generalized method of moments method to account for possible reverse causality. A case study of Sinhalese nationalist leaders versus Tamil Tigers also supports the nationalism and terrorism nexus.

Type
Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Achen, C (2000) Why Lagged Dependent Variables Can Suppress the Explanatory Power of Other Independent Variables. Working paper, St. Louis, WA: Society for Political Methodology.Google Scholar
Arellano, M and Bond, S (1991) Some tests of specification for panel data. Review of Economic Studies 58(2), 277297.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asal, V, Brown, M and Schulzke, M (2015) Kill them all – old and young, girls and women and little children. Political Science Research and Methods 3(3), 589607.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asal, V and Rethemeyer, RK (2008) The nature of the beast. Journal of Politics 70(2), 437449.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ashcraft, R (ed.) (1991) John Locke. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Atran, S (1990) Stones against the iron fist, terror within the nation. Politics and Society 18(4), 481526.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bakke, K, Cunningham, K and Seymour, L (2012) A plague of initials. Perspectives on Politics 10(2), 265283.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banks, A (2010) Cross-National Time-Series Data Archive. Available at https://www.cntsdata.com/.Google Scholar
Barker, R (2001) Legitimating Identities. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barros, C (2003) An intervention analysis of terrorism. Defence and Peace Economics 14(6), 401412.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Basedau, M et al. (2017) Does discrimination breed grievances – and do grievances breed violence? Conflict Management and Peace Studies 34(3), 217239.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bereciartu, J (2006) Ideolgia Y Estrategia Politica de ETA. Madrid: Siglo XXI.Google Scholar
Bonikowski, B and Gheihman, N (2015) Nation-state as symbolic construct. In Wright, J (ed.), International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences. Oxford: Elsevier, pp. 309314.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boylan, B (2016) What drives ethnic terrorist campaigns? Conflict Management and Peace Science 33(3), 250272.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brancati, D (2006) Decentralization. International Organization 60(3), 651685.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brass, P (1991) Ethnicity and Nationalism. New Delhi: Sage.Google Scholar
Brown, M and Ganguly, Š (eds) (2003) Fighting Words. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Byman, D (1998) The logic of ethnic terrorism. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 21(2), 149169.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cederman, L-E, Gleditsch, K and Buhaug, H (2013) Inequality, Grievances and Civil War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cederman, L-E, Wimmer, A and Min, B (2010) Why do ethnic groups rebel? World Politics 62(1), 87119.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, S-W (2010) Fighting terrorism through the rule of law? Journal of Conflict Resolution 54(6), 940966.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, S-W (2014) Causes of domestic terrorism. Korean Journal of International Studies 12(1), 137159.Google Scholar
Choi, S-W (2015) Economic growth and terrorism. Oxford Economic Papers 67(1), 157181.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, S-W (2018) Emerging Security Challenges. Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger.Google Scholar
Choi, S-W (2019) Economic causes of female suicide terrorism. Journal of Global Security Studies 4(4), 499509.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, S-W (2021) Replication Data for “Leader Nationalism, Ethnic Identity, and Terrorist Violence”, https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/QKGQQI, Harvard Dataverse, V1.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, S-W and Piazza, J (2016) Ethnic groups, political exclusion, and domestic terrorism. Defence and Peace Economics 27(1), 3763.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Citrin, J and Sears, D (2014) American Identity and the Politics of Multiculturalism. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Connor, W (1994) Ethnonationalism. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dahl, R (1971) Polyarchy. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Devos, T and Banaji, M (2005) American = white? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 88(3), 447466.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Findley, M and Young, J (2012) More combatant groups, more terror? Terrorism and Political Violence 24(5), 706721.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gagnon, V (2006) The Myth of Ethnic War. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Gellner, E (1983) Nations and Nationalism. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Gerth, HH (trans.) and Mills, C (ed.) (1946) From Max Weber. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Gleditsch, K (2002) Expanded trade and GDP data, 1946–99. Journal of Conflict Resolution 46(5), 712724.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greene, W (2003) Econometric Analysis. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.Google Scholar
Gurr, T and Harff, B (1994) Ethnic Conflict in World Politics. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Harff, B (2003) No lessons learned from the Holocaust? American Political Science Review 97(1), 5773.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hegre, H and Sambanis, N (2006) Sensitive analysis of empirical results on civil war onset. Journal of Conflict Resolution 50(4), 508535.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hilbe, J (2007) Negative Binomial Regression. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hobsbawm, EJ (1992) Nations and Nationalism Since 1780. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Horowitz, D (1993) Democracy in divided societies. Journal of Democracy 4(4), 1838.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Horowitz, D (2001) Ethnic Groups in Conflict. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Jeffrelot, C (2010) Abhinav Bharat, the Malegaon blast and Hindu nationalism. Economic and Political Weekly 45(36), 5158.Google Scholar
Kailitz, S (2013) Classifying political regimes revisited. Democratization 20(1), 3960.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kalmoe, N (2014) Fueling the fire. Political Communication 31(4), 545563.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kapferer, B (1988) Legends of People, Myths of State. Washington, DC: Smithsonian Institute Press.Google Scholar
Krastev, I (2011) The paradoxes of New Authoritarianism. Journal of Democracy 22(2), 516.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
LaFree, G and Ackerman, G (2009) The empirical study of terrorism. Annual Review of Law and Social Science 5, 347374.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, Q (2005) Does democracy promote or reduce transnational terrorist incidents? Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(2), 278297.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lieven, A (2011) Pakistan. New York: Public Affairs.Google Scholar
Lindemann, S and Wimmer, A (2018) Repression and refuge. Journal of Peace Research 55(3), 305319.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Linz, J (2000) Totalitarian and Authoritarian Regimes. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mansfield, E and Snyder, J (1995) Democratization and the danger of war. International Security 20(1), 538.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marshall, M and Jaggers, K (2007) POLITY IV Project. Dataset Users’ Manual.Google Scholar
McKinnon, S and Silverman, S (eds) (2005) Complexities. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Mearsheimer, J (2018) The Great Delusion. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mincheva, L and Gurr, T (2013) Crim-Terror Alliances and the State. New York: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Minder, R (2018) Basque group ETA disbands, after terrorist campaign spanning generations. New York Times, 2 May.Google Scholar
Most, B and Starr, H (1989) Inquiry, Logic, and International Politics. Columbia: University of South Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Mueller, J (2000) The banality of ‘ethnic war’. International Security 25(1), 4270.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mylonas, H and Kuo, K (2018) Nationalism and foreign policy. In Thies, C (ed.), The Oxford Encyclopedia of Foreign Policy Analysis, Vol. II. New York: Oxford University Press, pp. 223242.Google Scholar
Nubin, W (ed.) (2002) Sri Lanka. New York: Nova Science Publishers.Google Scholar
O'Leary, B and Sambanis, N (2018) Nationalism and international security. In Gheciu, A and Wohlforth, W (eds), The Oxford Handbook on International Security. New York: Oxford University Press, pp. 415431.Google Scholar
Piazza, J (2008) A supply-side view of suicide terrorism. Journal of Politics 70(1), 2839.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pluchinsky, D (2015) Ethnic terrorism and insurgencies. In Schnabel, A and Gunaratna, R (eds), Wars From Within. London: Imperial College Press, pp. 3358.Google Scholar
Polo, S (2020) How terrorism spreads. Journal of Conflict Resolution. doi: 10.1177/0022002720930811.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Posen, B (1993) The security dilemma and ethnic conflict. Survival 35(1), 2747.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Post, J (2005) When hatred is bred in the bone. Political Psychology 26(4), 615636.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sambanis, N (2001) Do ethnic and nonethnic civil wars have the same causes? Journal of Conflict Resolution 45(3), 259282.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schmid, B and Schroeder, I (eds) (2001) Anthropology of Violence and Conflict. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Schmitt, C (1976) The Concept of the Political. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press.Google Scholar
Schwartz, S, Dunkel, C and Waterman, A (2009) Terrorism. Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 32(6), 537559.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sekulić, D, Massey, G and Hodson, R (2006) Ethnic intolerance and ethnic conflict in the dissolution of Yugoslavia. Ethnic and Racial Studies 29(5), 797827.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Snyder, J (2000) From Voting to Violence. New York: W.W. Norton.Google Scholar
Spencer, J (1990) Sri Lanka. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Sullivan, J (1988) ETA and BASQUE Nationalism. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Suzman, M (1999) Ethnic Nationalism and State Power. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tajfel, H (1982) Social Identity and Intergroup Relations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Toft, M (2012) Self-determination, secession, and civil war. Terrorism and Political Violence 24(4), 581600.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van de Voorde, C (2005) Sri Lankan terrorism. Policy Practice and Research 6(2), 181199.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van den Berghe, P (1987) The Ethnic Phenomenon. Westport, CT: Greenwood.Google Scholar
Vreeland, J (2008) The effect of political regime on civil war. Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(3), 401425.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wayland, S (2004) Ethnonationalist networks and transnational opportunities. Review of International Studies 30(3), 405426.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weber, B (2010) Rethinking modern ethnic nationalism. L'Europe en Formation 357, 7590.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weiss, G (2011) The Cage: The Fight for Sri Lanka and the Last Days of the Tamil Tigers. New York: Random House.Google Scholar
Wilkinson, P (2011) Terrorism Versus Democracy. New York: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wilkinson, S (2004) Votes and Violence. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wimmer, A, Cederman, L-E and Min, B (2009) Ethnic politics and armed conflict. American Sociological Review 74(2), 316337.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Woodwell, D (2007) Nationalism in International Relations. New York: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Young, J and Dugan, L (2014) Survival of the fittest. Perspectives on Terrorism 8(2), 223.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: Link
Link