The Syrian conflict, now spanning a decade, paralleled with the domestically spreading coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), is threatening the lives of civilians across Syria. The mental health of Syrians has been immensely challenged during the viral pandemic that emerged in this ongoing crisis. Healthcare systems have been pushed to breaking point to deal with the pandemic, with the ever-increasing number of COVID-19-related deaths and confirmed cases across the country leading to public trepidation. This sudden outbreak of a deadly virus is bound to trigger anxiety, depression and other mental health issues among the population. Lack of effective treatment, fears of death and contagion, losing loved ones, social isolation, media misinformation overload, depletion of stocks of personal protection equipment, panic buying and inadequate psychosocial support may all adversely affect the individual's mental health. Worldwide, levels of anxiety symptoms have ranged from 6.3 to 50.9% and depressive symptoms from 17.2 to 53.5% during the COVID-19 pandemic.Reference Salari, Hosseinian-Far, Jalali, Vaisi-Raygani, Rasoulpoor and Mohammadi1
The prolonged conflict in Syria has exposed civilians to grave human rights violations, including killing, maiming, sexual assault, torture, and displacement, where 89% of the population are living in extreme poverty.Reference Hedar2 Infrastructures, including hospitals, schools and public services, are being systematically decimated. For instance, the Syrian Ministry of Health provides treatment for mental illness and substance misuse in three hospitals: Ibn Sina Hospital (rural Damascus), Ibn Rushd Hospital (Damascus) and Ibn Khaldoun Hospital (Aleppo); the last was bombarded on 25 December 2012.Reference Abou-Saleh and Mobayed3 One million Syrians are estimated to suffer from severe psychiatric disorders, with only 80 psychiatrists working in Syrian territories (1 per 100 000 population) in 2018.Reference Hedar2,Reference Abou-Saleh and Mobayed3 Assuming that psychiatrists work 5 days/week for 52 weeks/year, and that each doctor can follow up on 15 patients/day and that they do not follow up on each patient >3 times/year, the total number of patients that the 80 psychiatrists can follow up on annually is 104 000; that leaves 90% of patients unattended, untreated and unmanaged. The combination of the above is set to overwhelm health services.Reference Abou-Saleh and Mobayed3
Currently, there are no published studies on the simultaneous impact of war and pandemics; however, a recent systematic review on the mental health of Syrian refugees and Syrians revealed that depression ranged from 11 to 49% and anxiety from 49 to 55%.Reference Hendrickx, Woodward, Fuhr, Sondorp and Roberts4 A recently published study showed alarming numbers, where 60% of the Syrian population are suffering from symptoms consistent with moderate to severe mental disorder.Reference Kakaje, Al Zohbi, Aldeen, Makki, Alyousbashi and Alhaffar5 We describe here the first study that aimed to provide an estimated prevalence of depressive and anxiety symptoms among Syrians during the civil war and COVID-19 pandemic. The objective was to identify potential factors associated with depressive and anxiety symptoms.
Method
This web-based cross-sectional study was conducted in May 2020. All participants aged 18 and above, residing in Syria, who completed the survey were included in the study. The questionnaire was distributed through various social media platforms. The Arabic versions of the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) and the 7-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7) scale were used to evaluate the symptoms of depression and anxiety respectively.Reference Sawaya, Atoui, Hamadeh, Zeinoun and Nahas6 The PHQ-9 and GAD-7 cut-off scores were both 0–4.Reference Kocalevent, Hinz and Brähler7,Reference Löwe, Decker, Müller, Brähler, Schellberg and Herzog8 The study was ethically approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Faculty of Medicine, Syrian Private University. The survey is shown in supplementary Appendix 1, available at https://dx.doi.org/10.1192/bji.2021.16. All participants provided written informed consent to participate in the study. Data analysis was conducted using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences version 25.0 for Windows. The chi-squared test was applied to describe the relationship between sociodemographic variables and the severity of anxiety and depression. Binary logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine the significant predictors of depressive and anxiety symptoms using the sociodemographic variables as the independent variables.
Results
Of the 5000 total participants invited to take part in the study, the final sample was 3989 participants (a response rate of 79.8%). Sociodemographic characteristics are displayed in Table 1.
The prevalence of depressive and anxiety symptoms among participants was 3326 (83.4%) and 2777 (69.6%) respectively. Depression severity: none, 663 (16.6%); mild, 1150 (28.8%); moderate, 1006 (25.2%); moderately severe, 684 (17.2%); and severe, 486 (12.2%). Anxiety severity: none, 1212 (30.4%); mild, 1293 (32.4%); moderate, 805 (20.2%); and severe 679 (17.0%).
Depression scores were significantly higher among participants who were single (P < 0.0001), had college/university level education (P < 0.0001), were students by occupation (P < 0.0001), lived with 1–5 household members (P < 0.0001), had a history of chronic disease(s) (P < 0.0001) and were of good economic status (P < 0.0001). Anxiety scores were significantly higher among those with college/university level education (P < 0.0001), were students by occupation (P < 0.0001), lived with 1–5 household members (P = 0.014), had a history of chronic disease(s) (P < 0.0001) and were of good economic status (P < 0.0001) (supplementary Appendix 2).
Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the following factors were significantly associated with depressive and anxiety symptoms: female gender; age 18–25 years; occupation in private, business and other sectors, as well as students; poor, moderate and good economic status; and having chronic disease(s), (Table 2).
Discussion
The prevalence of depressive 3326 (83.4%) and anxiety 2777 (69.6%) symptoms among Syrians was significantly higher compared with the prevalence of anxiety in 17 studies (31.9%) and the prevalence of depression in 14 studies (33.7%).Reference Salari, Hosseinian-Far, Jalali, Vaisi-Raygani, Rasoulpoor and Mohammadi1 The high prevalence of depressive and anxiety symptoms found in our study surpasses World Health Organization prevalence estimations (of 3.9% and 4.3% respectively).9 A potential explanation for this disparity is that exposure to multiple stressors, including war and pandemic, may have triggered mental disorders among Syrians.
Literature has revealed that Syria's lack of mental healthcare services provided by psychologists and psychiatrists results in limited access to mental healthcare for many distressed individuals. Scarcity of online and social media support in the form of publications, resources, posts, guidelines, videos and online group chats is likely to exacerbate the problem.Reference Hedar2,Reference Abou-Saleh and Mobayed3 Such support can alleviate mental health problems caused by risk factors such as exposure to COVID-19.
All participants presenting with mild (1150; 28.8%) and moderate (1006; 25.2%) depression and mild (1293; 32.4%) and moderate (805; 20.2%) anxiety require clinical assessment for symptom duration and functional disability to determine the necessity of treatment. As over half the population (54% for depression and 52.6% for anxiety) requires a scheduled clinical assessment, with a total population of 18 284 423, this means that over 9 million people require mental health services. The lack of psychiatrists, hospitals, medical capacity and clinics projects ominous outcomes for Syrians’ mental health.
Participants with moderately severe (684; 17.2%) and severe (486; 12.2%) depression and severe (679; 17.0%) anxiety may require further assessment and active treatment with psychotherapy and/or medications. In 2005, the health expenditure per capita in Syria was US$58, which is extremely low in comparison with the UK (US$2900).Reference Assalman, Alkhalil and Curtice10 As the country is drowning in debts from the effects of the rampant war, the health expenditure per capita is likely to be significantly lower in the coming years. In 2013, the World Federation for Mental Health (WFMH) declared a call for action on the mental health consequences of the manifold emergency in Syria. One of WFMH's concerns is the neglect of trauma created by the violence and disruption.
Multivariable logistic regression analyses found strong associations with depressive and anxiety symptoms for: female gender; the 18–25 age group; careers in private, business and ‘other’ sectors, as well as students; poor, moderate and good economic status; and having chronic disease(s). This last may be attributed to the higher incidence of depression and anxiety among chronically ill people than others.Reference Gerontoukou, Michaelidoy, Rekleiti, Saridi and Souliotis11 The COVID-19 pandemic is likely to add to the problem, given that people with chronic disease(s) are at increased risk of COVID-19 infection, which can be more severe, with increased rates of complications and mortality.Reference Zhou, Yu, Du, Fan, Liu and Liu12 The findings regarding young adults may be related to the fact that this age group, who were children when this war started, have grown up witnessing destruction and displacement and grave violations of children's rights – abductions, rape, killing and maiming continue unabated. Approximately 6 million Syrian children have been born since the crisis began, growing up knowing nothing but war, terror and displacement.13 Prolonged lockdowns that have harmed society, left many people unemployed, schools and universities closed and resulted in hyperinflation could explain the spread of mental disorders among younger generations. The findings related to females reflect the literature, which reports an increased prevalence of depression in women associated in part with female sex hormones and with factors such as life circumstances and culture.Reference Albert14 Also, this conflict has rendered Syrian women and girls particularly vulnerable to physical, sexual, economic and psychological violence.Reference Hedar2
For the estimated high burden of depressive and anxiety symptoms encountered in this study, we must adopt the epidemiological modelling outputs for targeted mental health planning to calculate the required resources needed to guide optimal mental health service delivery.Reference Charlson, Lee, Diminic and Whiteford15
Limitations
Our findings may not generalise to the general population, as well-educated Syrians of good socioeconomic status are over-represented in the sample. Elderly Syrians who were underrepresented in this study, which may be due to limited access to the internet are more likely to exhibit symptoms associated with depression and anxiety, as the elderly have a higher prevalence of chronic diseases.Reference Gerontoukou, Michaelidoy, Rekleiti, Saridi and Souliotis11 Self-reporting has certain limitations compared with structured interviews. The cross-sectional design of the study does not allow inferences to be drawn about causality.
Supplementary material
Supplementary material is available online at https://doi.org/10.1192/bji.2021.16.
Data availability
All data related to this paper's conclusions are available and stored by the authors. All data are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Acknowledgements
We are thankful to the management of the Syrian Private University for support in the field of medical training and research. We thank everyone who participated in this study.
Author contributions
F.M. and B.B. conceptualised the study, participated in the design, wrote the study protocol, performed the statistical analysis, did a literature search and drafted the manuscript. S.M. participated in statistical analysis. D.M., S.A. and Y.L. did a literature search and revision of the draft. All authors read and approved the final draft.
Funding
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
Declaration of interest
None.
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