The present society is no solid crystal, but an organism capable of change, and is constantly changing.
Karl MarxFootnote 1Towering before the Francis Crick Institute stands Conrad Shawcross's imposing construction, Paradigm (Figure 1). Unveiled in 2016, the sculpture models American philosopher of science Thomas Kuhn's theory of scientific change propounded in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions.Footnote 2 Paradigm's explanatory plaque tells us that ‘scientific advancement does not progress in a seamless linear fashion, but rather through massive shifts that lead to breakthroughs, which change the course of thought, comprehension and application’.Footnote 3 Kuhn's ‘big-picture’ account of scientific change continues to catch the imagination of prominent scientists – not least that of the Crick's director, Nobel laureate Paul Nurse, who proclaimed that the sculpture reminds scientists that new advances ‘often occur when we are able to look at things from a different perspective’.Footnote 4
Figure 1. Paradigm, in front of the Francis Crick Institute, London. Copyright Fiona Hanson, the Francis Crick Institute (2016).
Despite its continued invocation by scientists, Kuhn's theory has long since become unpopular with historians of science. As Mario Biagioli put it in 2012, ‘Structure no longer frames the research agenda’.Footnote 5 Over the past four decades, and not without good reason, historians of science have moved away from a focus on radical conjunctural transformations, and, in their place, attend to continuity and piecemeal changes.Footnote 6 This shift is perhaps best captured by the provocative opening line of Steven Shapin's The Scientific Revolution (1996): ‘There was no such thing as the Scientific Revolution, and this is a book about it.’Footnote 7 This decentring of intellectual rupture has paid huge dividends, particularly in moving away from the idealist, teleological and Euro-exceptionalist histories of Herbert Butterfield and Alexandre Koyré.Footnote 8 However, our concern is that this shift has been accompanied by an ungrounded dismissal of crises more broadly from ‘big-picture’ narratives in the history of science.
It appears timely to us to write this article now, amidst what Adam Tooze calls the era of the ‘polycrisis’.Footnote 9 Repeated market crashes, wars, pandemics and the increasingly realized threats of climate devastation are returning attention to rupture and rapid transformation.Footnote 10 We have seen the vast mobilization of resources for the development of vaccines to contain COVID-19, in a remarkably short time frame.Footnote 11 By contrast, governments across the world remain criminally slow in taking sustained action towards preventing environmental collapse, engendering grass-roots movements for climate justice, whose demands typically entangle knowledge making, a sense of urgency and calls to action: ‘tell the truth’, ‘act now’, ‘decide together’ and ‘follow the science’.Footnote 12 Our current predicament thus urges renewed examination of the role of material crises in the organization of scientific knowledge.Footnote 13 That said, Reinhart Koselleck's theory, on which we draw, characterizes crisis as ‘a structural signature of modernity’ – and perhaps, in this respect, our own appropriation of the categories of high modernity reveals the challenges of transcending a presentist perspective.Footnote 14
As we argue, beyond entailing potential breakdowns or reinforcements of social orders, crises are marked by sudden shifts in tempo. As Koselleck expounds, crises are moments that require subjects to make quick decisions between starkly different futures, based on past experiences, and thus entail a complex intermingling of temporalities.Footnote 15 Such intense moments, which demand critique, judgement and decision making, are by definition political.Footnote 16 Crises offer actors with particular interests, be they reactionary or revolutionary, an opportunity to change their participation within a polity on an accelerated timescale.
It is important to note, however, that social change is by no means a necessary outcome of crises. Indeed, as Joseph Masco warns, crises can function as ‘a counterrevolutionary idiom’, allowing powerholders to stabilize and naturalize an existing status quo rather than ‘reenergizing a collective imaginary that can engage alternative modes of living’.Footnote 17 Similarly, Janet Roitman shows that the declaration of particular moments as crises can serve to foreclose possibilities – something with substantial consequences for knowledge production.Footnote 18 Thus, as Masco concludes, ‘crisis talk without the commitment to revolution becomes counterrevolutionary’.Footnote 19 However, whether a crisis results in a radical or conservative reorganization of social order, such accelerated moments of activity have the potential to bring about sudden transformations in regimes of knowledge production.
By returning attention to crisis, we by no means wish to rehabilitate Butterfieldian narratives of scientific revolutions, which presuppose a Eurocentric genealogy of ‘Science’ and afford intellectual transformations explanatory priority over their social-historical conditions. Nor do we seek to rehabilitate the teleological historiographies of science typical of early twentieth-century Marxists such as Boris Hessen. Hessen contended that ‘[t]he progressive development of productive forces gave rise to progressive science’, and that the transition between dominant modes of production was ‘historically inevitable’.Footnote 20 Conversely, while maintaining that social crises and radical conjunctural changes in knowledge production do happen, we emphasize that they are neither inevitable, isotropic, perfectly predictable, nor unidirectional.
As analysts, we neither celebrate nor make a priori value judgements about the cultures of knowledge engendered by crises.Footnote 21 Writing at a time when, as Naomi Klein cautions, neoliberalism propagates itself through the exploitation and reproduction of crises, we are compelled to stress that the new knowledges emerging from such junctures need not be ‘better’ than their antecedents.Footnote 22 Rather, and as far as we are concerned, they are simply different, due to the diverse material conditions, interests and paces of activity of their producers. Indeed, as we later recount, ventriloquizing Harun Küçük, the academic precarity borne of material crises in seventeenth-century Istanbul produced a new ‘unphilosophical’ practical naturalism, pervaded by ‘intellectual mediocrity’, which replaced far richer, theory-heavy Islamic traditions of natural philosophy.Footnote 23 Our focus on changes in cultures of knowledge brought about by crises thus resonates with Lorraine Daston's observation of our discipline's metamorphosis into the history of knowledge, which ‘allows historians to follow practices wherever they may lead, however remote these may be from anything resembling latter-day science’.Footnote 24 Welcoming this shift, we suggest that attention to material crises can enrich and complement current continuity-oriented big pictures of the history of science.
A basic insight for our analysis is that scientists who find themselves in critical situations (be it as a direct result of their own performances, or through interactions with so-called ‘external’ actors) will be motivated to behave in different and perhaps surprising ways, at least compared with the conditions of so-called ‘normal’ research. When human actors or machines behave in dramatically unexpected ways, the pace of scientists’ activity typically changes, and similarly dramatically. For instance, when a nuclear reactor shows signs of a meltdown, actors in an extended technoscientific network must make quicker-than-usual decisions about how to respond, in the interests of damage control.Footnote 25 When fascists seize power in a nation's government, those scientists who are at risk of persecution must decide whether to suspend their activity altogether and seek asylum elsewhere.Footnote 26 Such events engender unexpected but patterned changes in scientists’ activity, and radically alter the pace of their interactions, in some cases interrupting them altogether. Thus the cornerstone of our analysis is the temporal dimension of scientific activity, of tempo.
In the next section, we offer a historiographical overview of crisis in the history of science, contextualizing our intervention. Subsequently, we outline our theoretical account of crisis, understood as shifts in social tempo, which are co-produced with temporally emergent processes of realization. Finally, we offer three episodes of crisis to illustrate our theory: the collapse of the Ming dynasty in China, academic precarity in seventeenth-century Istanbul and the 1960 Sharpeville massacre in South Africa.
Crisis in historiographies of science
Unlike today, crisis once occupied a central place in the historiography of the sciences.Footnote 27 For substantial spells of the twentieth century, Marxist, liberal and conservative historians of science alike deployed crisis (typically alongside ‘revolution’) as a tool with which to study scientific change, albeit in dissimilar ways.Footnote 28 On the eve of the Second World War, the Irish communist crystallographer J.D. Bernal prophetically observed that ‘the greatest changes in theory and general outlook’ in the sciences in the past three centuries arose with ‘the Great War, the Russian revolution, the economic crisis, the rise of Fascism, and the preparation for newer and more terrible wars’.Footnote 29 Despite this, Bernal never developed a fleshed-out theory of scientific change based on crisis.Footnote 30 Nevertheless, throughout his career he continued to make broad-brush and equivocal claims about the role of crises in engendering new, ‘revolutionary’ sciences.Footnote 31 In Science in History (1952), noting that the ‘progress of science has been anything but uniform in time and place’, Bernal identified four key instances of ‘rapid advance’: the sixteenth-century Italian Renaissance, the seventeenth-century Western European ‘scientific revolution’, the British industrial and French political revolutions, and the many global crises of the mid-twentieth century.Footnote 32 He suggested that ‘each of these great periods of science corresponds to one of social and economic change’.Footnote 33 Bernal's instinctive, undertheorized association of crises with transformations in the sciences speaks to the uncontroversial importance attributed to such critical moments by early to mid-twentieth-century Marxist historians of science.
A more robust, though far briefer and underappreciated, account of the connection between crises and the sciences was elaborated in 1939 by the Scottish Jewish Marxist mathematician Hyman Levy.Footnote 34 In his introduction to the British communist Christopher Caudwell's posthumously published The Crisis in Physics, Levy propounded a materialist, social-constructionist theory of scientific change.Footnote 35 He argued that ‘images and concepts of fundamentally social origin represent an aspect of the prevailing ideology. Its form depends on the socio-economic structure’.Footnote 36 Levy suggested that as
economic instability sets in, the ideology of that social phase moves from unconscious acceptance to conscious criticism. Just as soon as the categories of social life begin themselves to shift, as in the present, so also, therefore, will a movement of a similar nature be reflected within the inner structure of theoretical science.Footnote 37
Levy prefigured Koselleck's association of objective crisis with subjective critique, realizing that such moments urged actors to make choices and exercise judgement, leading to new ways of organizing knowledge across the sciences. As he summarized, ‘A deep-seated social crisis involves in its turn a corresponding unsettlement in every developed branch of science.’Footnote 38 Levy's theorization re-presented classical Marxist accounts of crisis and their impact on reconfigurations of social order to explain change in the sciences. His account echoed Marx's observation in The Class Struggles in France that ‘[a] new revolution is only a consequence of a new crisis’.Footnote 39 Thus, much as Engels viewed crises as moments that catalyse ‘mankind's leap from the realm of necessity … to the realm of freedom’, Levy conceptualized crises as times in which ‘new [scientific] outlooks [are] engendered’.Footnote 40
Levy's social theory of scientific change resonated strongly with his own era: the crisis-laden 1930s. Unsurprisingly, he viewed his present as nothing short of an ‘international nightmare’.Footnote 41 More striking, however, is Levy's claim that crisis-oriented accounts of scientific change had ‘at last come to be widely recognized’.Footnote 42 As he elaborated, the ‘mutual conditioning of science and society has become itself an accepted category, but this has not happened until the nature of the relationship is rapidly changing’.Footnote 43 Levy reflexively applied his account to the contemporary social sciences, viewing the global crisis of capitalism (and its spawning of fascisms) as a moment for social theorists to radically rethink their big-picture narratives of scientific change.
The 1930s and 1940s were decades of significant institutional shifts within the emerging discipline of the history of science. For instance, the Cambridge History of Science Committee, established in 1936 and first run by scientists, including Bernal, the Marxist biochemist Joseph Needham and the conservative physician Walter Pagel, was taken over in 1945 by liberal historians helmed by Herbert Butterfield.Footnote 44 The postwar institutional domination of the history of science by trained historians rather than scientists tethered the emergent discipline to the shifting scholarly standards of academic history.Footnote 45 For at least around a decade, professional historians such as Butterfield and his protégé A. Rupert Hall continued to describe scientific change as an intellectual revolution.Footnote 46 However, by the later twentieth century, academic historians came to reject such narratives, shifting their focus towards epistemic continuities, often by examining localized case studies.Footnote 47
In the mid-twentieth century, anglophone historians continued to treat crises as valuable resources with which to study social – and occasionally scientific – change.Footnote 48 Most famously, the Marxist scholar Eric Hobsbawm wrote about the role played by various crises in transforming world history. In 1954, he argued that the European economy experienced a ‘general crisis’ in the seventeenth century, which ‘resulted in a considerable concentration of economic power’ – a necessary precondition ‘to make industrial revolution possible’.Footnote 49 Hobsbawm's bold argument attracted engagement from across the political spectrum in Britain, with the conservative historian Hugh Trevor-Roper asserting that the ‘general crisis’ had been spurred by collapsing social and political norms and values rather than by economic transformation.Footnote 50 The following decade, Hobsbawm published his best-selling The Age of Revolution (1962). The work examined how the ‘dual revolution’ (the French Revolution and the British Industrial Revolution) ushered in bourgeois–liberal capitalism and, with it, modern terms and concepts, including ‘scientist’, ‘engineer’, ‘(economic) crisis’, ‘statistics’ and ‘sociology’.Footnote 51 Hobsbawm maintained – despite his disclaimer that ‘the world of thought is to some extent autonomous’ – that changes in the natural and social sciences between 1789 and 1848 ‘reflected the impact of the dual revolution, which left no aspect of human life unchanged’.Footnote 52 Thus Hobsbawm's big-picture narrative of the emergence of the modern world and (albeit more peripherally) the modern sciences revolved largely around material crises and social revolutions. His work and its far-reaching influence underline the striking extent to which crisis was viewed as a legitimate and, indeed, valuable tool for historians in the mid-twentieth century.
In the same year as the appearance of Hobsbawm's book, Kuhn published Structure. Like his Marxist contemporaries, Kuhn viewed crisis as a key feature of scientific revolutions that led to paradigm shifts.Footnote 53 Unlike them, however, Kuhn privileged intellectual crises in his analysis. He contended that scientific crises arose from successive failures of dominant paradigms to offer the (intellectual) resources necessary to solve puzzles endogenous to research programmes.Footnote 54 Structure has been credited with opening the door to the sociology of scientific knowledge by focusing attention on the role of scientific communities in the assessment of epistemic claims.Footnote 55 Astonished by sociologists’ embrace of his study, Kuhn maintained that he ‘thought of [Structure] as exclusively internalist’, and that ‘considerations of the social setting of science had … no place’ in the book.Footnote 56 Nevertheless, the key element of Kuhn's work that vanished from its subsequent reinterpretations was its emphasis on crises and revolutionary paradigm shifts in transforming the sciences.
In the 1980s, the history of science largely discarded crisis and revolution from its big picture. The decade saw the consolidation of historical sociology informed by the sociology of scientific knowledge, best represented by Steven Shapin and Simon Schaffer's Leviathan and the Air-Pump (1985).Footnote 57 As a methodological approach, historical sociology rejected the essentialism of earlier historiographies concerned with the epochal categories of ‘modernity’ or ‘the Scientific Revolution’, pointing instead to the all-important place of contestation and heterogeneity as features of science-in-the-making.Footnote 58 Drawing on histories from below, the new historiography crucially replaced inertial social models, which supposed that ‘normality’ need not be sociologically explained, revealing the constant struggle required to maintain a social and epistemic status quo.Footnote 59 Another aspect of historical sociology that borrowed heavily from British social history (as well as Italian microstoria) was its focus on small-scale, localized sites of knowledge production.Footnote 60 Given that crises have often been associated with necessarily large-scale events and transitions between categorically distinct epochs, rather than with changes in tempo (as we characterize them), the so-called ‘social turn’ in the history of science moved the discipline further still from crisis.Footnote 61
As this sketch illustrates, the concept of crisis has fallen out of favour among historians of science, and not without good reason, given its associations with idealist, teleological or epochal accounts of scientific change. However, we contend that crisis can be shorn from these intellectualist associations and rehabilitated into accounts of the history of science that focus on social orders and practices. We can do so by attending to the mechanisms by which crises in social order are co-produced with transformations in cultures of knowledge. We thus ask ourselves: what happens in the sciences when the social orders in which knowledge production is arranged are thrown into crisis? And how do changes in the sciences in turn affect the realization of crises within social orders? To answer these questions, we must develop a firmer sense of what is meant by a crisis in social order.
Tempo and realization
In our analysis, crisis is reducible neither to the presence of a worldly danger (an invading army, a natural disaster, an exploding machine), nor to the psychological experience of panic in the face of a perceived threat. Rather, crises are contingent features of social orders as such, whose members realize themselves to be in a situation that demands urgent action. We use the term ‘realize’ deliberately, to connote the sense both of recognition or making aware, and of actualization or making real in a constructivist sense. Thus we conceive of crises as necessarily perspective-dependent constructions. Events realized as crises by one group of actors (and their responses) need not be treated as such by others. Importantly, whether or not actors realize themselves to be in a crisis does not change the fact that knowledge production is always characterized by processes of contestation. Rather, realization shifts the pace (and, perhaps, the perceived stakes) of contestation.
Crisis emerges in real time through a group's patterned response to perceived threats, via a distinct form of ‘social consciousness’.Footnote 62 Crises must be made, through temporally extensive processes of recognition and communication among and between actors. At the same time, a threat might be present without immediate realization by the actors to whom it poses a danger, who will not at first respond to it as a crisis. Thus we can make sense of some climate activists’ calls for apparent powerholders to, as a matter of priority, recognize and publicly declare that we are in a crisis.Footnote 63 Their demand is for powerholders to realize the crisis, in the hopes that they will be compelled to act.
However, as an emergent feature of social consciousness, a crisis is not to be understood as ‘merely ideational’ or ‘merely discursive’. Crisis consciousness is materially manifested in patterned changes in the behaviours of the actors who realize that they are in a critical situation. We can describe these changes as dramatic shifts in tempo; in realizing the crisis situation, some actor behaviours are accelerated, while others are decelerated. The size and direction of tempo changes are dependent on the heterogeneous particulars of the situation: in realizing the threat of an incoming military invasion, some – though not all – actors with the means to do so will quickly flee (those without such means may respond otherwise and with similar urgency). At the same time, those leading the military invasion may deploy crisis talk to reflect or reinforce an existing social order, characterizing their devastating actions as a necessary ‘state of exception’ required to bring back a ‘natural’ or ‘normal’ state of affairs.Footnote 64 In realizing the threat of an infectious disease transmitted by commonly circulated commodities, those threatened (whether directly or indirectly) will also typically work to minimize that circulation – reducing its tempo.
One kind of tempo change appears more ubiquitous across different crises, namely that of accelerated decision making. As Koselleck explains, the modern concept of crisis is genealogically linked to ‘critique’, ‘prognosis’ and ‘judgement’, emphasizing that crises are moments that demand decisions between starkly different alternatives.Footnote 65 The choices forced upon people during crises compel them to question their underlying assumptions about their situation, opening certain possibilities (but by no means necessities), while foreclosing others, for the generation of new knowledge and, accompanying that, new social formations.Footnote 66 Thus Koselleck identifies a generative relationship between ‘subjective critique’ and ‘objective crisis’.Footnote 67 Complicating conceptions of crisis as moments of breakdown or reinforcement in social and/or intellectual order, he proposes that such moments entail a mixing of temporalities, transforming subjects’ conceptions of the relationships between past, present and future. This mangling of actors’ senses of time and pace accompanies the patterned shifts in tempo of actor behaviour that we take to constitute crises.
Shifting public consciousness and collective attributions of the climate crisis have altered many peoples’ views about the relationships between their present situation, its origins in the emergence of fossil capitalism, and the prospects for future stability.Footnote 68 The ‘slow violence’ of the climate crisis (which sometimes appears as a sudden violence, especially to the world's dispossessed) motivates those affected to reckon with non-linear changes of pace in their relationships with their cosmoses.Footnote 69 In fact, the climate crisis is perhaps the most salient among familiar examples for illustrating one of the conclusions of this paper – that crises in social order are dialectically entangled with reorganizations of knowledge production.Footnote 70 Almost all climate scientists and activists attribute the causal origins of the crisis to the industrial capture of various technoscientific practices from the late eighteenth century onwards.Footnote 71 Fossil-fuel extraction, refinement, conversion and waste disposal technologies are perhaps most salient among the causal contributors to anthropogenic climate change. Thus historic developments in technoscience are understood as one of the causes of the crisis (or, in our analysis, a cause of the dangers realized as such in a crisis). Moreover, contemporary climate scientists have themselves often played a central role in processes of the realization of the climate crisis, in two related ways. First, they have been among the principal investigators of climate change, its causal history, and its past, present, and future effects, and they realize the crisis (for themselves) through their scientific activity. Second, climate scientists have often taken the role of public communicators on climate change; their assertions are taken by many as reliable and authoritative descriptions of the crisis character of their current situation. And, even further, in responses to widespread realization of the climate crisis, contemporary scientists and engineers have developed new energy and carbon-capture technologies, which are being taken up by (some) institutions as part of strategies in crisis management. Thus at every stage the climate crisis reveals the mangling of technoscience and social orders.Footnote 72
The COVID-19 pandemic has similarly highlighted the inseparability of technoscience from society and the temporal character of crises. In an extraordinarily short period of time, threatened by a ‘natural’ foe, governments across the world pulled the brakes on the circulation of people and capital, and redirected previously unthinkably vast resources towards vaccine research.Footnote 73 Despite the pandemic's unquestionably disruptive nature, many scientists viewed it as an opportunity – particularly with ‘supercharged’ funding for mRNA technologies – to establish a new ‘paradigm of what is possible in vaccine development’.Footnote 74 Such a paradigm, they suggested, could have ramifications for the prevention and treatment of, inter alia, malaria, ebola, zika and several cancers.
With the pandemic came acute breakdowns and restructurings of social networks, as well as sudden shifts in the tempo of socialization.Footnote 75 Those privileged enough not to be seen as expendable by their governments and employers were confined to the relative safety of their homes, disrupting the normal rhythms of social interaction and, accompanying it, the production of knowledge. Academic conferences – enculturation events for scientific practitioners – ceased to take place in person and were replaced by virtual meetings with strikingly different norms of sociability and, accordingly, stark consequences for scientific knowledge production.Footnote 76 As Harry Collins, Willow Leonard-Clarke and Will Mason-Wilkes explain, ‘communication among natural scientists serves the purpose of socializing new scientists into domains characterized by bodies of tacit knowledge and taken-for-granted procedures … [whereby] assumptions are transferred and maintained through personal interaction.’Footnote 77 While, as Collins, Leonard-Clark and Mason-Wilkes have shown, the suspension of such rituals risks having ‘damaging consequences … for the very nature of science’, the emergence of remote conferences (overly optimistically) promised an increase in accessibility, helping to bring marginalized scientists into closer dialogue with their peers.Footnote 78 Similar such thoughts, with perhaps more profound and far-reaching implications, can be developed with regard to the training of future scientists in systems of general and technical education. Schools and universities underwent dramatic changes in practice and procedure, altering several generations of pupils’ and students’ experiences of teaching and learning.Footnote 79 While the ramifications of these changes are as yet unclear, future generations of scientists might well have different attitudes and approaches to online environments given their presences in formative stages of their training.
The cases of climate and COVID-19 both show that some social formations can, by a multiplicity of mechanisms, generate resistance to the realization of crises. While we do not have space to explore these mechanisms here, we note the wealth of literature by STS scholars on the manufacture of doubt regarding climate change and vaccine efficacy.Footnote 80 Further, the legislative and political architecture of many economies made it procedurally difficult for many governments to arrive at consensus about the scale and depth of the COVID-19 pandemic. By contrast, state governments in other (typically mixed) economies exhibited a greater capacity to quickly reorganize circulation of people, labour and capital.Footnote 81 Processes of realization are accelerated or slowed depending on other features of the concrete social orders in which they take place. This is another sense in which tempo is a central problematic for our analysis of crises.
Reassembling the big picture
Both in readily appreciated cases and in those that have required sophisticated archival and hermeneutic investigation, we can correlate (if not necessarily causally connect) familiar, critical historical moments with less familiar technoscientific transformations. For example, as Jenny Bulstrode has meticulously demonstrated, enslaved black metallurgists in eighteenth-century Jamaica developed new techniques to transform pig and scrap iron into valuable bar iron – processes that lay at the heart of the Industrial Revolution – for their own distinct purposes rooted in the new articulations of their African heritages and experiences in the diaspora.Footnote 82 The war-torn years of Napoleon Bonaparte's regime in France (1799–1815) have been characterized as ‘the most glorious in the whole of French science’, staging the meteoric rise of Laplacian physics.Footnote 83 A ‘crisis of culture and science’ in the chronically politically perturbed Weimar Republic, instead, has been famously, albeit controversially, linked to the advent of acausal philosophies and acceptance of quantum mechanics.Footnote 84 The rise of National Socialism in Germany and Hitler's purge of ‘non-Aryans’ from university positions in April 1933 spurred the mass exodus of Jewish scientists, many of whom – among others Leo Szilard, Otto Frisch, Rudolf Peierls, Hans Bethe – joined the Manhattan Project.Footnote 85 The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 generated a large emigration of IT specialists who helped create new networks of programmers in the US, transforming digital cultures both in the West and in post-Soviet states.Footnote 86 These, among countless other cases, suggest a spatiotemporal correlation between scientific transformations and material crises experienced by knowledge makers. That said, we ought to remember that supposedly ‘stable’ polities such as the Hellenistic world, the Abbasid Caliphate and the so-called ‘Sanskrit Cosmopolis’ were exceedingly fertile contexts for knowledge production too.Footnote 87 Thus we do not wish to claim that periods of stability and continuity (as perceived by actors) did not give rise to substantial knowledge production. Rather, complementing rather than contesting continuity-oriented histories of the sciences, we maintain that the increased tempo of social activity among actors realizing a state of crisis can (but does not always) engender sudden shifts in cultures of knowledge.
Crises need not be ‘huge’, nor of any predefined scale. And, of course, they need not be in Europe, nor in any predefined part of the world. Crises can happen anywhere, at any time, and can operate on any scale, within any polity (although they appear to be realized especially often in imperial contexts, probably due to the shock mechanisms on which imperial governance often relies).Footnote 88 Thus, as long as they are socially realized episodes that engender rapid shifts in tempo and breakdowns or reinforcements in social order, critical events lend themselves to microhistorical analysis just as readily as to macroscopic examination. In the case studies that follow, we explore the ways in which three crises (the first two of which have been linked by historians) generated new, unexpected shifts in cultures of knowledge.Footnote 89 These examples vary in scale, chronology and geopolitical setting. Methodologically, they lend themselves well to the methods of global microhistory, which relate situated, localized examinations of events to far larger-scale patterns of social and scientific change.Footnote 90 One reason why these episodes appear especially fruitful for microhistorical examination is that crises (particularly in imperial contexts) often require actors to jump across scales, following the spatial configuration of empires. Reciprocally, the methods of global microhistory tend to mirror such leaps in scale, following their actors’ distinctive trajectories across social and geographical boundaries.Footnote 91
Let us begin with the collapse of the Ming dynasty, itself a constituent element of what analysts (not actors) have called the ‘global crisis of the seventeenth century’. As Geoffrey Parker explains, social unrest across the world in the seventeenth century coincided with the Little Ice Age, which may, in turn, have been connected to the reforestation that followed the European genocide of Indigenous Americans.Footnote 92 This same historical period has long also been characterized as one of ‘revolutionary’ scientific transformations.Footnote 93 The latter decades of the Ming dynasty (1368–1644) were plagued by interconnected cosmological, political, public-health, sustenance and climatic crises.Footnote 94 As a Shanghai local gazetteer noted in 1641, the empire was afflicted: ‘Massive droughts. Locusts. The price of millet soared. The corpses of the starved lay in the streets.’Footnote 95 Confucian scholar–officials had an actor category to describe such events: tianzai (calamities from Heaven). According to imperial state ideology, a dynasty's tianming (mandate) to rule tianxia (all under Heaven) came from Heaven itself, which manifested its approval or discontent with the actions of a regime through the cosmos.Footnote 96 If displeased, Heaven could revoke an emperor's mandate by causing tianzai such as floods, droughts, diseases or astronomical anomalies. Thus the fate of political regimes was intimately imbricated with regimes of natural knowledge.Footnote 97 Anomalies in the official calendar issued by the Qintianjian (Imperial Astronomical Bureau), such as incorrectly predicted solar eclipses, were particularly damning indictments of the incumbent dynasty.Footnote 98 In 1612, 1614 and 1615, for example, the Jurchen khan Nurhaci – then engaged in warfare against the Ming – claimed that bright lights in the sky indicated that Heaven was abandoning the Ming.Footnote 99 The agglomeration of tianzai was taken by the Ming's subjects and enemies alike to mark a juncture of radical cosmo-political change – change that took hold across knowledge production too.
The decades either side of the fall of the Ming in 1644 reshaped knowledge making in different ways for actors embedded in diverse settings.Footnote 100 The Qing dynasty (1644–1912), established by the Manchu ethnic minority, rapidly expanded China's imperial borders, absorbing new climes, peoples, flora and fauna into tianxia.Footnote 101 Carla Nappi has shown that Chinese naturalists ‘struggled to cope with a pharmacy's worth of new and unfamiliar substances, texts, and terms, as plants, animals, and the drugs made from them traveled into China across land and sea’, leading to the transformation (but not abandonment) of the older, dominant bencao (pharmacopoeia) genre.Footnote 102 As He Bian recently explained, ‘the convulsions of war and conquest [left] a clear mark on the diverse corpus of bencao compiled during the seventeenth century’.Footnote 103 While there are many actors whose trajectories we could follow, we will focus on the activities of the high-ranking scholar–official and Christian convert Xu Guangqi (1562–1633).
Xu, who experienced an astonishing 160 floods, sixty-eight droughts, twenty earthquakes, fifty-seven famines and twenty-six epidemics, realized that he was living through a severe crisis and spent much of his career producing knowledge aimed at returning harmony to the sancai (Three Realms) of Heaven, Earth and Man.Footnote 104 Having joined the prestigious Hanlin Academy in Beijing in 1604 after taking his palace degree, Xu initially studied ‘Western Ocean’ geometry, translating the first six chapters of Euclid's Elements into Chinese.Footnote 105 Following a solar eclipse on 15 December 1610 that had been incorrectly predicted by the Qintianjian, Xu – put forward by the Ministry of Rites – began working with foreign Jesuit missionaries on a new calendar, seeking to supplement the Chinese Datong li (Grand Concordance System of Calendrical Astronomy) with European astronomical data.Footnote 106 Although a succession of Ming emperors failed to realize the cosmo-political crisis and adopt the new calendar until just a year before the dynasty collapsed, the new Sino-Jesuit calendar was rapidly appropriated by the Manchu regent Dorgon of the Qing dynasty, restoring cosmo-political order among the sancai.Footnote 107
Xu, whose knowledge-making activities extended far beyond mathematics and astronomy, was also deeply concerned with agriculture, particularly as the Ming army was engaged in warfare in the arid north, far from a steady supply of grain. Unlike the mythical golden past in which, Xu purported, there had been ‘plenty to eat and to wear, good implements and much wealth’, he realized his present as a sustenance crisis.Footnote 108 As he judged, ‘the state has failed to establish high-level posts for agriculture, high-level officials have failed to carry out their administrative duties concerning agriculture, local officials have failed to disseminate agricultural knowledge, and peasants have failed to transmit the agricultural calling – the rot started long ago’.Footnote 109 In response to the crisis, Xu undertook rice-growing experiments at his country estates in Longhua and Tianjin (over two thousand kilometres away from one another) in the 1610s to challenge the Chinese agricultural dictum that ‘a plant will only grow well in the region of its origin’.Footnote 110 He composed the mammoth Nongzheng quanshu (Complete Treatise of Agricultural Administration), which – among other things – argued on the basis of his experiments that the state ought to transform the north-western ‘wastelands’ into tuntian (rice-farming colonies) through irrigation projects.Footnote 111 Xu maintained that such a transformation, if implemented quickly enough, could restore social order across the fractured empire and feed Ming soldiers in the north-west.Footnote 112 In realizing a state of crisis, Xu Guangqi critiqued existing cultures of knowledge, spurring novel forms of experimentation that, over the course of the crisis, helped bring about a new epistemic and political order.
Our next sketch describes strikingly different epistemic transformations brought about by an array of material crises in seventeenth-century Istanbul. This case is not centred around cross-cultural clashes, but rather discusses a crisis in which actors with disparate backgrounds and interests all realized themselves to be in a state of crisis. Harun Küçük's picture of seventeenth-century Istanbul is characterized by seemingly ubiquitous job precarity and a rapid tempo of life. As he explains, the city's many fires, plagues, wars, political intrigues and earthquakes in the seventeenth century led to a near-universal ‘subjective sense of urgency – the opposite of leisure’.Footnote 113 Once-elite social positions lost their prestige and job security. For example, during the late seventeenth century the Janissaries, once an elite military order of boys kidnapped from Christian families, grew to over 50,000 members, many of whom were artisans or defectors, leading to a sharp drop in their incomes and social status. Ottoman governance, which had earlier been based on complex theoretical akaid Arabic treatises on Islamic philosophy, now relied on short, Turkish-language ilm-i hal catechisms, which instead privileged ritual practice over philosophical explorations.Footnote 114
Scholarship, education, and medicine in Istanbul underwent similar structural transformations during the same period. Despite the city then being populated by the largest number of scholars in all of Islamdom, it did not give rise to any ‘philosophical’ sciences, but rather proliferated ‘practical naturalisms’ that were closely attuned to material needs. Rather than theoretical astronomy, Istanbulites practised astrology, which could bring about employment as foretellers at court; instead of scholastic medicine, they wrote about tıbb-ı cedid, a new chemical medicine that responded to the city's booming drug trade and new diseases; and in the place of natural philosophy, scholars practised alchemy, which could help identify counterfeit coins.Footnote 115 In other words, to Küçük, science in seventeenth-century Istanbul was science without leisure, driven by practical necessities and a highly precarious job market.
Consider the case of Ibn Sellum (d. 1669), an Aleppo-born medic.Footnote 116 After studying in his home town, Ibn Sellum encountered İbşir Mustafa Paşa, the new governor of Aleppo, and cured him of a battle wound. In 1654, the two men travelled to Istanbul, where İbşir Paşa rapidly rose to grand vizier and Ibn Sellum established himself as a practitioner of tıbb-ı cedid, becoming chief physician to Sultan Mehmed IV (1642–93, r. 1648–87) in August 1656. As chief physician, Ibn Sellum translated many European medical texts, selectively appropriating the elements best suited to Istanbul's fast-paced, disease-afflicted, highly precarious life. He translated Oswald Croll's Basylica Chymica, Johann Jacob Wecker's Antidotarium and Daniel Sennert's De chymicorum and Institutiones medicae, but stripped them of their ‘philosophical’ content, presenting these texts as a treasure trove of chemical recipes with which to confront new crisis-driving diseases.Footnote 117
In his Gayetü’l-Beyan (1664), Ibn Sellum reflected on the way his present's critical conditions were transforming older medical cultures into the new tıbb-ı cedid. As he wrote,
Wonderful drugs and composites have emerged in our times, but not a single member of the ‘ulema [those who know] of the arts’ … has written about them yet. And there are many new diseases, which are different from the ones you will find in the books. There are many recent cures, which you will not find in the established classifications.Footnote 118
Spurred by the joint crises of new diseases and a precarious job market, both of which increased the pace of life, Ibn Sellum reshaped older medical works to address his present circumstances, resulting in a substantial shift in medical cultures of knowledge in late seventeenth-century Istanbul. This episode reminds us that epistemic shifts during times of crisis need not lead to ‘better’ sciences. Rather, they merely engender transformations in cultures of knowledge.
A final vignette provides a salient example of Masco's observation that crises can enforce existing social orders. On 21 March 1960, in the township of Sharpeville in Vereeniging, Johannesburg, the South African police opened fire on a protest organized by the Pan-Africanist Congress of Azania (PAC) against the ‘Pass Laws’, which required all black South Africans above the age of sixteen to carry a ‘passbook’ in whites-only areas.Footnote 119 Shooting unarmed protesters, the police killed at least sixty-nine and injured 180, including many children. The massacre was widely described as a watershed – a moment of realization – in apartheid South Africa, in terms of both the country's international relations and its internal social order, spurring even many white South Africans to ‘rethink “in earnest” the policies that addressed “the Native question”’.Footnote 120 Paul Sauer, the acting prime minister from the ruling National Party, acknowledged the critical nature of the massacre, declaring that ‘the old book of South African history was closed at Sharpeville’.Footnote 121 Nelson Mandela recollected in his autobiography that ‘Sharpeville provoked national turmoil and a government crisis. Outraged protests came in from across the globe, including one from the American State Department’.Footnote 122
The massacre was rapidly recognized both within South Africa and in the wider world (albeit in different ways by actors with different material positionalities) as a crisis, transforming the nation's foreign relations and the internal struggle against apartheid, spawning the African National Congress's (ANC) armed wing, uMkhonto we Sizwe. Because of the country's growing international (diplomatic and scientific) isolation following the massacre, the government redirected funding from fields such as astronomy, palaeontology and sociology to nuclear technology and weapons research.Footnote 123 The shock electoral victory of D.F. Malan's National Party in 1948 reversed much of the previous administration's Commonwealth-oriented liberal internationalism in both science and diplomacy, instead fiercely promoting Afrikaner nationalism. Despite the National Party's clear change in direction, both politically and in terms of state-promoted sciences, South Africa remained a part of the Commonwealth of Nations until its declaration of independence in May 1961, little over a year after Sharpeville. The massacre and its immediate aftermath marked a radical conjuncture in South Africa's sciences, foreclosing rather than opening many scientific possibilities. As William Beinart and Saul Dubow put it, ‘The Sharpeville crisis and growing international condemnation of apartheid created the impetus for autonomous nuclear capability’.Footnote 124
Although research into nuclear physics had been conducted as early as 1922 at the University of Cape Town, and the national Atomic Energy Board was first approved in 1948, it was only after Sharpeville that the state began pursuing ‘survivalist’ techno-nationalist planning by integrating various nuclear programmes into a national, cost-sharing network.Footnote 125 The apartheid government deployed crisis talk to legitimize ever harsher crackdowns against any form of dissent, funding scientific activity imbricated with the exercise of this power. Despite superficial condemnation from the capitalist First World over Sharpeville, the staunchly anti-communist apartheid government's embrace of an autonomous nuclear programme reinforced (but also reshaped) South Africa's ties with the West, pushing them into covert territory. South Africa's collaborations with the West largely moved from links between universities to resource sharing between state-funded institutions. For example, despite the John F. Kennedy administration's 1963 arms embargo on the nation, an estimated ninety South Africans subsequently underwent training at US nuclear facilities.Footnote 126 Similarly, the South African nuclear programme involved secret cooperations with Israel and West Germany.Footnote 127 The key technical transformation enabled by this reshaping of networks was the ‘indigenous’ development of a uranium enrichment programme in South Africa in 1961.Footnote 128 South African scientists, operating under more stringent material constraints than their Western counterparts, did not pursue uranium enrichment processes that relied on expensive gaseous diffusion and gas centrifuges. Rather, possibly drawing on the Becker jet nozzle process developed at the Kernforschungszentrum Karlsruhe in Germany, they developed a novel process using a vortex tube to separate isotopes, which produced laboratory quantities of highly enriched uranium.Footnote 129
As this brief case study emphasizes, the Sharpeville massacre constructed periods of accelerated decision making across vastly dissimilar scales: at the individual level for the families of those murdered by the state; a national political level for the black nationalist PAC, the non-racialist ANC, and the white-supremacist National Party; an international level for the UN Security Council and other individual nations, as the crisis – or crises, which differed based on one's material and sociopolitical context – was realized at each scale. The accelerated decisions starkly reorganized social order in South Africa and reconfigured constellations of national and international alliances and collaborations, both politically and scientifically. ‘South Africa's old commonwealth of knowledge’, write Beinart and Dubow, was ‘transmut[ed] into an autarkic republic of science and technology’ by the Sharpeville massacre (among other critical events).Footnote 130 The crisis – an indisputably ‘material’ rather than ‘intellectual’ crisis – dramatically transformed scientific activities in apartheid South Africa.
Conclusion
While late twentieth- and twenty-first-century historians of science have, for good reasons, focused more of their attention on continuity over radical conjunctural change, we hope to motivate renewed interest in rupture, through a suitable conception of crisis – one devoid of epochal or teleological baggage. Our chosen case studies show that crises are realized across different scales, times and places, pointing to their usefulness for a global microhistorical methodology, as a means of building a ‘big picture’ of knowledge changes in context. As episodes marked by network reorganizations and dramatic tempo changes, especially with regard to decision making, crises open ground for new instances of critical judgement, which can in turn engender re-formations of regimes of scientific knowledge and practice – or lend motivation for powerful actors to reinforce and redouble the existing order. Indeed, this points to a further sense in which crises should be of particular interest to historians (and sociologists, philosophers) of science. Depending on the particulars of the case at hand, a crisis can either open up or foreclose opportunities for critical judgement, which in turn can either deepen or forestall processes of epistemic contestation. During crises, different casts of actors (including, perhaps, those whose behaviour is normally made passive with regard to regimes of knowledge) can, in disparate ways, participate in contestation. Thus we urge historians of science to return their attention to material crises as important and often overlooked episodes of epistemic transformation.
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Hasok Chang, Dániel Margócsy, Jahnavi Phalkey, James Poskett, Simon Schaffer and two anonymous peer reviewers for BJHS: Themes for valuable comments on earlier drafts of this article. Different versions of this paper were presented at the History of Science and the ‘Big Picture’ conference at the University of Warwick (organized by Poskett), the HPS Workshop in the Department of History and Philosophy of Science at the University of Cambridge, and the International Society for Intellectual History 2023 conference at the University of Edinburgh. For constructive feedback and stimulating questions, we are grateful to Michael Bycroft, Pratik Chakrabarti, Leo Chu, Sam Phoenix Clarke, Anne Gerritsen, Myesha Jemison, Phillip Hintikka Kieval, Shiru Lim, Paul Nurse, Richard Oosterhoff, Sarah Qidwai, Silvia Sebastiani, Jim Secord, J.B. Shank, John Tresch, Guido van Meersbergen, Devin Vartija and Bobby Vos. The responsibility for any mistakes remains, of course, ours alone.
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