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Uncertain premises and Jeffrey's rule

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 February 2009

David E. Over  and
Constantinos Hadjichristidis
David E. Over
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, Durham University, Durham DH1 3LE, United [email protected]
Constantinos Hadjichristidis
Affiliation:
Facoltà di Scienze Cognitive, Università degli Studi di Trento, 38068 Rovereto, Italy. [email protected]
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Abstract

Oaksford & Chater (O&C) begin in the halfway Bayesian house of assuming that minor premises in conditional inferences are certain. We demonstrate that this assumption is a serious limitation. They additionally suggest that appealing to Jeffrey's rule could make their approach more general. We present evidence that this rule is not limited enough to account for actual probability judgements.

Type
Open Peer Commentary
Information
Behavioral and Brain Sciences , Volume 32 , Issue 1 , February 2009 , pp. 97 - 98
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2009

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References

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