Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T20:25:05.863Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Mathematical Fun with the Compound Binomial Process

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 August 2014

Hans U. Gerber*
Affiliation:
Université de Lausanne
*
Ecole des H.E.C., Université de Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The compound binomial model is a discrete time analogue (or approximation) of the compound Poisson model of classical risk theory. In this paper, several results are derived for the probability of ruin as well as for the joint distribution of the surpluses immediately before and at ruin. The starting point of the probabilistic arguments are two series of random variables with a surprisingly simple expectation (Theorem 1) and a more classical result of the theory of random walks (Theorem 2) that is best proved by a martingale argument.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © International Actuarial Association 1988

References

Bowers, N. L., Gerber, H. U., Hickman, J. C., Jones, D. A., and Nesbitt, C. J. (1987). Actuarial Mathematics. Society of Actuaries, Itasca, Illinois, U.S.A.Google Scholar
Delbaen, F. and Haezendonck, J. (1985). Inversed martingales in risk theory. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 4, 201206.Google Scholar
Dufresne, F. (1988). Distributions stationnaires d'un système bonus-malus et probabilité de ruine. ASTIN Bulletin 18, 3146.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dufresne, F. and Gerber, H. U. (1988). The surpluses immediately before and at ruin, and the amount of the claim causing ruin. Forthcoming in Insurance: Mathematics and Economics.Google Scholar
Feller, W. (1966). An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications, Volume 2., Wiley, New York.Google Scholar
Gerber, H. U. (1988). Mathematical Fun with Risk Theory. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 7, 1523.Google Scholar
Shiu, E. S. W. (1988). Calculation of the probability of eventual ruin by Beekman's convolution series. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 7, 4147.Google Scholar