Hostname: page-component-55f67697df-sqlfs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-05-09T02:23:40.688Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Military Spending and the Arms Race on the Korean Peninsula

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 May 2025

Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Extract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The Korean War technically ended in 1953 with the signing of an armistice agreement. But not only has there been no peace treaty, but inter-Korean military confrontation and heightened tension have continued, often resulting in overt military clashes. Defying the new security architecture followed by the demise of the Cold War system, the Korean peninsula still remains as its last relic without any clear signs of conflict termination. Suspicion and mutual distrust emanating from the protracted conflict have further accelerated fierce conventional arms races on the Korean peninsula. Taking advantage of its economic growth and industrial maturity, South Korea has been maintaining an edge over the North in this arms race. Meanwhile, North Korea has responded to the widening disparity in conventional forces by venturing to play the nuclear weapons card. As a result, peace and security on the Korean peninsula have become all the more precarious and uncertain. Against this backdrop, the article examines the patterns of military spending of the two Koreas, compares their conventional military capabilities, and traces implications for weapons of mass destruction on the Korean peninsula. The article concludes with some policy suggestions for denuclearization and peace-building in Korea.

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Copyright
Copyright © The Authors 2010

References

Principal References

Albright, David. “North Korean Plutonium Production,” Science & Global Security, Vol. 5 (1994), Pp. 6387.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Albright, David. “North Korea's Alleged Large-Scale Enrichment Plant: Yet Another Questionable Extrapolation Based on Aluminum Tues,” The ISIS Report (February 23, 2007), link.Google Scholar
Allison, Graham T. and Halperin, Morton. “Bureaucratic Politics: A Paradigm and Some Policy Implications,” World Politics, Vol. 24, Supplement: Theory and Policy in International Relations (Spring, 1972), Pp. 4079.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
An, Chan-il, Chul, Cho Myung, Hae-sung, Jang, Yeong-hoon, Lee, Jin-sung, Jang, Dong-soo, Kim, Sung-min, Kim, Heung-gwang, Kim, and Yoon-mi, Lim. Ten Elite North Koreans Predict North Korea 10 Years Hence. Goyang, ROK; Ingansarang, 2006.Google Scholar
Feffer, John, “Ploughshares into Swords: Economic Implications of South Korean Military Spending,” KEI Academic Paper Series, Vol. 4, No. 2 (February 2009).Google Scholar
Haggard, Stephan, Kim, Byung-kook, and Moon, Chung-in. “The Transition to Export-led Growth Strategy in South Korea 1954-1966,” Journal of Asian Studies, Vol. 50, No. 4 (November, 1991), Pp. 850873.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hamm, Taik-young. Arming the Two Koreas: State, Capital and Military Power. London: Routledge, 1999.Google Scholar
Hamm, Taik-young. The Political Economy of National Security (in Korean). Seoul: Beopmunsa, 1998.Google Scholar
Hamm, Taik-young and Jae-Jung, Suh. “North Korea's Military Capability and the Balance between the South and the North” (in Korean), in the Graduate School of North Korean Studies, Kyungnam University, ed. Re-illuminating the North Korean Military. Paju, ROK: Hanul, 2006.Google Scholar
Hwang, Jang-yop. The Truth and Falsity on North Korea (in Korean). Seoul: Sidaejeongsin, 2006.Google Scholar
Hyun, Sung-il. The National Strategies and Elite of North Korea: Focusing on Policies on Cadres (in Korean). Seoul: Seonin, 2007.Google Scholar
Im, Jong-in. “Year 2004 Parliamentary Audit, Volume 1” (in Korean). 2004.Google Scholar
The International Institute for Strategic Studies. The Military Balance 2009. London: Routledge, 2009.Google Scholar
The International Institute for Strategic Studies. “North Korea's Nulcear Test: Continuing Reverberations,” IISS Strategic Comments, Vol. 12, No. 8 (October 8, 2006).Google Scholar
The International Institute for Strategic Studies. North Korea's Weapons Programmes: A Net Assessment (London: IISS, 2004).Google Scholar
Kang, Jungmin and Hayes, Peter. “Technical Analysis of the DPRK Nuclear Test,” Nautilus Institute (link), October 20, 2006.Google Scholar
Kim, Dae-Jung. Collection of Speeches, vol. 3 (in Korean). Seoul: the Office of the President, 2001.Google Scholar
Kim, Yeon Chul. “The Political Economy of North Korea's Industrialization” (in Korean), Bukhanyeonguhakhoe, , ed., The North Korean Economy. Seoul: Gyeong-inmunhwasa, 2006.Google Scholar
Krasner, Stephen D. Defending National Interest: Raw Materials Investments and US Foreign Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1978.Google Scholar
Lee, Choon Geun and Jong-seon, Kim. “North Korea's Development of Nuclear and Rocket Technology” (in Korean), STEPI Insight, Vol. 22 (May 15, 2009), Pp. 125.Google Scholar
Lee, Eun-kook, Arms Race between South and North Korea (in Korean). Seoul: Daeyeongmunhwasa, 2007.Google Scholar
Lee, Gyu-yeol, Tae-am, Um, Ji-yong, Yu, and Ki-yeong, Jung. Military capabilities in Northeast Asia, 2007-2008 (in Korean). Seoul: KIDA, 2008.Google Scholar
Lee, Jeong-yeon. North Korean Soldiers Do Not Have Crackers?: North Korea's Military and Nuclear Weapons written by a Former North Korean Official (in Korean). Seoul: peullenitmidieo, 2007.Google Scholar
Lee, Kyung Soo. “A Comparitive Study on ‘Self-Reliant Defense’ Policy of Park & Rho's Regimes” (in Korean). Ph.D. diss., Sungkyunkwan University, 2007.Google Scholar
Lee, Pil Jung and Yong-Hui, Kim. “The Influence of USFK Changes on ROK's Military Build-up” (in Korean), Gukjejeongchinonchong, Vol. 47, No. 1 (2007), Pp. 167189.Google Scholar
McGoldrick, Fred. “The North Korea Uranium Enrichment Program: A Freeze and Beyond,” working papers of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability, No. 38, June 2003.Google Scholar
Moon, Chung-in and In-Taek, Hyun. “Muddling through Security, Growth, and Welfare: the Political Economy of Defense Spending in South Korea,” in Chan, Steve and Mintz, Alex, eds., Defense, Welfare, and Growth. London: Routledge, 1992.Google Scholar
Moon, Chung-in and Jin-Young, Lee. “Revolution in Military Affairs and the Defense Industry in South Korea,” Security Challenges, Vol. 4, No. 4 (Summer, 2008), Pp. 117134.Google Scholar
Sung-min, Moon, “The Present Condition and Problems of North Korea's Financial Institutions.” Presented at Legal Research Institute, Kookmin University, Seoul, Korea, on 21 May 2007.Google Scholar
North Korea Advisory Group. “Report to the Speaker U.S. House of Representatives,” (November 1999).Google Scholar
O'Hanlon, Michael E.Stopping a North Korean Invasion: Why Defending South Korea Is Easier Than the Pentagon Thinks,” International Security, Vol. 22, No. 4 (1998), Pp. 135170.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oh, Won-chul. The South Korean-type Economic Development: Engineering Approach, Volume 5 (in Korean). Seoul: the Kia Economic Institute, 1996.Google Scholar
Olson, Mancur Jr. and Zeckhauser, Richard. “An Economic Theory of Alliances,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 48, No. 3 (Aug., 1966), Pp. 266279.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Park, Tong Whan. “Political Economy of the Arms Race in Korea: Queries, Evidence, and Insights,” Asian Survey, Vol. 26, No. 8 (Aug., 1986), Pp. 839850.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rho, Moo-hyun. Collection of Speeches, Vol. 4 (in Korean). Seoul: The Office of the President, 2007.Google Scholar
Rho, Moo-hyun. Collection of Speeches, Vol. 3 (in Korean). Seoul: The Office of the President, 2006.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. Defense White Paper 2008. Seoul: MND, 2009.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. Defense White Paper 2006 (in Korean). Seoul: MND, 2006.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. Implementation of Defense Reform 2020 (in Korean). Seoul: MND, 2006.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. Defense White Paper 2004. Seoul: The MND, 2004.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. The History of National Defense, Vol. 4 (in Korean). Seoul: MND Gunsapyeonchanyeonguso, 2002.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. National Defense Policy, 1998-2002 (in Korean). Seoul: MND, 2002.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. National Defense Reform preparing for the 21st Century, 1998-2002 (in Korean). Seoul: MND, 1998.Google Scholar
ROK Ministry of National Defense. The Past, Present, and Future of the Yulgok Project (in Korean). Seoul: MND, 1994.Google Scholar
Rosen, Steven, ed. Testing the Theory of the Military-industrial Complex. Lexington, Mass.; Lexington Books, 1973.Google Scholar
Richardson, Louis F. Arms and Insecurity: A Mathematical Study of the Causes and Origins of War. Pittsburgh, Penn.: The Boxwood Press, 1960.Google Scholar
Suh, Jae-Jung. “Blitzkrieg or Sitzkrieg? Assessing a Second Korean War,” Pacific Review, Vol. 11, No. 2 (1999), Pp. 151176.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sung, Chae-gi. “The Economic Base of North Korea's Military Power: Historical and Positive Analysis of the Military Economy” (in Korean), in the Graduate School of North Korean Studies, Kyungnam University ed. Recasting the Question of North Korean Military. Paju, ROK: Hanul, 2006.Google Scholar
Wolfsthal, Jon B.Estimates of North Korea's Unchecked Nuclear Weapons Production Potential,” Non-proliferation Project, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (link).Google Scholar