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Manila, Beijing, and Uncios: A Test Case?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 May 2025

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After a long summer replete with tensions and incidents in both the South China and East China Seas, the new year failed to bring renewed hopes for a peaceful resolution to the myriad territorial conflicts casting a shadow on the Asia-Pacific Region. Rather the contrary, renewed incidents, naval rearmament, claims and counterclaims, not always veiled threats to resort to force, and decentralized boycott campaigns and cyberspace clashes. One novelty was the decision by the Philippines to try a new tack in its clash with China, resorting to a tool not previously employed by any of the claimants, namely a request for arbitration under UNCLOS (the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea). Although this gambit was rejected by China, and the fate of the case is uncertain at the time of writing, we will examine the legal positions of Manila and Beijing in the context of their wider dispute, and the far-reaching implications of the case.

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Research Article
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This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
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References

Notes

1 This article emerged from the research for A. Calvo “Shunji Yanai between Manila and Beijing”, The Tokyo Diplomat, 13 February 2013, Shingetsu News Agency.

2 The Vietnamese and the Filipinos respectively call this the Eastern Sea and the West Philippine Sea. “South China Sea” is the generally accepted version term in both official and academic usage internationally, although it would not be surprising to see this reconsidered at some point in the future if tensions persist. Some voices are already calling for the adoption of “South-East Asia Sea”. 3

available here

4 “If the UN tribunal decides to hear the case, any ruling it issues will have wide-ranging legal, political and strategic implications,” Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

5 A link to a scanned PDF copy of the original “Application and Statement of Claim” can be found at “Statement by Secretary of Foreign Affairs Albert del Rosario on the UNCLOS Arbitral Proceedings against China to Achieve a Peaceful and Durable Solution to the Dispute in the WPS”, Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the Philippines, 28 January 2013, available here

6 “The Department of Foreign Affairs’ Statement on China's Response to the Philippines’ Arbitration Case”, website of the Department of Foreign Affairs of the Philippine Government, 19 February 2013, available at here

7 Note accompanying the “Application and Statement of Claim”, Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the Philippines, 22 January 2013, available here

8 “Application and Statement of Claim”, Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the Philippines, 22 January 2013, p. 1, available here

9 “Application and Statement of Claim”, here

10 “Application and Statement of Claim”, here

11 “Application and Statement of Claim”, here

12 IV. Jurisdiction of the Tribunal. 40. “Application and Statement of Claim”, p. 16, here

13 “This excessive claim is the core issue of the Philippines’ arbitration case against China.” “The Department of Foreign Affairs’ Statement on China's Response to the Philippines’ Arbitration Case”, website of the Department of Foreign Affairs of the Philippine Government, 19 February 2013, available here

14 Further details of the “nine-dash line”, including a copy of a map on a 7 May 2009 letter to the United Nations Secretary General, appear on II. Factual Background 10-11-12. “Application and Statement of Claim”, p. 4-5, available here

15 II. Factual Background. B. Submerged Features and C. Insular Features “Application and Statement of Claim”, pp. 6-10, here

16 II. Factual Background. B. Submerged Features. 14. “Application and Statement of Claim”, pp. 6-7, here

17 II. Factual Background. C. Insular Features. 20. “Application and Statement of Claim”, p. 8, here

18 II. Factual Background. C. Insular Features. 20. “Application and Statement of Claim”, p. 8, here

19 Romel R. Bagares, “After China snub, what now?”, Vera Files, 3 February 2013, available at here

20 Romel R. Bagares, “After China snub, what now?”, here

21 “Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi on the South China Sea Issue”, website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, 12 July 2012, available at here

22 “The Department of Foreign Affairs’ Statement on China's Response to the Philippines’ Arbitration Case”, website of the Department of Foreign Affairs of the Philippine Government, 19 February 2013, available here

23 IV. Jurisdiction of the Tribunal. 32. “Application and Statement of Claim”, p. 14, here

24 VI. Appointment of Arbitrator. 42. “Application and Statement of Claim”, p. 19, here

25 A German and a member of the ITLOS since 1996, his profile can be consulted at “Judge Rūdiger Wolfrum”, International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea, available here

26 For background information on the DOC, and more generally ASEAN policy toward the South China Sea dispute and negotiations with China, see Carlyle A. Thayer “ASEAN's Code of Conduct in the South China Sea: A Litmus Test for Community-Building?”, The Asia-Pacific Journal, Vol 10, Issue 34, No. 4, August 20, available at http://japanfocus.org/-Carlyle_A_-Thayer/3813

27 Romel R. Bagares, “After China snub, what now?” here

28 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, its complete text can be consulted at the United Nations website, available here

29 IV. Jurisdiction of the Tribunal. 34,35,36. “Application and Statement of Claim”, p. 15, here

30 Simone Orendain, “Philippines to Forge Ahead with Sea Dispute Arbitration”, Voice of America, 21 February 2013, available here

31 Julian Ku “Is the Philippines Arbitration Claim Against China “Bizarre” and “Futile”?”, Opinio Juris, 21 February, available at http://opiniojuris.org/2013/02/21/is-the-philippines-arbitration-claim-against-china-bizarre-and- futile/

32 Julian Ku “Is the Philippines Arbitration Claim Against China “Bizarre” and “Futile”?”, here

33 Julian Ku “Is the Philippines Arbitration Claim Against China “Bizarre” and “Futile”?”, here

34 Romel R. Bagares, “After China snub, what now?” here

35 Julian Ku “What Happens if China Tries to Boycott UNCLOS Arbitration? A Japanese Guy Gets to Appoint the Tribunal”, Opinio Juris, 25 January, available here

36 Tarra Quismundo “Panel to hear PH case vs China now complete”, Philippine Daily Inquirer, 26 June 2013, available here

37 “UN picks new judge for Philippines-China dispute”, Kyodo News, 25 June 2013, available here

38 “Chinese scholar: Turbulent years ahead for Philippines-China relations”, Sun Star, 4 April 2013, available here

39 “Press Release: NEW ARBITRATOR AND PRESIDENT APPOINTED IN THE ARBITRAL PROCEEDINGS INSTITUTED BY THE REPUBLIC OF THE PHILIPPINES AGAINST THE PEOPLE's REPUBLIC OF CHINA”, International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea, 24 June 2013, available here

40 “UN picks new judge for Philippines-China dispute”, here

41 “UN tribunal starts arbitration process on PHL-China sea dispute”, GMA News Online, 16 July 2013, available here

42 Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

43 Press Release: “Chinese Spokesperson Hong Lei's remarks on China returned the Philippines’ Notification on the submission of South China Sea issue to international Arbitration (2013/02/19)”, website of the Embassy of the People's Republic of China in the Republic of the Philippines, 19 February, available here

44 “Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi on the South China Sea Issue”, website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, 12 July 2012, available here

45 Press Release: “Chinese Spokesperson Hong Lei's remarks on China returned the Philippines’ Notification on the submission of South China Sea issue to international Arbitration (2013/02/19)”, website of the Embassy of the People's Republic of China in the Republic of the Philippines, 19 February, available here

46 “Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Hong Lei's Regular Press Conference on February 20, 2013”, website of the Consulate General of the People's Republic of China in Chicago, 21 February 2013, available here

47 “CV of Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Hong Lei”, website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, undated, available here

48 Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

49 Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

50 “The Department of Foreign Affairs’ Statement on China's Response to the Philippines’ Arbitration Case”, website of the Department of Foreign Affairs of the Philippine Government, 19 February 2013, available at here

51 Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

52 “Fisherman's death gives cause for Spratlys offensive: PLA general”, China Times, 15 May 2013, available here

53 Elena Aben, “BRP Alcaraz drops Anchor today at Subic”, Manila Bulletin, 4 August 2013, available here

54 Kazuo Ikejiri “Japan to provide Philippines with 10 cutters to beef up maritime patrols”, The Asahi Shimbun, 27 July 2013, available here

55 Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

56 Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

57 “Chinese scholar: Turbulent years ahead for Philippines-China relations”, Sun Star, 4 April 2013, available here

58 Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, here

59 Concerning this, see also Carlyle A. Thayer “ASEAN's Code of Conduct in the South China Sea: A Litmus Test for Community-Building?”, here

60 Tina G. Santos “Philippine Coast Guard to receive 10 patrol boats from Japan”, Philippine Daily Inquirer, 12 January 2013, available here

61 Japan seeks to help boost Vietnam navy”, Global Times, 10 May 2013, available here

62 Lyle Morris, “Taming the Five Dragons? China Consolidates its Maritime Law Enforcement Agencies”, China Brief, Volume: 13 Issue: 7, 28 March 2013, The Jamestown Foundation, available at here

63 Stephen Blank, “Exploring the Significance of China's Membership on the Arctic Council”, China Brief, Volume: 13 Issue: 14, 12 July 2013, The Jamestown Foundation, available at here

64 Ace Tamayo “Last recourse for PH vs China's maritime claim”, Rappler, 21 May 2013, available here

65 Ace Tamayo “Last recourse for PH vs China's maritime claim”, available at here

66 Alexis Romero, “Phl benefits from China's refusal to join arbitration”, PhilStar, 22 February 2013, available here

67 Julian Ku “Is the Philippines Arbitration Claim Against China “Bizarre” and “Futile”?”, here

68 Hugh Bicheno, Razor's Edge. The Unofficial History of the Falklands War, London, Phoenix, 2007, p. 64.

69 Ace Tamayo “Last recourse for PH vs China's maritime claim”, Rappler, 21 May 2013, available here

70 Mark Valencia “The South China Sea: What China Could Say”, NAPSNet Policy Forum, 7 May 2013, available at here

71 Mark Valencia “The South China Sea: What China Could Say”, here

72 Tuan Pham, 31 May 2013 comments to Mark Valencia “The South China Sea: What China Could Say”, here

73 Mark Valencia, reply to Tuan Pham, 31 May 2013 comments to Mark Valencia “The South China Sea: What China Could Say”, here

74 Tuan Pham, 29 June 2013, second reply to M. Valencia “The South China Sea: What China Could Say”, here

75 For a comprehensive description and analyses of discussions within ASEAN and negotiations between the organization and China, please see C. A. Thayer, “ASEAN's Code of Conduct in the South China Sea: A Litmus Test for Community-Building?,” here

76 Mark Valencia “The danger of pushing China too far on law of the sea”, South China Morning Post, 9 July 2013, available here

77 Mark Valencia “The danger of pushing China too far on law of the sea”, here

78 Roy C. Mabasa “US Group Watching UNCLOS Action”, Manila Bulletin, 10 February 2013, available here

79 Recto Mercene “PHL to use info gathered by US surveillance plane in case vs China”, Business Mirror, 31 July 2013, available here <ftt>1</ftt> Ian Storey, “Manila Ups the Ante in the South China Sea”, China Brief, Vol 13 Issue 3, 1 February 2013, The Jamestown Foundation,