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After the Whirlwind: Post-Nargis Burma, the 2010 Elections and Prospects for Reform

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 May 2025

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These are tough times for the people of Burma. They have endured decades of economic mismanagement, low living standards and brutal political oppression under an incompetent and negligent military that shows no signs of relinquishing its grip on power. Indeed, as the country approaches elections in 2010, the regime has cracked down on those it targets as opponents, imposing prison terms of up to 65 years on relief workers, comedians, writers, intellectuals, monks and others engaged in peaceful demonstrations or relief activities. No challenges to the junta are allowed and even local disaster relief workers are subject to arrest for embarrassing the regime. Those who joined peaceful demonstrations in the Saffron Revolution of 2007, or tried to help the survivors of Cyclone Nargis in 2008, have been singled out by the military junta for sentences that in many cases ensure the imprisoned will die behind bars. Moreover, political prisoners have been sent away to remote prisons where it is difficult for relatives to visit or to monitor their condition. Although the junta released about a dozen political prisoners in February 2009, the number of political prisoners has more than doubled since 2007 and stands at an estimated 2,100.

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Research Article
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Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
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Copyright © The Authors 2009

References

Notes

[1] Burmese I met randomly while travelling in Burma and others I interviewed in Thailand and Tokyo openly criticize the military junta in the harshest terms and assert that the overwhelming majority of Burmese oppose the military junta. They also maintain that many of the millions of Burmese who are members of USDA (Union Solidarity and Development Association), an organization with close links to the military, are reluctant participants who feel compelled to join. For a sense of the anti-junta mood in Burma based on fieldwork conducted not long after the Saffron Revolution was quashed see, Jeff Kingston, “Burma's Despair: Critical Asian Studies, 40:1 (March 2008), 3-43.

[2] Interview Chiang Mai, Thailand Dec. 2008. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[3] Glen Kessler, “Clinton Signals Possible Shift in US Policy on Burma”, Washington Post, Feb 18, 2009.

[4] BLOCKJADE ACT, HR 3890 RFSEAS, 110th CONGRESS In the Senate of the United States, 1st Session December 19, 2007.

[5] Interview Tokyo Dec. 17, 2008. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[6] Interview Nov, 2008, Tokyo. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[7] International Crisis Group (ICG), Burma/Myanmar After Nargis: Time to Normalise Aid Relations, 20 October 2008. Asia Report N°161.

[8] Personal communication, Nov. 2008. Subsequent attributions to her draw on this communication. For a detailed critical assessment of the Nargis relief effort see here.

[9] Interview Tokyo Feb. 7, 2009. She is the author of “Post-Nargis Analysis-The Other Side of the Story” (October 2008). Subsequent quotes attributed to her draw from this interview.

[10] Telephone interview Feb. 8, 2009. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[11] Interview, Chiang Mai, Dec. 2008. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[12] Interview Chiang Mai Dec. 2008. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[13] Interview Chiang Mai Dec. 2008. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[14] Interview Chiang Mai Dec. 2008. Subsequent quotes attributed to him draw from this interview.

[15] Telephone interview Feb. 9, 2009.

[16] Telephone interview Feb. 8, 2009.

[17] Interview Jakarta Dec. 1, 2007