The heat regime and dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheet are studied using numerical modelling for two flow lines, one of which passes Vostok station and the other Byrd station. A two-dimensional non-steady heat-transfer equation with an energy dissipation term was used. The study consists of two parts. The first is a study of velocity and temperature distributions within the glacier under steady-state conditions. The second study was performed assuming surface temperature changes intended to model palaeoclimatic changes for the last 100 ka and also to model future climate changes due to a possible "greenhouse" effect.

Computer numerical modelling shows that the Antarctic ice sheet retains a record of the climatic temperature minimum 18 ka BP. Numerical modelling of the greenhouse effect assumes a temperature increasing by 10 deg within the next 100 a; its influence increases after this even if the surface temperature then remains the same for the next 20 ka. It is shown that for the next 1 ka the temperature wave will penetrate only a thin surface layer of the ice. Even in 20 ka the bottom temperature of the ice sheet will still be unchanged. Small increases of ice velocity can produce ice-sheet thinning of the order of 10 mm a−1.