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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 20 January 2017
Recently reported observations of a nine-year decrease in global sea-ice extent, obtained from the Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer onboard the Nimbus-7 satellite during 1978–87 and averaged with an annual running mean, have been separated into Arctic and Antarctic components. The annually-averaged global extent decrease was 2.5%. Here it is shown that the greater part of this decrease occurred in the Arctic where there was a decline of 3.5% with a goodness of fit of 0.54.
Superimposed on this decline was a small oscillation with a period of about four years and an amplitude of about 1%. A significantly smaller and statistically insignificant decrease of 1.2% with a goodness of fit of 0.03 is observed in the annually averaged Antarctic sea-ice extent. However, three large oscillations with amplitudes of about 4% and periods of about three years occurred in phase with three El Niño events.