Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-94fs2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-05T16:56:55.169Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Yet more on a stochastic economic model: Part 3A: stochastic interpolation: Brownian and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) bridges

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 November 2016

A. D. Wilkie*
Affiliation:
InQA Limited, Dennington, Ridgeway, Horsell, Woking GU21 4QR, UK
Şule Şahin
Affiliation:
Department of Actuarial Sciences, Hacettepe University, 06800 Ankara, Turkey
*
*Correspondence to: A. D. Wilkie, InQA Limited, Dennington, Ridgeway, Horsell, Woking GU21 4QR, UK. Tel: +441483 725984 or 01483 725984; E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

In this paper, we develop certain properties for discrete Brownian bridges and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck bridges, which we use in the successor papers Part 3B and Part 3C to analyse real economic data series, with a view to constructing stochastic interpolation models for the Wilkie asset model.

Type
Papers
Copyright
© Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Barczy, M. & Kern, P. (2011). Sample path deviations of the Wiener and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes from its bridges. Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, 27(4), 437466.Google Scholar
Corlay, S. (2013). Properties of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge. HAL Archives-ouvertes, Working Paper HAL Id hal-00875342v4.Google Scholar
Glasserman, P. (2003). Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering. Springer, New York.Google Scholar
Goldys, B. & Maslowski, B. (2008). The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge and applications to Markov semigroups. Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 118, 17381767.Google Scholar
Gusak, D., Kukush, A., Kulik, A., Mishura, Y. & Pilipenko, A. (2010). Theory of Stochastic Processes. Springer, New York.Google Scholar
Iacus, S. M. (2008). Simulation and Inference for Stochastic Differential Equations. Springer, New York.Google Scholar
Kahl, C. (2007). Modelling and Simulation of Stochastic Volatility in Finance. Doctoral dissertation, Dissertation.com, Wuppertal University, Boca Raton, FL.Google Scholar
Karatzas, I & Shreve, S. E. (1991). Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus. Springer, New York.Google Scholar
Kloeden, P. E. & Platen, E. (1999). Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations. Springer, Berlin.Google Scholar
Maslowski, B. & Simão, I. (1997). Asymptotic properties of stochastic semilinear equations by the method of lower measures. Colloquium Mathematicae, 72, 147171.Google Scholar
Maslowski, B. & Simão, I. (2001). Long time behaviour of non-autonomous SPDEs. Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 95, 285309.Google Scholar
Sekerci, Y. (2009). Some Recent Simulation Techniques for Diffusion Bridges. School of Mathematics and System Engineering, Växjö University, Sweden.Google Scholar
Simao, I. (1996). Pinned Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes on an infinite-dimensional space. Stochastic Analysis and Applications. Edited by I M Davies (Univ.Wales, Swansea, UK), A Truman (Univ. Wales Swansea, UK), K D Elsworthy (Univ. Warwick, UK) World Science Publishing, River Edge, NJ. pp 401–407.Google Scholar
Wilkie, A.D. (1986). A stochastic investment model for actuarial use. Transactions of the Faculty of Actuaries, 39, 341381.Google Scholar
Wilkie, A.D. (1995). More on a stochastic asset model for actuarial use. British Actuarial Journal, 1, 777964.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wilkie, A.D., Owen, M.P. & Waters, H.R. (2005). Notes on options, hedging, prudential reserves and fair values. British Actuarial Journal, 11, 199312.Google Scholar
Wilkie, A.D. & Sahin, S. (2016). Yet more on a stochastic economic model: part 2: initial conditions, select periods and neutralising parameters. Annals of Actuarial Science, 10, 151.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wilkie, A.D., Sahin, S., Cairns, A.J.G. & Kleinow, T. (2011). Yet more on a stochastic economic model: part 1: updating and refitting, 1995 to 2009. Annals of Actuarial Science, 5, 5399.Google Scholar
Wilkie, A.D., Waters, H.R. & Yang, S. (2003). Reserving, pricing and hedging for policies with guaranteed annuity options. British Actuarial Journal, 9, 263425.Google Scholar