Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-q99xh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T02:49:36.557Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Explaining African Coups d'Etat

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 August 2014

Robert W. Jackman
Affiliation:
Michigan State University
Rosemary H. T. O'Kane
Affiliation:
University of Keele
Thomas H. Johnson
Affiliation:
The Orkand Corporation
Pat McGowan
Affiliation:
Arizona State University
Robert O. Slater
Affiliation:
Defense Intelligence College

Abstract

Comparative political analysts seek empirical generalizations which will hold water across systems and over a period of time. Yet, modeling important political phenomena over more than a handful of countries is still rather unusual. One focus for substantial comparative research has been the coup d'état—an irregular change of governmental leadership by force—in African countries. Scholars who have engaged in this research find they have various conceptual and methodological differences of opinion. In this Controversy, Robert Jackman and Rosemary O'Kane raise the issues in dispute. Their contentions are answered by Thomas Johnson, Pat McGowan, and Robert Slater. The exchange highlights important research issues without necessarily resolving them.

Type
Controversies
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1986

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Allison, Paul D. 1984. Event History Analysis: Regression for Longitudinal Event Data. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage Publication.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anene, John. In progress. Return to the Barracks: A Comparative Study of the Transfer of Power from Military to Civilian Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1960–1984. Ph.D. diss., Arizona State University.Google Scholar
Bachrach, Peter, and Baratz, Morton S.. 1962. Two Faces of Power. American Political Science Review, 56:947–52.Google Scholar
Barclay, George W. 1958. Techniques of Population Analysis. New York: John Wiley & Sons.Google Scholar
Bornschier, Volker, and Heintz., Peter 1979. Compendium of Data for World-System Analysis. Zürich, Switzerland: Sociologisches Institut der Universität Zürich.Google Scholar
Collier, Ruth B. 1982. Regimes in Tropical Africa: Changing Forms of Supremacy, 1945–1975. Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press.Google Scholar
DeFelice, Gene. 1980. Comparison Misconceived: Common Nonsense in Comparative Politics. Comparative Politics, 13:119–26.Google Scholar
Deutsch, Karl W. 1961. Social Mobilization and Political Development. American Political Science Review, 55:493514.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dowse, Robert E. 1969. The Military and Political Development. In Leys, Colin, ed., Politics and Change in Developing Countries. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
DePuy, Col. Trevor N., and Blanchard, Col. Wendell. 1972. The Almanac of World Military Power. 2nd ed. London: Arthur Baker.Google Scholar
Emerson, Rupert. 1962. From Empire to Nation: The Rise to Self-Assertion of Asian and African Peoples. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Europa Yearbook 1982. 1982. London: Europa Publications.Google Scholar
First, Ruth. 1970. The Barrel of the Gun. Harmondsworth: Penguin.Google Scholar
Friedrich, Robert J. 1982. In Defense of Multiplicative Terms in Multiple Regression Equations. American Journal of Political Science, 26: 797833.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Geertz, Clifford, ed. 1963. Old Societies and New States: The Quest for Modernity in Asia and Africa. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Greenberg, Joseph H. 1956. The Measurement of Linguistic Diversity. Language, 32:109–15.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hermann, Charles F. 1967. Validation Problems in Games and Simulations With Special Reference to Models of International Politics. Behavioral Science, 12:216–31.Google Scholar
Hibbs, Douglas A. Jr., 1973. Mass Political Violence: A Cross-National Causal Analysis. New York: Wiley-Interscience.Google Scholar
Huntington, Samuel P. 1968. Political Order in Changing Societies. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Jackman, Robert W. 1976. Politicians in Uniform: Military Governments and Social Change in the Third World. American Political Science Review, 70:1078–97.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jackman, Robert W. 1978. The Predictability of Coups d'État: A Model with African Data. American Political Science Review, 72:1262–75.Google Scholar
Jackman, Robert W. 1980. A Note on the Measurement of Growth Rates in Cross-National Research. American Journal of Sociology, 86: 604–17.Google Scholar
Jackman, Robert W. 1985. Cross-National Statistical Research and the Study of Comparative Politics. American Journal of Political Science, 29:161–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jackman, Robert W., and Boyd, William A.. 1979. Multiple Sources in the Collection of Data on Political Conflict. American Journal of Political Science, 23:434–58.Google Scholar
Johnson, Thomas H., and McGowan, Pat. 1985. Coups and Counts: A Simulation of African Military Coups d'État. Presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Washington, D.C., March 5–9.Google Scholar
Johnson, Thomas H., and Slater, Robert O.. 1983. An Examination of Competing Models of Military Intervention in Sub-Saharan African Politics, 1960-1982. Presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Mexico City, April 5–9.Google Scholar
Johnson, Thomas H., Slater, Robert O. and McGowan, Pat. 1984. Explaining African Military Coups d'État, 1960–1982. American Political Science Review, 78:622–40.Google Scholar
Johnston, John. 1963. Econometric Methods. New York: McGraw Hill.Google Scholar
Keesing's Contemporary Archives. 1951, 1965, 1970, 1981. Vols. 8, 15, 17, 27, respectively. Keesing's Publications: Longmans.Google Scholar
Kick, Edward L. 1984. The Form and Operation of the World System: A Multiple-Network Analysis of Transnational Linkages, 1960–1965. Presented at the annual meeting of the American Sociological Association, San Antonio, Texas, August.Google Scholar
Kurian, G. Thomas. 1982. Geographic Encyclopedia of the World. London: Mansell Publishing.Google Scholar
Luttwak, Edward. 1969. Coup d'État: A Political Handbook. Harmondsworth: Penguin.Google Scholar
McGowan, Pat, and Johnson, Thomas H.. 1984. African Military Coups d'État and Underdevelopment: A Quantitative Historical Analysis. Journal of Modem African Studies, 22:633–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McGowan, Pat, and Johnson, Thomas H.. 1985a. Forecasting African Military Coups. Presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, New Orleans, August 29–September 1.Google Scholar
McGowan, Pat, and Johnson, Thomas H.. 1985b. Forecasting African Military Coups d'État. Politikon: South African Journal of Political Science. Forthcoming.Google Scholar
McKinlay, R. D., and Cohan, A. S.. 1975. A Comparative Analysis of the Political and Economic Performance of Military and Civilian Regimes: A Cross-National Aggregate Study. Comparative Politics, 8:130.Google Scholar
Morrison, Donald G., Mitchell, Robert C., Paden, John H., and Stevenson, Hugh M.. 1972. Black Africa: A Comparative Handbook. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
O'Kane, Rosemary H. T. 1981. A Probabilistic Approach to the Causes of Coups d'État. British Journal of Political Science, 11:287308.Google Scholar
O'Kane, Rosemary H. T. 1983. Towards an Examination of the Causes of Coups d'État. European Journal of Political Research, 11:2744.Google Scholar
Orkand Corporation. 1983. Analysis of the Causes of Coups d'État in the Sub-Saharan Africa. Silver Spring, MD: The Orkand Corporation.Google Scholar
Rae, Douglas W., and Taylor, Michael. 1970. The Analysis of Political Cleavages. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Sartori, Giovanni. 1970. Concept Misformation in Comparative Politics. American Political Science Review, 64:1033–53.Google Scholar
Snyder, David, and Kick, Edward L.. 1979. Structural Position in the World System and Economic Growth, 1955–1970. American Journal of Sociology, 84:10961126.Google Scholar
Taylor, Charles L., and Hudson, Michael C.. 1972. World Handbook of Political and Social Indicators. 2nd ed. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Taylor, Charles L., and Hudson, Michael C.. 1983. World Handbook of Political and Social Indicators. 3rd ed., vol. 2. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Tordoff, William. 1984. Government and Politics in Africa. Bloomington, IN: Indiana University Press.Google Scholar
United Nations. 1984. Demographic Yearbook, 1982. New York: United Nations.Google Scholar
World Bank. 1984. World Developmental Report 1984. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Young, Crawford. 1984. In Almond, Gabriel A. and Powell, G. Bingham Jr., eds. Comparative Politics Today: A World View. Boston: Little, Brown and Company.Google Scholar
Zolberg, Aristide R. 1968. The Structure of Political Conflict in the New States of Tropical Africa. American Political Science Review, 62:7087.Google Scholar
Submit a response

Comments

No Comments have been published for this article.