Published online by Cambridge University Press: 30 June 2020
Anti-refugee violence often accompanies refugee migration, but the factors that fuel or mitigate that violence remain poorly understood, including the common policy response in such settings of humanitarian aid. Existing theory and policy debates predict that aid to refugees exacerbates anti-refugee violence by increasing hosts’ resentment toward refugees. In contrast, however, aid may reduce violence in ways such as increasing host communities’ well-being through more demand for local goods and services and refugees sharing aid. We test for the sign and mechanisms of this relationship. Evidence from original survey data and a regression discontinuity design suggests that cash transfers to Syrian refugees in Lebanon did not increase anti-refugee violence, and if anything they reduced violence. Exploring why aid does not increase hostility, we find evidence that aid allows recipients to indirectly compensate locals through higher demand for local goods and services, directly benefit locals by offering help and sharing aid, and reduce contact with potential aggressors.
We benefited from conversations, comments, and suggestions of Peter Aronow, Dominik Hangartner, Dean Karlan, David Laitin, Jason Lyall, Chris Udry, Elisabeth J. Wood, and several anonymous referees. We thank the International Rescue Committee (IRC) and The UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) for collaboration and Chris Blattman and Juliette Seban for their support in the early stages of this project. Part of this work was completed while Lehmann was visiting the Yale Economic Growth Center and while Masterson was visiting the American University of Beirut Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy, which the authors thank for their hospitality. We are grateful for funding through DFID grant agreement number 204007-111. We declare that we have no relevant or material financial interests that relate to the research described in this paper. Replication files are available at the American Political Science Review Dataverse: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/5LAZ54.
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