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Closeness, Expenditures, and Turnout in the 1982 U.S. House Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 August 2014

Gary W. Cox  and
Michael C. Munger
Gary W. Cox
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego
Michael C. Munger
Affiliation:
University of Texas, Austin
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Abstract

Students of elections have repeatedly found that the closeness of an election is modestly correlated with turnout. This may be due to a direct response of instrumentally motivated voters, but recent theoretical work casts doubt on the adequacy of this explanation. Another possibility is that elite actors respond to closeness with greater effort at mobilization. We explore the latter possibility by using FEC and state data on campaign expenditures in House, Senate, and gubernatorial races. Our results indicate that closeness has an effect at both the mass and elite levels. We also provide quantitative estimates of the effect of Senate and gubernatorial expenditure on House turnout.

Type
Research Notes
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 83 , Issue 1 , March 1989 , pp. 217 - 231
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1989

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