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Beyond Fractionalization: Mapping Ethnicity onto Nationalist Insurgencies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 February 2007

LARS-ERIK CEDERMAN  and
LUC GIRARDIN
LARS-ERIK CEDERMAN
Affiliation:
ETH Zurich
LUC GIRARDIN
Affiliation:
ETH Zurich
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Abstract

This paper theorizes the link between ethnicity and conflict. Conventional research relies on the ethnolinguistic fractionalization index (ELF) to explore a possible causal connection between these two phenomena. However, such approaches implicitly postulate unrealistic, individualist interaction topologies. Moreover, ELF-based studies fail to articulate explicit causal mechanisms of collective action. To overcome these difficulties, we introduce the new index N* of ethnonationalist exclusiveness that maps ethnic configurations onto political violence. This formalization is confirmed statistically in regression analysis based on data from Eurasia and North Africa.

Type
FORUM
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 101 , Issue 1 , February 2007 , pp. 173 - 185
Copyright
© 2007 by the American Political Science Association

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