Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rcrh6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-25T05:24:59.206Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Popular Influence on Supreme Court Decisions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

Helmut Norpoth
Affiliation:
State University of New York, Stony Brook
Jeffrey A. Segal
Affiliation:
State University of New York, Stony Brook
William Mishler
Affiliation:
University of South Carolina
Reginald S. Sheehan
Affiliation:
Michigan State University

Abstract

In their 1993 article in this Review, William Mishler and Reginald Sheehan reported evidence of both direct and indirect impacts of public opinion on Supreme Court decisions. Helmut Norpoth and Jeffrey Segal offer a methodological critique and in their own reanalysis of the data find, contrary to Mishler and Sheehan, no evidence for a direct path of influence from public opinion to Court decisions. Instead, they find an abrupt-permanent shift of judicial behavior consistent with an indirect model of influence whereby popularly elected presidents, through new appointments, affect the ideological complexion of the Court. In response, Mishler and Sheehan defend the direct public opinion linkage originally noted, at both individual and aggregate level; respond to the methodological critique; and offer further statistical analysis to support the aggregate linkages.

Type
Controversy
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1994

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bartels, Larry M. 1991. “Constituency Opinion and Congressional Policy Making: The Reagan Defense Buildup.” American Political Science Review 85:457–74.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Box, George E. P., and Tiao, George C.. 1975. “Intervention Analysis with Applications to Economic and Environmental Problems.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 70:7092.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brace, Paul, and Hall, Melinda Gann. 1990. “Neo-institutionalism and Dissent in State Supreme Courts.” Journal of Politics 52:5470.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brodbeck, May. 1968. “Methodological Individualism: Definition and Reduction.” In Readings in the Social Sciences, ed. Brodbeck, May. New York: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Cook, Beverly B. 1977. “Public Opinion and Federal Judicial Policy.” American Journal of Political Science 21:567600.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dahl, Robert., 1957. “Decisionmaking in a Democracy: The Supreme Court as National Policymaker.” Journal of Public Law 6:279295.Google Scholar
Engle, Robert F., and Granger, C. W. J.. 1987. “Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing.” Econometrica 55:251–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Engle, Robert F., and Yoo, Byung-sam. 1989. “Cointegrated Economic Time-Series: An Overview with New Results.” In Long-Run Economic Relationships, ed. Engle, Robert F. and Granger, C. W. J.. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Epstein, Lee, Walker, Thomas G., and Dixon, William J.. 1989. ‘The Supreme Court and Criminal Justice Disputes: A Neo-institutional Perspective.” American Journal of Political Science 33:825–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Erbring, Lutz. 1989. “Individuals Writ Large: An Epilogue on the ‘Ecological Fallacy” In Political Analysis, ed. Stimson, James A.. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris. 1974. Representatives, Roll Calls, and Constituencies. Lexington, MA: Heath.Google Scholar
Gibson, James. 1980. “Environmental Constraints on the Behavior of Judges.” Law and Society Review 14:343–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gibson, James L. 1991. “Decision Making in Appellate Courts.” In The American Courts: A Critical Assessment, ed. Gates, John B. and Johnson, Charles A.. Washington: Congressional Quarterly.Google Scholar
Giles, Michael, and Walker, Thomas. 1975. “Judicial Policy-making and Southern School Segregation.” Journal of Politics 37:917–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Granger, C. W. J., and Newbold, Paul. 1986. Forecasting Economic Time Series. 2d ed.San Diego: Academic.Google Scholar
Greg v. Georgia. 1976. 428 U.S. 153.Google Scholar
Gujarati, Damodar N. 1988. Basic Econometrics. London: McGraw–Hill.Google Scholar
Hanushek, Eric A., and Jackson, John E.. 1977. Statistical Methods for Social Scientists. San Diego: Academic.Google Scholar
Kalt, Joseph P., and Zupan, Mark A.. 1984. “Capture and Ideology in the Economic Theory of Politics.” American Economic Review 74:279300.Google Scholar
Kramer, Gerald H. 1983. “The Ecological Fallacy Revisited: Aggregate- Versus Individual-level Findings on Economics and Elections and Socio-tropic Voting.” American Political Science Review 77:92111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kritzer, Herbert M. 1979. “Federal Judges and Their Political Environments: The Influence of Public Opinion.” American Journal of Political Science 23:194207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kuklinski, James, and Stanga, John. 1979. “Political Participation and Government Responsiveness: The Behavior of California Superior Courts.” American Political Science Review 73:1090–99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McDowell, David, McCleary, Richard, Meidinger, Errol E., and Hay, Richard A. Jr., 1980. Interrupted Time Series Analysis. University Paper Series on Quantitative Applications, no. 21. Beverly Hills: Sage.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marshall, Thomas R. 1989. Public Opinion and the Supreme Court. Boston: Unwin Hyman.Google Scholar
Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E.. 1963. “Constituency Influence in Congress.” American Political Science Review 57:4556.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mishler, William, and Sheehan, Reginald S.. 1993a. “Public Opinion, the Attitudinal Model and Supreme Court Decision-Making: A Micro-analytic Perspective.” Presented at the Southern Political Science Association meeting, Savannah.Google Scholar
Mishler, William, and Sheehan, Reginald S.. 1993b. “The Supreme Court as a Counter-majoritarian Institution? The Impact of Public Opinion on Supreme Court Decisions.” American Political Science Review 87:87101.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Murphy, Walter F. 1964. Elements of Judicial Strategy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 1986. “Transfer Function Analysis.” In New Tools for Social Scientists, ed. Berry, William D. and Lewis-Beck, Michael. Beverley Hills: Sage.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 1992. Confidence Regained: Economics, Mrs. Thatcher, and the British Voter. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut, and Yantek, Thomas. 1983. “Macroeconomic Conditions and Fluctuations in Presidential Popularity: The Question of Lagged Effects.” American Journal of Political Science 27:785807.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Penry v. Lynaugh. 1989. 106 L. Ed. 2d 256.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rohde, David W., and Spaeth, Harold J.. 1976. Supreme Court Decision Making. San Francisco: Freeman.Google Scholar
Schubert, Glendon. 1965. The Judicial Mind: The Attitudes and Ideologies of Supreme Court Justices, 19461963, Evanston: Northwestern University Press.Google Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A., and Cover, Albert D.. 1989. “Ideological Values and the Votes of U.S. Supreme Court Justices.” American Political Science Review 83:557–65.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A., and Spaeth, Harold J.. 1989. “Decisional Trends on the Warren and Burger Courts: Results from the Supreme Court Data Base Project.” Judicature 73:103–7.Google Scholar
Segal, Jeffrey A., and Spaeth, Harold J.. 1993. The Supreme Court and the Attitudinal Model. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Songer, Donald R., Segal, Jeffrey A., and Cameron, Charles M.. 1994. “The Hierarchy of Justice: A Principle–Agent Perspective on Supreme Court–Circuit Court Interactions.” American Journal of Political Science (forthcoming).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
West Virginia Board of Education v. Barnette. 1943. 319 U.S. 624.Google Scholar
Wood, B. Dan, and Flemming, Roy B.. 1993. “Supreme Court Liberalism and American Public Moods: A Pooled Time-Series analysis of Supreme Court Responsiveness to Public Opinion.” Presented at the Southern Political Science Association meeting. Savannah.Google Scholar
Submit a response

Comments

No Comments have been published for this article.