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4. Gerald H. Kramer. 1971. “Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964.”American Political Science Review71 (March): 131–43 Cited 467 times.
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 28 November 2006
Extract
Gerald Kramer, Steven Brams, Peter Ordeshook, Samuel Popkin, and I were MIT undergraduates interested in political science in the late 1950s. Kramer, after taking a job at Rochester under the new chairman, William Riker, spent 1966–1967 at the Cowles Foundation at Yale University studying econometrics under Marc Nerlove. He began investigating the question of whether macroeconomic fluctuations had any effect on voting behavior. After discovering, somewhat to his (and Nerlove's) surprise, that there did seem to be some effect, he began exploring the question in depth, developing a more formal theoretical framework and also using several different econometric approaches, which jointly led to this article.
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